2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

The 2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election of the Governor of New Hampshire, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

November 4, 2014

Nominee Jeanne Shaheen Scott Brown Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 251,184 235,347 Percentage 51.5% 48.2%

County results Shaheen:      50–60%      60–70% Brown:      50–60%

U.S. senator before election Jeanne Shaheen Democratic Elected U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen Democratic

Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen ran for re-election to a second term in office.[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014.[2] Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the Republicans nominated former U.S. Senator Scott Brown, who represented Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013.[3]

Brown sought to become only the third person in history and the first in 135 years to represent more than one state in the United States Senate. Waitman T. Willey represented Virginia from 1861 to 1863 and West Virginia from 1863 to 1871 and James Shields represented Illinois from 1849 to 1855, Minnesota from 1858 to 1859 and Missouri in 1879.[4] Since the 17th Amendment, which mandated the popular election of senators as opposed to selection by state legislatures, was ratified in 1913, Brown would have been the first person popularly elected as a U.S. senator in two different states.

Shaheen defeated Brown by 51.5% to 48.2%, making him the first man to lose two Senate races to women, as he had lost his 2012 reelection bid in Massachusetts to Elizabeth Warren.[5]

Democratic primary

Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Declared

• Jeanne Shaheen, incumbent U.S. Senator[6]

Endorsements

Jeanne Shaheen

Individuals

• Hillary Clinton, 67th United States Secretary of State and candidate for President in 2008[7]
• Angus King, U.S. Senator (I-ME)[8]
• Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator (D-MA)[9]

Results

Democratic primary results[10]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent)	74,504	100.00%

Republican primary

The Republican primary for this election was much more highly contested than the respective Democratic one, with Scott Brown beating out Jim Rubens and Bob Smith for the Republican nomination.

Declared

• Gerard Beloin, candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[11]
• Scott Brown, former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts[12]
• Robert D'Arcy[11]
• Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic, candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012[11]
• Mark W. Farnham, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1992[11]
• Bob Heghmann[11]
• Walter W. Kelly[11]
• Andy Martin, perennial candidate[13]
• Jim Rubens, Chairman of the Granite State Coalition Against Expanded Gambling, former State Senator and candidate for Governor in 1998[14]
• Bob Smith, former U.S. Senator, candidate for President in 2000 and candidate for the U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004 and 2010[15]

Withdrew

• Karen Testerman, conservative activist and candidate for Governor in 2010 (endorsed Smith)[16][17]

Declined

• Richard Ashooh, candidate for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2010[18]
• Al Baldasaro, state representative[19]
• Charles Bass, former U.S. Representative[20]
• Bill Binnie, industrialist, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[21]
• Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative[22]
• David M. Cote, Chairman and CEO of Honeywell[18]
• Judd Gregg, former U.S. Senator and former governor of New Hampshire[23][24]
• Frank Guinta, former U.S. Representative (ran for NH-01)[25][26]
• Daniel Innis, Dean of the Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics at the University of New Hampshire (ran for NH-01)[27]
• Ovide Lamontagne, businessman, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Governor in 1996 and 2012[28]
• Andy Sanborn, state senator[29]
• Mark Steyn, conservative author and political commentator[30]
• Chris Sununu, Executive Councillor, son of former Governor John H. Sununu and brother of former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu (ran for re-election)[31]
• John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator[32]
• Fred Tausch, businessman[32]
• Fran Wendelboe, former state representative and candidate for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2002[18]

Endorsements

Scott Brown

Individuals

• Nancy Stiles, state senator[33]
• Kelly Ayotte, U.S. Senator (R-NH)
• Craig Benson, former governor
• Steve Merrill, former governor
• John H. Sununu, former governor
• Jeb Bradley, state senator
• Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts, 2012 Republican nominee for President of the United States[34]

Bob Smith

Individuals

• Karen Testerman, conservative activist, candidate for Governor in 2010 and former candidate for U.S. Senate[17]

Jim Rubens

Individuals

• Gordon Humphrey, Former U.S. Senator (R-NH)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Charles Bass	Scott Brown	Andy Martin	Jim Rubens	Bob Smith	Karen Testerman	Other	Undecided
New England College	October 7–9, 2013	424	± 4.56%	21%	47%	—	5%	—	4%	—	23%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	528	± 4.3%	—	42%	11%	8%	11%	7%	—	22%
				—	—	4%	12%	26%	10%	—	47%
Gravis Marketing	January 29–30, 2014	498	± 4.3%	—	51%	—	—	22%	—	—	27%
Suffolk/Boston Herald	February 27 – March 5, 2014	426	± 4.8%	—	33.33%	0.7%	3.05%	11.97%	3.29%	—	47.65%
Vox Populi Polling	May 14–15, 2014	?	± 5.2%	—	38%	—	9%	13%	8%	—	32%
Suffolk/Boston Herald	June 14–18, 2014	419	± 4.8%	—	40.33%	0.24%	3.58%	12.17%	—	2.88%[35]	40.81%
NBC/Marist	July 7–13, 2014	1,342	± 2.7%	—	61%	—	10%	16%	—	1%	12%

Results

Republican primary results[36]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Scott Brown	58,775	49.86%
	Republican	Jim Rubens	27,089	22.98%
	Republican	Bob Smith	26,593	22.56%
	Republican	Walter W. Kelly	1,376	1.17%
	Republican	Bob Heghmann	784	0.67%
	Republican	Andy Martin	734	0.62%
	Republican	Mark W. Farnham	733	0.62%
	Republican	Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic	508	0.43%
	Republican	Gerard Beloin	492	0.42%
	Republican	Robert D'Arcy	397	0.34%
	Democratic	Jeanne Shaheen (write-in)	220	0.19%
		Scatter	183	0.16%
Total votes			117,884	100.00%

General election

Debates

• Complete video of debate, October 21, 2014
• Complete video of debate, October 23, 2014

Fundraising

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
Jeanne Shaheen (D)	$16,506,920.00	$16,466,208.00	$88,652.00	$10,620.00
Scott Brown (R)	$9,222,677.00	$9,163,652.00	$59,026.00	$0
Source: Federal Election Commission[37]

Independent expenditures

Super PAC	Supporting	Amount	Media	Goal
Senate Majority PAC	Jeanne Shaheen	$682,558[38]	TV	Oppose Scott Brown
League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund	Jeanne Shaheen	$364,320[38]	TV	Oppose Scott Brown
Ending Spending Inc.	Scott Brown	$61,448[39]	Media	Oppose Jeanne Shaheen
Ending Spending Action Fund	Scott Brown	$60,136[39]	Media	Support Scott Brown
New Hampshire PAC to Save America	Jim Rubens	$57,866[38]	Direct Mail	Support Jim Rubens
NextGen Climate Action Committee	Jeanne Shaheen	$37,421[39]	Digital Advertising	Oppose Scott Brown
Ocean Champions	Jeanne Shaheen	$25,000[39]	Media	Oppose Scott Brown
Tea Party Victory Fund	Bob Smith	$15,000[38]	Voter Contact Calls	Support Bob Smith

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[40]	Tossup	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41]	Lean D	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[42]	Tilt D	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[43]	Tossup	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeanne Shaheen (D)	Scott Brown (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	April 19–21, 2013	933	± ?	52%	41%	—	7%
Rockefeller Center	April 22–25, 2013	433	± 4.7%	44.2%	29.5%	—	26.3%
New England College	May 2–5, 2013	807	± 3.27%	54%	35%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	September 13–16, 2013	1,038	± 3%	48%	44%	—	7%
American Research Group	December 13–16, 2013	549	± 4.2%	48%	38%	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	1,354	± 2.7%	46%	43%	—	10%
Purple Strategies	January 21–23, 2014	1,052	± 3%	44%	44%	—	12%
Harper Polling	January 22–23, 2014	513	± 4.33%	40%	35%	—	25%
WMUR/UNH	January 21–26, 2014	454	± 4.1%	47%	37%	3%	14%
Public Policy Polling	February 19–20, 2014	686	± 3.7%	47%	39%	—	14%
Suffolk/Boston Herald	February 27 – March 5, 2014	800	± 3.5%	52%	39.13%	—	8.87%
Rasmussen Reports	March 12–13, 2014	750	± 4%	50%	41%	4%	5%
American Research Group	March 13–16, 2014	533	± 4.2%	50%	38%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	April 7–8, 2014	1,034	± 3.1%	49%	41%	—	10%
WMUR/UNH	April 1–9, 2014	387	± 5%	45%	39%	2%	14%
Rockefeller Center	April 21–25, 2014	412	± 4.8%	39%	36%	—	25%
Hickman Analytics	April 24–30, 2014	400	± 4.9%	49%	43%	—	8%
Vox Populi Polling	May 14–15, 2014	707	± 3.6%	47%	35%	—	18%
American Research Group	June 14–18, 2014	540	± 4.2%	50%	38%	—	12%
Suffolk/Boston Herald	June 14–18, 2014	800	± 3.5%	49.38%	39.38%	2.5%[44]	8.75%
WMUR/UNH	June 19 – July 1, 2014	509	± 4.3%	52%	40%	1%	7%
NBC News/Marist	July 7–13, 2014	1,342	± 2.7%	50%	42%	1%	6%
Magellan Strategies	July 7–13, 2014	1,618	± 2.43%	46%	41.1%	—	12.9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	1,251	± 2.9%	50%	40%	4%	6%
WMUR/UNH	August 7–17, 2014	609	± 4%	46%	44%	1%	9%
Public Policy Polling	August 27–28, 2014	766	± ?	50%	44%	—	6%
Public Opinion Strategies	August 27 – September 1, 2014	500	± 4.38%	44%	41%	9%[44]	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	1,159	± 4%	47%	41%	4%	9%
Kiley & Company	September 2–4, 2014	602	± 4%	50%	42%	—	8%
Global Strategy Group	September 10, 2014	1,027	± 3.1%	48%	41%	—	11%
Kiley & Company	September 9–11, 2014	600	± 4%	51%	43%	—	6%
CNN/ORC	September 8–11, 2014	735 LV	± 3.5%	48%	48%	—	4%
		883 RV	± 3.5%	51%	44%	—	5%
Magellan Strategies	September 10–11, 2014	2,214	± 2%	44.3%	45.9%	—	9.8%
Rasmussen Reports	September 10–11, 2014	1,027	± 3.1%	48%	42%	5%	5%
New England College	September 10–11, 2014	630	± 3.98%	51%	40.2%	4.5%	4.2%
American Research Group	September 12–15, 2014	544	± 4.2%	50%	45%	—	5%
Vox Populi Polling	September 15–16, 2014	550	± 4.2%	43%	47%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	September 18–19, 2014	652	± 3.8%	50%	44%	—	5%
New England College	September 19–20, 2014	1,494	± 2.54%	50.1%	42.8%	4%	3.2%
American Research Group	September 27–29, 2014	600	± 4%	53%	43%	—	4%
New England College	September 26, 2014	1,331	± 2.69%	47.1%	46.6%	3.3%	2.9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	1,260	± 3%	48%	41%	1%	10%
New England College	October 3, 2014	1,286	± 2.73%	48.5%	45.9%	3.2%	2.3%
WMUR/UNH	September 29 – October 5, 2014	532	± 4.2%	47%	41%	1%	10%
High Point University	October 4–8, 2014	824	± 3.4%	48%	46%	—	6%
Kiley & Company	October 7–9, 2014	600	± 4%	50%	44%	—	6%
New England College	October 9, 2014	1,081	± 2.98%	46.9%	48%	2.8%	2.3%
UMass Amherst	October 10–15, 2014	322 LV	± 6.6%	48%	45%	5%	2%
		400 RV	± 6%	49%	41%	5%	5%
New England College	October 16, 2014	921	± 3.23%	47.3%	47.7%	2.7%	2.3%
Suffolk/Boston Herald	October 16–19, 2014	500	± ?	48.6%	45.6%	—	5.8%
UMass Lowell	October 15–21, 2014	643 LV	± 4.5%	49%	46%	1%	4%
		900 RV	± 3.8%	48%	41%	2%	10%
CNN/ORC	October 18–21, 2014	645 LV	± 4%	49%	47%	—	3%
		877 RV	± 3.5%	50%	44%	—	5%
Public Policy Polling	October 20–21, 2014	764	± ?	49%	45%	—	5%
American Research Group	October 19–22, 2014	600	± 4%	49%	48%	—	3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	1,042	± 4%	46%	41%	1%	12%
New England College	October 24, 2014	1,132	± 2.91%	46.8%	48.3%	2.5%	2.4%
WMUR/UNH	October 22–26, 2014	555	± 4.2%	50%	42%	—	8%
Vox Populi Polling	October 27–28, 2014	638	± 3.9%	49%	45%	—	6%
American Research Group	October 27–29, 2014	600	± 4%	49%	49%	—	2%
Rasmussen Reports	October 29–30, 2014	940	± 3%	52%	45%	1%	2%
Public Policy Polling	October 30–31, 2014	679	± ?	49%	47%	—	4%
New England College	October 31 – November 1, 2014	1,526	± 2.51%	48.2%	48.7%	1.4%	1.7%
WMUR/UNH	October 29 – November 2, 2014	757	± 3.6%	47%	45%	3%	6%
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2014	1,690	± 2.4%	50%	48%	—	3%

Results

The race was close throughout the night. However, with 57% of the vote in MSNBC was comfortable enough with Shaheen's lead to declare her the victor. Brown called Shaheen to concede at 11:32 P.M. EST. Shaheen won with a 3.3% margin of victory over Brown, securing a majority of the votes cast by over 1%.

United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2014[45]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent)	251,184	51.46%	-0.16%
	Republican	Scott Brown	235,347	48.21%	+2.93%
	None	Scatter	1,628	0.33%
Total votes			488,159	100.0%	N/A
	Democratic hold

See also

• 2014 United States Senate elections
• 2014 United States elections
• 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
• 2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

References

1. "Jeanne Shaheen in for 2014 Senate race". Fosters.com. March 8, 2012. Retrieved March 26, 2013.
2. "FOR ALL CANDIDATES FILING DECLARATIONS OF CANDIDACY". New Hampshire Secretary of State. July 25, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
3. "Scott Brown wins New Hampshire Senate primary". Politico.com. September 9, 2014. Retrieved September 10, 2014.
4. "Sorry, Scott: Choosing A New State After You Get The Boot Never Works". Talking Points Memo. March 14, 2014. Retrieved September 21, 2014.
5. Zavadski, Katie (November 5, 2014). "11 Big Firsts From the 2014 Midterm Elections". Retrieved November 7, 2014.
6. Blake, Aaron (November 9, 2012). "Senate Democrats face a very tough 2014 map". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 11, 2012.
7. Miller, Joshua (November 2, 2014). "Hillary Clinton returns to N.H., hints at 2016 issues". The Boston Globe. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
8. "King on Collins: 'We've got a model senator here'". Kennebec Journal. May 16, 2014. Retrieved May 16, 2014.
9. Miller, Joshua (October 25, 2014). "Elizabeth Warren rallies support for Jeanne Shaheen in N.H." The Boston Globe. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
10. "2014 United States Senate - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 28, 2014.
11. "OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF STATE - ELECTION DIVISION REPUBLICAN CUMULATIVE FILING AS OF 07/23/2014". New Hampshire Secretary of State. July 23, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
12. "Report: Scott Brown is officially running for US Senate in New Hampshire". Boston.com. April 2, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
13. Miller, Rich (August 21, 2013). "Perennial candidate decamps to New Hampshire". Capitol Fax. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
14. DiStaso, John (September 18, 2013). "Former NH state Sen. Jim Rubens announces candidacy for US Senate against Dem. Shaheen". The Republic. Archived from the original on September 20, 2013. Retrieved September 19, 2013.
15. Joe Sweeney [@JoeSweeneyNH] (December 1, 2013). "Looks like Bob Smith will in fact be running for US Senate. #NHPolitics #NHSen" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
16. Leubsdorf, Ben (October 14, 2013). "N.H. Republican activist Karen Testerman to run for U.S. Senate in 2014". Concord Monitor. Retrieved December 7, 2013.
17. "Testerman drops out of US Senate race, backs Smith". Connecticut Post. June 13, 2014. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
18. Pindell, James (September 10, 2013). "The list: which Republicans could run for major office next year". WMUR. Archived from the original on September 11, 2013. Retrieved September 10, 2013.
19. Houghton, Kimberly (February 5, 2014). "Londonderry's Baldasaro won't seek Senate seat". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
20. Schultheis, Emily (November 4, 2013). "Charlie Bass won't challenge Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire". POLITICO. Retrieved November 4, 2013.
21. Jaffe, Alexandra (February 10, 2013). "New Hampshire Republicans looking to rebuild in time for 2014 elections". The Hill. Retrieved March 29, 2013.
22. Pindell, James (September 3, 2013). "Bradley rules out running for statewide office next year". WMUR Political Scoop. Archived from the original on September 12, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
23. Robert Schmidt (December 12, 2013). "Former Senator Gregg Said to Step Down From Wall Street Lobby". Bloomberg. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
24. DiStaso, John (December 12, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Gregg for the US Senate again? 'Been there, done that,' he says". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
25. Toeplitz, Shira (November 29, 2012). "New Hampshire: Guinta Opens Door to Senate, Comeback Bids". Roll Call. Retrieved January 28, 2013.
26. Cahn, Emily (September 24, 2013). "Ex-Congressman Launches Rematch Bid With Bipartisan Tone". Roll Call. Retrieved September 24, 2013.
27. Leubsdorf, Ben (October 9, 2013). "Republican Dan Innis announces run for Congress in N.H.'s 1st District". Concord Monitor. Retrieved October 9, 2013.
28. Lessard, Ryan (April 15, 2013). "Ovide Lamontagne Takes Major Anti-Abortion Job In D.C." nhpr.org. Retrieved April 19, 2013.
29. Pindell, James (September 27, 2013). "GOP state Sen. Andy Sanborn will not run for governor". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved October 1, 2013.
30. Larson, Leslie (August 19, 2013). "Conservatives rally Rush Limbaugh radio show fill-in Mark Steyn to run for Senate…despite the fact he's not a U.S. citizen". New York Daily News. Retrieved August 19, 2013.
31. DiStaso, John (July 18, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Chris Sununu won't run for Gov, US House or US Senate in '14; plans to seek reelection to Executive Council". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
32. DiStato, John (April 12, 2013). "Exclusive: Former Sen. John E. Sununu won't run for office in 2014". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved April 12, 2013.
33. "Sen. Stiles endorses Scott Brown". Seacoastonline. May 2, 2014. Retrieved May 3, 2014.
34. "First on CNN: Romney to endorse Scott Brown". CNN. June 24, 2014. Retrieved June 24, 2014.
35. Miro Dziedzic 0.72%, Bob Heghmann 0.72%, Walter Kelly 0.72%, Mark Farnham 0.48%, Robert D'Arcy 0.24%
36. "2014 United States Senate - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 28, 2014.
37. "New Hampshire 2014 Senate race fundraising".
38. "Realtime Federal Campaign Finance". Sunlight Foundation. July 11, 2014. Retrieved July 11, 2014.
39. "Realtime Federal Campaign Finance". Sunlight Foundation. July 11, 2014. Retrieved July 11, 2014.
40. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
41. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
42. "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
43. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
44. Gardner Goldsmith (L)
45. "United States Senator - 2014 General Election". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2014.

External links

• U.S. Senate elections in New Hampshire, 2014 at Ballotpedia
• Scott Brown vs Jeanne Shaheen graph of multiple polls from HuffPost Pollster
• Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org