2014 New York gubernatorial election

The 2014 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014.

2014 New York gubernatorial election

November 4, 2014
Turnout	33.2% 2.2pp
Nominee Andrew Cuomo Rob Astorino Party Democratic Republican Alliance Parties Independence Women's Equality Working Families Parties Conservative Stop Common Core Running mate Kathy Hochul Christopher Moss Popular vote 2,069,480 1,537,077 Percentage 54.3% 40.3%
County results Cuomo:      40–50%      50–60%      70–80%      80–90% Astorino:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election Andrew Cuomo Democratic Elected Governor Andrew Cuomo Democratic

Incumbent Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo sought re-election to a second term in office, though incumbent Lieutenant Governor Robert Duffy did not seek re-election. Cuomo and his running mate, former U.S. Representative Kathy Hochul, won contested primaries, while Republican Rob Astorino, the Westchester County Executive, and his running mate (Chemung County Sheriff Christopher Moss) were unopposed for their party's nomination. Astorino and Moss were also cross-nominated by the Conservative Party and the Stop Common Core Party.

On Election Day, Cuomo and Hochul defeated Astorino and Moss by a margin of 14%.[1]

Background

Democrat Andrew Cuomo, then serving as Attorney General of New York, was elected Governor in 2010. Cuomo defeated Republican businessman Carl Paladino by a nearly 2 to 1 margin, 63% to 33%. Cuomo succeeded retiring Democratic Governor David Paterson. Entering the 2014 campaign, Cuomo enjoyed high approval ratings and a large campaign war chest that totaled $33 million as of January 2014. The Cook Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, Governing, RealClearPolitics, The Rothenberg Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rated the 2014 New York gubernatorial election as "Safe Democratic".

Democratic primary

Progressive minor parties saw an opportunity to make headway in the state due to Cuomo's relatively conservative stances on taxes and spending.[2][3] A poll commissioned by businessman and progressive political activist Bill Samuels in March 2014 indicated that even an unknown left-wing third-party challenger on the Working Families Party line could garner between 6% and 13% of the vote without threatening Cuomo's chances of winning re-election.[4] A later poll by the Siena Research Institute taken of 772 registered voters from April 12–17, 2014, with a margin of error of ± 3.5%, found Cuomo taking 39% to Republican candidate Rob Astorino's 24% and an unnamed Working Families Party candidate also at 24%.[5] A Quinnipiac poll conducted in May 2014 produced a similar result to Siena's, with Cuomo at 37%, Astorino at 24% and the third party candidate at 22%.[6] The Working Families Party nonetheless cross-endorsed Cuomo in a bitterly contested convention vote, leaving Howie Hawkins of the Green Party as the sole progressive challenger assured of a place on the ballot.[3]

In May 2014, after widespread speculation, Lieutenant Governor Robert Duffy confirmed that he would not run for a second term, expressing a desire to return to his home city of Rochester.[7] Byron Brown, the Mayor of Buffalo; Kathy Hochul, a former U.S. Representative; Steve Bellone, the current Suffolk County Executive; Kevin Law, the former deputy Suffolk County executive; and Republican Joanie Mahoney, the County Executive of Onondaga County; were considered to be potential replacements.[8][9][10] Within the Cuomo administration, potential names included Matt Driscoll, the former mayor of Syracuse; RoAnn Destito, a former Assemblywoman; and Cesar A. Perales, the Secretary of State of New York.[11] Hochul was revealed as Cuomo's running mate during the state Democratic convention on May 21, 2014.[12]

Declared

• Andrew Cuomo, incumbent Governor[13]
  • Running mate: Kathy Hochul, former U.S. Representative[12]
• Randy Credico, comedian, activist, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and Tax Wall Street nominee for Mayor of New York City in 2013[14]
  • No running mate
• Zephyr Teachout, Associate Professor of Law at Fordham University[15]
  • Running mate: Tim Wu, Professor of Law at Columbia University[15]

Failed to qualify

• Raquel McPherson (removed from ballot)[16]
• Sam Sloan, chess player, publisher, Libertarian candidate for governor in 2010 and War Veterans nominee for Mayor of New York City in 2013 (removed from ballot)[16]

• Running mate: Nenad Bach

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Andrew Cuomo	Zephyr Teachout	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	September 4–5, 2014	513	± 4%	58%	26%	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kathy Hochul	Tim Wu	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	September 4–5, 2014	513	± 4%	45%	26%	29%

Results

Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014.[17]

Results by county:

  Cuomo—80–90%

  Cuomo—70–80%

  Cuomo—60–70%

  Cuomo—50–60%

  Cuomo—40–50%

  Teachout—40–50%

  Teachout—50–60%

  Teachout—60–70%

  Teachout—70–80%

Democratic Party gubernatorial primary results[18]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Andrew Cuomo (incumbent)	361,380	62.92%
	Democratic	Zephyr Teachout	192,210	33.47%
	Democratic	Randy Credico	20,760	3.61%
Total votes			574,350	100.00%

Democratic Party lieutenant gubernatorial primary results[18]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kathy Hochul	329,089	60.20%
	Democratic	Tim Wu	217,614	39.80%
Total votes			546,703	100.00%

Republican primary

No Republican gubernatorial primary was held in 2014.

It was believed that the Republicans would nominate someone who was not up for re-election in 2014 and so did not have to give up their office to run, and who would use the campaign to raise their profile for a more competitive statewide bid in the future. Rob Astorino, the Westchester County Executive and the only Republican to enter the race, was not up for re-election until 2017.[19] Business magnate and television personality Donald Trump flirted with a run,[20][21] but decided against it, instead running for president as a Republican in 2016 and winning.[22] Other potential candidates who did not run were former U.S. Representative Vito Fossella,[23] Dutchess County Executive Marcus Molinaro[24] and businessman and 2010 candidate for New York State Comptroller Harry Wilson.[24]

Assemblywomen Jane Corwin and Nicole Malliotakis both declined overtures to be the party's nominee for lieutenant governor,[25] as did Rensselaer County Executive Kathleen M. Jimino and former United States Attorney for the Western District of New York Michael A. Battle.[26][27] On May 13, Astorino announced Chemung County Sheriff Christopher Moss as his running mate.[28]

On May 15, 2014, the Republican Party nominated Astorino for Governor of New York and Moss for Lieutenant Governor of New York.[29]

Declared

• Rob Astorino, Westchester County Executive[30]
  • Running mate: Christopher Moss, Sheriff of Chemung County[28]

Declined

• John Catsimatidis, businessman and candidate for Mayor of New York City in 2013[31]
• Chris Collins, U.S. Representative and former Erie County Executive[32]
• Edward F. Cox, lawyer, chairman of the New York Republican State Committee and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006[33][34]
• Greg Edwards, Chautauqua County Executive and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of New York in 2010[35]
• Chris Gibson, U.S. Representative[36]
• Christopher Jacobs, Erie County Clerk and former Secretary of State of New York[37]
• Steven McLaughlin, New York State Assemblyman[38][39]
• Carl Paladino, Buffalo Public Schools Board of Education member and nominee for governor in 2010[34][40]
• Donald Trump, business magnate and television personality[22]

Major third parties

Besides the Democratic and Republican parties, the Conservative, Green, Independence and Working Families parties are qualified New York parties. These parties have automatic ballot access.

Conservative

Although the Conservative Party traditionally cross-endorses Republicans in most races, it has occasionally broken rank and nominated its own candidates. In gubernatorial elections, this most recently happened in 1990 when the party nominated Herbert London instead of Republican nominee Pierre Andrew Rinfret. Incumbent Democratic Governor Mario Cuomo was re-elected with 53% of the vote, with Rinfret receiving 21% and London receiving 20%.

Conservative Party chairman Michael R. Long endorsed Rob Astorino in February 2014.[14] Buffalo Public Schools Board of Education member and 2010 Republican gubernatorial nominee Carl Paladino originally stated he would seek the Conservative Party nomination if the Republicans nominated Astorino;[40] however, by March 2014, Paladino indicated that he would not run for governor in 2014 and would support Astorino if Donald Trump did not run.[34] The Party nominated Astorino and Moss.

Nominee

• Rob Astorino, Republican nominee

Green

In contrast to the other qualified parties, the Green Party of New York traditionally endorses its own candidates. The party held its nominating convention on May 17, 2014.[41]

Nominee

• Howie Hawkins, labor activist and Green Party nominee for governor in 2010[42]
  • Running mate: Brian Jones, teacher, activist and actor from New York City[41]

Independence

The Independence Party of New York, which traditionally cross-endorses the candidate most likely to get them the most votes, was expected to nominate incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo as it did in 2010. Republican Rob Astorino refused the line, and several members of the Democratic Party called on Cuomo to do the same.[43]

Despite the controversy, Cuomo accepted the nomination on May 22, 2014.[44]

Nominee

• Andrew Cuomo, incumbent governor

Working Families

The Working Families Party traditionally cross-endorses Democrats, but many of its members (most of which are labor unions) have expressed reservations over endorsing incumbent Governor Andrew Cuomo as they did in 2010.[45][46]

The WFP convention, held on May 31, chose Cuomo over professor Zephyr Teachout by a 59%–41% margin in a contentious floor vote. Cuomo's supporters negotiated an agreement in which the governor would support the party agenda in exchange for their vote, expressly attempting to keep the party line solely as a second line for the Democrats; this agreement was met with widespread and vocal skepticism from Teachout's supporters, who insisted the WFP hold to its principles and that Cuomo could not be trusted to hold up to his end of the bargain.[47]

Nominee

• Andrew Cuomo, incumbent governor

Declared

• Howie Hawkins, presumptive Green Party nominee[48]
• Zephyr Teachout, law professor at Fordham University[49]

Declined

• Diane Ravitch, former Assistant Secretary of Education[50][51]
• Bill Samuels, activist.[43] Samuels instead announced his intent to pursue the lieutenant governor line in the Democratic primary, a position he also considered pursuing in 2010.[52] Samuels dropped out of the race after Teachout lost the WFP nomination to Cuomo, thus implying that Samuels was planning to be Teachout's running mate.[53]

Minor third parties

Any candidate not among the six qualified New York parties (Democratic, Republican, Conservative, Green, Independence and Working Families) must petition their way onto the ballot; they do not face primary elections. Independent nominating petitions began collecting signatures on July 8 and were due to the state by August 19.[54]

Libertarian

The Libertarian Party of New York held its nominating convention on April 26, 2014. The nominating process required five rounds of voting, after which Michael McDermott was nominated.[55]

Nominee

• Michael McDermott, real estate broker and nominee for New York's 3rd congressional district in 2012[55]
  • Running mate: Chris Edes, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[56]

Unsuccessful

• Richard Cooper, resident of Westbury[57]
• Randy Credico, comedian, activist, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and Tax Wall Street nominee for Mayor of New York City in 2013[55]
• Nathan Lebron, information technology specialist and perennial candidate[57]
• Sam Sloan, political gadfly, for the second straight election cycle attempted to one-up the Libertarian Party by submitting a petition with him as the nominee and Tom Stevens as his running mate before the actual party did so. After protests from the actual Libertarian Party, the Sloan-Stevens ticket was invalidated. Sloan also attempted to petition onto the Democratic primary, with Nenad Bach as the running mate, but also had his petitions invalidated.

Declined

• Kristin M. Davis, former madam and Anti-Prohibition Party nominee for governor in 2010[56]
• Bill Schmidt[56]

Sapient

• Steven Cohn, Long Island attorney who attempted to run on a "Tea Party" line in the 2010 election but had his petitions rejected
  • Running mate: Bobby Kalotee

The party initially filed with Kendy Guzman as the running mate. As of August 26, Guzman had turned down the nomination and was replaced with Kalotee, the former chairman of the forcibly-dissolved Nassau County wing of the Independence Party.[58][59]

Cohn is the only candidate on the ballot who did not participate in the lone gubernatorial debate.[60]

Stop Common Core

The "Stop Common Core Party" (renamed after the election to the Reform Party) is a single-issue ballot line conceived by Republican nominee Rob Astorino, designed specifically to take advantage of New York's electoral fusion laws allowing candidates to combine their votes from multiple ballot lines.

Nominee

• Rob Astorino, Republican nominee[61]

Women's Equality

The "Women's Equality Party" is a ballot line conceived by allies of incumbent governor Andrew Cuomo, designed specifically to take advantage of New York's electoral fusion laws allowing candidates to combine their votes from multiple ballot lines. The line is named after the Women's Equality Act, a bill that failed in the New York State Senate due to a stalemate over a provision codifying the landmark Supreme Court case Roe v. Wade into state law.

The formation of the ballot line was particularly controversial among feminists (particularly Zephyr Teachout, Cuomo's primary opponent)[62] and was noted for its use of questionable campaign imagery, particularly a tour bus that bore a striking resemblance to a box of Tampax tampons.[63] Additionally, the Working Families Party felt that the formation of the Women's Equality Party was an attempt to undermine the WFP as a viable party in New York politics.[64] As a result of the siphoned votes, the WFP's ballot line was lowered behind the Conservative and Green parties.

Nominee

• Andrew Cuomo, incumbent governor

Failed to make ballot

• Socialist Workers Party: For the second straight election, the Socialist Workers Party waged a write-in candidacy for the governor's seat, with John Studer as the nominee.[65]
• Constitution Party: Donna Mulvihill, a homeschooling activist from Honeoye Lake, sought petitions to run for governor on the Constitution Party line before abruptly withdrawing from the race the day before petitions were due, citing her father's death. This is the second consecutive election in which the party has failed to collect enough signatures for governor.[66]
• Life and Justice Party: Disability rights activist Michael Carey submitted petitions to form a Life and Justice Party with himself as the gubernatorial candidate and with Republican lieutenant governor nominee Christopher Moss listed as his running mate.[67] Moss did not accept his designation as the lieutenant governor candidate on the Life and Justice line.[68] The petitions were later ruled invalid.[68]
• Liberal Party of New York: No candidate. The party openly discussed cross-endorsing incumbent governor Cuomo in an effort to regain ballot access but never did so.[69][70]
• Rent Is Too Damn High Party: Perennial candidate Jimmy McMillan made a fourth attempt at running for governor on his self-created line, with Christialle Felix as his running mate.[71] His petitions were later challenged and invalidated after it was discovered McMillan had photocopied many of the petitions to give the appearance of more signatures.[72]

General election

In July 2014, Astorino called for New Jersey Governor Chris Christie to resign his position as chair of the Republican Governors Association due to his refusal to support Astorino's campaign, which Christie publicly characterized as a "lost cause."[73] Astorino claimed that Christie refused to support him due to his relationship with Cuomo.[74]

Debates

• Complete video of debate, October 22, 2014

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[75]	Solid D	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[76]	Safe D	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[77]	Safe D	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[78]	Safe D	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Andrew Cuomo (D)	Rob Astorino (R)	Howie Hawkins (G)	Other	Undecided
Zogby Analytics	October 28–31, 2014	681	± 3.8%	55%	34%	—	11%
Marist College	October 26–28, 2014	503	± 4.4%	56%	30%	6%	1%	7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	4,506	± 2%	56%	31%	—	1%	11%
Siena College	October 16–20, 2014	748	± 3.6%	54%	33%	9%	1%	4%
Quinnipiac University	October 1–6, 2014	1,153	± 2.9%	51%	31%	9%	1%	8%
				55%	34%	—	2%	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20–October 1, 2014	5,122	± 2%	57%	30%	—	2%	11%
Rasmussen Reports	September 22–23, 2014	825	± 4%	49%	32%	—	7%	12%
Siena College	September 18–23, 2014	809	± 3.4%	56%	27%	7%	0%	10%
Marist College	September 17–21, 2014	517	± 4.3%	54%	29%	9%	1%	8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18–September 2, 2014	5,645	± 2%	52%	28%	—	6%	13%
Quinnipiac University	August 14–17, 2014	1,034	± 3.1%	52%	27%	7%	—	14%
				56%	28%	—	2%	15%
Marist College	July 28–31, 2014	852	± 3.4%	54%	23%	7%	1%	16%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	6,788	± ?	56%	32%	—	3%	10%
Siena College	July 13–16, 2014	774	± 3.5%	60%	23%	6%	0%	11%
Marist College	June 23–July 1, 2014	833	± 3.4%	59%	24%	6%	1%	11%
Siena College	June 8–12, 2014	835	± 3.4%	57%	21%	4%	1%	16%
Quinnipiac University	May 14–19, 2014	1,129	± 2.9%	57%	28%	—	2%	14%
Siena College	April 12–17, 2014	772	± 3.5%	58%	28%	—	—	14%
Siena College	March 16–20, 2014	813	± 3.4%	61%	26%	—	—	13%
Marist College	February 28–March 3, 2014	658	± 3.8%	65%	25%	—	—	10%
Quinnipiac University	February 6–10, 2014	1,488	± 2.5%	58%	24%	—	2%	16%
Siena College	January 12–16, 2014	808	± 3.4%	67%	19%	—	3%	11%
Quinnipiac University	November 20–24, 2013	1,337	± 2.7%	56%	25%	—	2%	17%
Marist College	November 18–20, 2013	675	± 3.8%	65%	23%	—	—	12%
Siena College	November 11–14, 2013	806	± 3.5%	63%	24%	—	—	13%

Results

Cuomo handily defeated Astorino by a 54.19%-40.25% margin,[1] although this margin was smaller than Cuomo's victory margin in 2010.[79] Cuomo won all five counties of New York City, along with Westchester, Rockland, and Nassau counties;[80] Astorino won a supermajority of upstate counties.[79] Hawkins's presence on the ballot was credited by some as having a spoiler effect that allowed Astorino to win Monroe County and other upstate counties that traditionally vote Democrat.[81]

New York gubernatorial election, 2014[1]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Andrew Cuomo	1,811,672	47.52%	-9.00%
	Working Families	Andrew Cuomo	126,244	3.31%	-0.04%
	Independence	Andrew Cuomo	77,762	2.04%	-1.13%
	Women's Equality	Andrew Cuomo	53,802	1.41%	N/A
	Total	Andrew Cuomo/Kathy Hochul (incumbent)	2,069,480	54.28%	-8.77%
	Republican	Rob Astorino	1,234,951	32.39%	+4.45%
	Conservative	Rob Astorino	250,634	6.57%	+1.54%
	Stop Common Core	Rob Astorino	51,492	1.35%	N/A
	Total	Rob Astorino/Christopher Moss	1,537,077	40.31%	+6.78%
	Green	Howie Hawkins/Brian Jones	184,419	4.84%	+3.54%
	Libertarian	Michael McDermott/Chris Edes	16,769	0.44%	-0.61%
	Sapient	Steven Cohn/Bobby Kalotee	4,963	0.13%	N/A
Total votes			3,812,708	100.0%	N/A
	Democratic hold

Aftermath

The Green Party took Row D on the ballot,[81] surpassing the Independence and Working Families Parties (both of whom lost significant vote share but still qualified for automatic ballot status through 2018) but not surpassing the Conservative Party, which retained Row C with 6 percent of the vote. The Libertarian Party, after a 2010 showing in which it narrowly fell short of the 50,000 votes needed for automatic ballot access, missed that measure by a wide margin in 2014; the Party's candidate earned less than 17,000 votes. The Sapient Party was a non-factor with fewer than 5,000 votes.[1] Two new political parties—the Women's Equality Party and the Stop Common Core Party—surpassed the 50,000-vote threshold and attained automatic ballot status.[82]

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External links

• New York gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia
• Campaign contributions at FollowTheMoney.org