2014 Michigan gubernatorial election
The Michigan gubernatorial election of 2014 took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Michigan, concurrently with the election of Michigan's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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| Turnout | 41.6%  1.3 [1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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 County Results Snyder: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Schauer: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Michigan |
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Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Snyder ran for re-election to a second term in office.[2] Primary elections took place on August 5, 2014, in which Snyder and former U.S. Representative Mark Schauer were unopposed in the Republican and Democratic primaries, respectively.[3]
Snyder was considered vulnerable in his bid for a second term, as reflected in his low approval ratings.[4][5][6][7] The consensus among The Cook Political Report,[8] Governing,[9] The Rothenberg Political Report,[10] and Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] was that the contest was a "tossup". Snyder was saddled with a negative approval rating, while his Democratic opponent, former U.S. Representative Mark Schauer, suffered from a lack of name recognition.[12][13]
Snyder was re-elected with 50.9% of the vote.
Republican primary
Polling indicated significant opposition from Republican primary voters in Michigan towards Snyder's bid for re-election.[14][15][16][17] This came in the midst of discussions by the Tea Party network regarding whether incumbent lieutenant governor Brian Calley should be replaced as Snyder's running mate.[14][18] Snyder started running campaign ads in September 2013, immediately following the Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference[19] and formally declared that he is seeking re-election in January 2014.[2]
In August 2013, Tea Party leader Wes Nakagiri announced that he would challenge Calley for the Republican nomination for lieutenant governor.[20][21][22] At the Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference (September 20–22, 2013), speculation reported by the media also included Todd Courser as a potential challenger to Calley.[23] At the Michigan Republican Party state convention, which took take place on August 23, 2014, incumbent lieutenant governor Brian Calley won renomination.[24]
On January 3, 2014, Mark McFarlin (who had originally declared his intention to run as a Democrat the previous November), announced that he would be running for the Republican nomination.[25][26] He believed that his populist platform was too conservative for the Democratic ticket, and that he could get crossover support in the general election. However, he did not submit his filing petitions in time to qualify for the August primary ballot.[3]
Declared
- Rick Snyder, incumbent governor of Michigan[2]
Failed to qualify
Declined
- Mike Bishop, former Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate (running for Congress)[27]
- Todd Courser, Tea Party activist, candidate for the Michigan Board of Education in 2012 and for chairman of the Michigan Republican Party in 2013[28][29]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rick Snyder (incumbent) | 617,720 | 100 | |
| Total votes | 617,720 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
Michigan Democratic Party leadership rallied support behind former U.S. Representative Mark Schauer, who ran unopposed in the Democratic Party primary. Party Chairman Lon Johnson encouraged all other potential challengers to stay out of the race so as to avoid a costly and potentially bitter primary campaign.[31] Conservative Democrat and "birther" Mark McFarlin had announced on November 29, 2013, that he was running for the Democratic nomination for governor,[25] but he switched parties on January 3, 2014,[26] leaving Schauer as the only candidate for the Democratic nomination.
Declared
- Mark Schauer, former U.S. Representative[32]
- Running mate: Lisa Brown, Oakland County Clerk & Register of Deeds and former state representative[33]
Withdrew
- Mark McFarlin, private investigator and Independent write-in candidate for governor in 2002 (ran as a Republican)[25][26]
Declined
- John C. Austin, president of the Michigan Board of Education[34]
- Vicki Barnett, Minority Whip of the Michigan House of Representatives[35]
- Jocelyn Benson, dean of Wayne State University Law School and nominee for Michigan Secretary of State in 2010[31][36]
- Virgil Bernero, Mayor of Lansing and nominee for governor in 2010[37]
- Mark Bernstein, attorney and Regent of the University of Michigan[31]
- Mike Duggan, Mayor-elect of Detroit and former Wayne County Prosecutor[38]
- Mark Hackel, Macomb County Executive[39]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative[40]
- Gary Peters, U.S. Representative (running for the U.S. Senate)[41]
- Bart Stupak, former U.S. Representative[42]
- Gretchen Whitmer, Minority Leader of the Michigan Senate[43]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark Schauer | 513,263 | 100 | |
| Total votes | 513,263 | 100 | ||
Minor parties
Libertarian Party
- Mary Buzuma, nominee for Michigan's 2nd congressional district in 2012[44][45]
- Running mate: Scott Boman, activist, former chairman of the Libertarian Party of Michigan and perennial candidate
Green Party
- Paul Homeniuk[46]
- Running mate: Candace Caveny, nominee for the state senate in 2006, 2008 and 2010 and nominee for the State Board of Education in 2012
Independents
Declared
- Robin Sanders, retired from the United States Navy and the Michigan Department of Corrections[47]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 12, 2014 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[48] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Lean R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[50] | Tilt R | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[51] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Snyder (R) |
Mark Schauer (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research | November 3, 2014 | 1,310 | ± 2.7% | 48.1% | 47.4% | 3%[52] | 2% |
| Mitchell Research | November 2, 2014 | 1,224 | ± 2.8% | 47.1% | 46.9% | 4%[53] | 3% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | November 1–2, 2014 | 1,003 | ± 3.08% | 45% | 45% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2014 | 914 | ± 3.2% | 46% | 45% | 4%[54] | 5% |
| 47% | 47% | — | 5% | ||||
| EPIC-MRA | October 26–28, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 43% | 3% | 9% |
| Mitchell Research | October 27, 2014 | 1,159 | ± 2.88% | 48% | 43% | 3.4%[55] | 5% |
| Glengariff Group | October 22–24, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45.2% | 39.5% | 5% | 10.3% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 2,394 | ± 3% | 44% | 45% | 1% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 20–22, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 49% | 46% | 2% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–21, 2014 | 723 | ± ? | 48% | 48% | — | 4% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | October 19–20, 2014 | 1,032 | ± ? | 41% | 44% | — | 15% |
| Mitchell Research | October 19, 2014 | 919 | ± 3.23% | 48% | 45.7% | 3.4%[56] | 2.9% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 17–19, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 39% | 3% | 11% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | October 12–14, 2014 | 967 | ± 3.16% | 44% | 42% | — | 13% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | October 11–13, 2014 | 1,032 | ± ? | 44% | 43% | — | 13% |
| Mitchell Research | October 12, 2014 | 1,340 | ± 2.68% | 47% | 44% | 3%[52] | 6% |
| Mitchell Research | October 9, 2014 | 1,306 | ± 2.71% | 47% | 46% | 4%[57] | 3% |
| Glengariff Group | October 2–4, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 44.9% | 37.1% | 3.4%[58] | 14.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 2–3, 2014 | 654 | ± 3.8% | 47% | 46% | — | 7% |
| Marketing Resource Group | September 30–October 1, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45.7% | 40.5% | 4% | 9.9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 2,560 | ± 2% | 44% | 46% | 1% | 9% |
| Lake Research Partners | September 27–30, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 44% | 43% | — | 12% |
| Mitchell Research | September 29, 2014 | 1,178 | ± 2.86% | 46% | 42% | 5%[59] | 8% |
| EPIC-MRA | September 25–29, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 39% | 8% | 8% |
| Target-Insyght | September 22–24, 2014 | 616 | ± 4% | 44% | 45% | — | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18–19, 2014 | 852 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 44% | — | 10% |
| We Ask America | September 18–19, 2014 | 1,182 | ± 3% | 43% | 43% | 4%[60] | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 17–18, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 47% | 41% | 3% | 9% |
| Denno Research | September 11–13, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 43.2% | 40% | — | 16.8% |
| Mitchell Research | September 10, 2014 | 829 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 41% | 7%[61] | 6% |
| Suffolk | September 6–10, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45.2% | 3.8%[62] | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 4–7, 2014 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 42% | 6%[63] | 9% |
| 46% | 44% | — | 10% | ||||
| Glengariff Group | September 3–5, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 43.6% | 41.8% | 2.7% | 11.8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 2,897 | ± 3% | 44% | 43% | 1% | 12% |
| Mitchell Research | August 27, 2014 | 1,004 | ± 3.09% | 47% | 46% | — | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA | August 22–25, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 43% | 45% | — | 12% |
| Lake Research Partners | August 6–11, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 38% | — | 15% |
| Mitchell Research | August 5, 2014 | 626 | ± 5% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 28–29, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 45% | 42% | 5% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group | July 26–30, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 44.6% | 44.3% | — | 11% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 3,812 | ± 2.8% | 46% | 43% | 1% | 9% |
| Mitchell Research | July 7–17, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 43% | 39% | — | 17% |
| EPIC-MRA | July 12–15, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 46% | 43% | — | 11% |
| Denno Research | July 9–11, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 43.3% | 34.7% | — | 22% |
| NBC News/Marist | July 7–10, 2014 | 870 | ± 3.3% | 46% | 44% | 1% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 26–29, 2014 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 40% | 40% | — | 20% |
| Mitchell Research | June 6, 2014 | 961 | ± 3.16% | 45.8% | 40.9% | — | 13.3% |
| Glengariff Group | May 20–22, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 35.2% | — | 19.8% |
| EPIC-MRA | May 17–20, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 38% | — | 15% |
| Hickman Analytics | April 24–30, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 37% | — | 15% |
| Magellan Strategies | April 14–15, 2014 | 875 | ± 3.31% | 45% | 42% | 9% | 4% |
| Mitchell Research | April 9, 2014 | 1,460 | ± 2.56% | 49% | 37% | — | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 825 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 39% | — | 18% |
| Marketing Resource Group | March 24–28, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 46.8% | 38.5% | — | 14.2% |
| Denno Research | March 9–10, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 42% | 39% | — | 20% |
| Benenson Strategy Group | March 4–7, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 42% | — | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | March 2–4, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 36% | — | 19% |
| Clarity Campaigns | February 22–23, 2014 | 859 | ± 2.55 | 40% | 47% | — | 12% |
| Target Insyght | February 18–20, 2014 | 600 | ± ? | 46.8% | 38% | — | 15.2% |
| EPIC-MRA | February 5–11, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 39% | — | 14% |
| Harper Polling | January 7–8, 2014 | 1,004 | ± 3.09% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,034 | ± 3% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
| Denno Research | November 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 44.5% | 31% | — | 24.5% |
| Inside Michigan Politics | October 29, 2013 | 794 | ± 4% | 36.4% | 33.6% | — | 30% |
| MRG/Mitchell Research | October 6–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 50% | 36% | — | 14% |
| EPIC-MRA | September 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 44% | 36% | — | 20% |
| Denno Research | July 23–24, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 43% | 37% | — | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 30–June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 38% | 42% | — | 20% |
| EPIC-MRA | May 11–15, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 39% | 39% | — | 22% |
| EPIC-MRA | April 13–16, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 38% | 39% | — | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 2–4, 2013 | 702 | ± 3.7% | 36% | 40% | — | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 13–16, 2012 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 44% | — | 18% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rick Snyder (incumbent) | 1,607,399 | 50.92% | -7.19% | |
| Democratic | Mark Schauer | 1,479,057 | 46.86% | +6.96% | |
| Libertarian | Mary Buzuma | 35,723 | 1.13% | +0.44% | |
| Taxpayers | Mark McFarlin | 19,368 | 0.61% | -0.04% | |
| Green | Paul Homeniuk | 14,934 | 0.47% | -0.17% | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 50 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Total votes | '3,156,531' | '100.0%' | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
See also
References
- "General Election Voter Registration/Turnout Statistics". Retrieved October 6, 2019.
- Oosting, Jonathan (January 30, 2014). "It's official: Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder launching re-election campaign with statewide tour". MLive Media Group. Retrieved January 30, 2014.
- "2014 Official Michigan Primary Candidate Listing". Miboecfr.nictusa.com. July 31, 2014. Retrieved August 4, 2014.
- "Handicapping the 2013–2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing. July 18, 2013. Archived from the original on August 5, 2013. Retrieved February 26, 2014.
- "Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder raises $5M in 2013 for re-election bid". Daily Tribune. January 28, 2014. Retrieved February 26, 2014.
- "Which Governors Are Most Vulnerable in 2014?". Five Thirty Eight. April 8, 2013. Retrieved February 26, 2014.
- Woods, Ashley (November 8, 2013). "Michigan Governor Poll Shows Close Race Between Rick Snyder, Mark Schauer". Huffington Post. Retrieved November 12, 2013.
- "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- Jacobson, Louis (July 18, 2013). "Handicapping the 2013–2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing.com. Archived from the original on August 5, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2013.
- "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- Oosting, Jonathan (December 10, 2013). "Poll: Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder, Democrat Mark Schauer in close race ahead of 2014". MLive Media Group. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
- Brian Dickerson (August 28, 2014). "Brian Dickerson: Can Schauer avoid the Tomb of the Unknown Front-Runner?". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
- "Snyder's approval rating gets boost from bankruptcy, Medicaid decisions". July 31, 2013. Retrieved August 1, 2013.
- "Poll says Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder vulnerable in a Republican primary". September 3, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
- "Snyder losing GOP support since Medicaid expansion". September 4, 2013. Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- "With Medicaid win, did Gov. Rick Snyder lose some Republicans? Tea party talks potential primary". September 5, 2013. Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- "Lt. Gov. Brian Calley on tea party challenger: 'We have a competition for ideas' in Republican Party". August 26, 2013.
- "Snyder gets jump on 2014 election, launches TV, internet campaign ads". September 24, 2013.
- "Tea party leader Wes Nakagiri wants to replace Republican Lt. Gov. Brian Calley in 2014". August 26, 2013.
- "Tim Skubick: Tea Party could be 2014 election headache for Gov. Rick Snyder". August 27, 2013.
- "GOP poll says Livingston County's Nakagiri has shot at state's No. 2 post in 2014". September 5, 2013. Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- "Snyder gets top billing, but Calley in spotlight at Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference". September 21, 2013.
- Egan, Paul (August 23, 2014). "GOP chooses Calley over Nakagiri for lieutenant governor". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved August 23, 2014.
- "Off the Record – November 29, 2013 – # 4323". Off the Record – WKAR-TV. November 29, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
- Oosting, Jonathan (January 3, 2014). "Michigan Political Points: 'Birther' Democrat goes Republican for primary against Gov. Rick Snyder". MLive Media Group. Retrieved January 8, 2014.
- "Former Michigan GOP Senate Majority Leader Mike Bishop: 'I'm not running for governor'". June 24, 2013. Retrieved June 27, 2013.
- "Tea Party Looking For Its Gubernatorial Candidate". September 21, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013. (subscription required)
- "Tea Party Looking For Its Gubernatorial Candidate" (PDF). September 21, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013. (transcribed from original source)
- "Official Election Results Primary Election August 5, 2014". Michigan Department of State. Archived from the original on August 15, 2014. Retrieved August 25, 2014.
- "Tim Skubick: Mark Schauer's announcement for governor seals the Democratic field". May 28, 2013.
- "Democrat Mark Schauer to challenge Gov. Rick Snyder in 2014". May 28, 2013.
- "Mark Schauer to announce Oakland County Clerk Lisa Brown as running mate". April 2, 2014.
- "Michigan Democrats rallying behind Mark Schauer for governor, with John Austin offering support". May 8, 2013. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- Kathleen Gray (March 10, 2013). "Democratic nomination for governor is now Mark Schauer's for the taking". Detroit Free Press.
- "King Leads Schauer for Democratic Nomination". May 29, 2013. Retrieved June 4, 2013.
- Wittrock, Angela (March 20, 2013). "Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero won't run for governor, Senate or Congress in 2014". mlive.com. Retrieved March 21, 2013.
- Khalil AlHajal. "Tim Skubick: Mike Duggan's next step? Probably not a gubernatorial race". MLive.com. Retrieved January 8, 2014.
- Chad Selweski (January 17, 2013). "Mark Hackel preparing for marriage, not a run for governor". Macomb Daily. Retrieved February 22, 2013.
- "?".
- Bell, Dawson (November 10, 2012). "Several Democrats may challenge Snyder in 2014". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved November 17, 2012.
- Tim Skubick (April 15, 2013). "Tim Skubick: Bart Stupak's out... for now". Fox 2 News.
- "Gretchen Whitmer says she won't run for governor in 2014". Detroit Free Press. January 30, 2013.
- "Michigan Committee Statement of Organization". Michigan Secretary of State. May 17, 2014. Archived from the original on July 18, 2014.
- "Libertarians hold party convention in Howell". Lansing State Journal. May 17, 2014. Archived from the original on May 25, 2014. Retrieved July 16, 2014.
- "2014 Unofficial Michigan General Candidate Listing". Miboecfr.nictusa.com. July 22, 2014. Retrieved August 4, 2014.
- "Third party gubernatorial candidate Robin Sanders focuses on public safety". Current State on WKAR-FM. June 17, 2013. Retrieved November 1, 2013.
- "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
- "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
- "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
- "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
- Mary Buzuma (L) 1%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 1%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 1%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 1%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 1%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 2%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 3%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 1%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 0%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 2%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 0.4%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 1%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 1%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 1%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 1.4%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 1%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 2%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 1%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 1.7%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 1.2%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 0.5%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 2%, Paul Homeniuk (G) <1%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 2%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 2%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 1%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 1%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 4%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 1%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 2%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 1.8%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 1.2%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 0.8%
- Mary Buzuma (L) 3%, Paul Homeniuk (G) 1%, Mark McFarlin (TP) 2%
- https://mielections.us/election/results/14GEN/
External links
- Michigan gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at FollowTheMoney.org
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
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