2018 United States Senate election in New York
The 2018 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley.
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| Turnout | 47.99% | |||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Gillibrand: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Farley: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in New York State |
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Democratic primary
Kirsten Gillibrand ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became the Democratic nominee.
Nominee
- Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. Senator[1][2]
Declined
- Chelsea Clinton, daughter of former Senator Hillary Clinton
- Andrew Cuomo, incumbent New York Governor
- Caroline Kennedy, former United States Ambassador to Japan, daughter of former President John F. Kennedy and member of the Kennedy family[5]
- Andrew Yang, entrepreneur (ran for Democratic presidential nomination in 2020)[6]
Republican primary
The Republican Party had nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley.[7]
Nominee
- Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive[8]
Failed to file
- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and perennial candidate[4]
- Patrick John Hahn, civic activist[4]
- Rafael Arden Jones Sr.[4]
- David A. Webber[4]
Declined
- Chris Gibson, former U.S. Representative[9]
- Joseph Holland, former Commissioner of the Department of Housing and Community Renewal[10] (running for Governor)
General election
Endorsements
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
- Individuals
- Amy Schumer, actress[11]
- Organizations
- EMILY's List[12]
- End Citizens United[13]
- National Organization for Women[14]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[15]
- Sierra Club[16]
- Giffords[17]
- AFL-CIO[18]
- New York State United Teachers[19]
- Human Rights Campaign[20]
- Working Families[21]
- PSC (Professional Staff Congress) CUNY[22]
- CSEA[23]
- Newspapers
Chele Farley (R)
- U.S. President
- U.S. Senators
- Al D'Amato, former U.S. Senator (R-NY)[30]
- U.S. Representatives
- Chris Collins, U.S. Representative (R-NY-27)[31]
- Dan Donovan, U.S. Representative (R-NY-11)[32]
- John Faso, U.S. Representative (R-NY-19)[33]
- John Katko, U.S. Representative (R-NY-24)[34]
- Peter King, U.S. Representative (R-NY-2)[35]
- Tom Reed, U.S. Representative (R-NY-23)[36]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative (R-NY-21)[37]
- Claudia Tenney, U.S. Representative (R-NY-22)[38]
- Lee Zeldin, U.S. Representative (R-NY-1)[39]
- Governors
- Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas[40]
- George Pataki, former Governor of New York[41]
- Individuals
- Rudy Giuliani, former Mayor of New York City[42]
- Sean Hannity, conservative talk radio host and host of Hannity[43]
- Organizations
- Crown Heights PAC[44]
- Newspapers
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[47] | Safe D | September 29, 2017 |
| Inside Elections[48] | Safe D | September 28, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe D | September 27, 2017 |
| Fox News[50] | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[51] | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[52] | Safe D | June 7, 2018 |
†Highest rating given
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Chele Chiavacci Farley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 32% | – | 8% |
| Siena College | October 28 – November 1, 2018 | 641 | ± 3.9% | 58% | 35% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 10–16, 2018 | 852 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 33% | 0% | 8% |
| Siena College | September 20–27, 2018 | 701 | ± 3.9% | 61% | 29% | 0% | 9% |
| Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party) | August 29–30, 2018 | 2,783 | ± 1.9% | 51% | 36% | – | 13% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 12–16, 2018 | 934 | ± 4.1% | 57% | 30% | 1% | 10% |
| Siena College | June 4–7, 2018 | 745 | ± 3.7% | 61% | 28% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 26 – May 1, 2018 | 1,076 | ± 3.7% | 58% | 23% | 1% | 16% |
| Siena College | April 8–12, 2018 | 692 | ± 4.3% | 58% | 27% | 0% | 13% |
| Siena College | March 11–16, 2018 | 772 | ± 4.0% | 60% | 24% | 0% | 14% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kirsten Gillibrand | 3,755,489 | 62.02% | -4.36% | |
| Working Families | Kirsten Gillibrand | 160,128 | 2.64% | -1.12% | |
| Independence | Kirsten Gillibrand | 99,325 | 1.64% | -0.43% | |
| Women's Equality | Kirsten Gillibrand | 41,989 | 0.69% | N/A | |
| Total | Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) | 4,056,931 | 67.00% | -5.21% | |
| Republican | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 1,730,439 | 28.58% | +5.86% | |
| Conservative | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 246,171 | 4.07% | +0.46% | |
| Reform | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 21,610 | 0.35% | N/A | |
| Total | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 1,998,220 | 33.00% | +6.66% | |
| Total votes | 6,055,151 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
References
- Madina Toure (December 4, 2016). "Gillibrand Wants More Federal Funds to Protect Religious Institutions". Observer. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- "Gillibrand accepts nomination for another term, promises to serve all of it". Politico.com. February 16, 2018. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- "DR SCOTT NOREN FOR US SENATE - committee overview". Retrieved March 16, 2018.
- "Filings received for the June 26, 2018 Federal Primary Election". NY Board of Elections. April 12, 2018. Retrieved June 26, 2018.
- Oppenheimer, Jerry (January 22, 2017). "Could Caroline Kennedy be the baggage-free Hillary Clinton?". New York Post. Retrieved January 24, 2017.
- Bernstein, Jonathan (February 16, 2018). "The 2020 Democratic Primary Is Already Out of Hand". www.bloomberg.com.
- Jimmy Vielkind (March 2, 2018). "Republicans nominate Chele Farley to make their case against Gillibrand". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2018.
- Zremski, Jerry (February 2, 2018). "GOP fundraiser Chele Chiavacci Farley to run against Gillibrand". The Buffalo News. Retrieved February 2, 2018.
- Hamilton, Matthew (October 1, 2017). "Gibson talks book, Trump". Times Union. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- Lovett, Kenneth (January 7, 2018). "George Pataki aide considers run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 10, 2018.
- Schumer, Amy (October 22, 2018). "Newspic.twitter.com/UBe1ZQq5Yz".
- "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
- Tiffany Muller (February 13, 2018). "Gillibrand Pledges to Reject Corporate PAC Money; End Citizens United Endorses Re-election". End Citizens United.
- "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017.
- "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
- "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club Voter Guide. July 16, 2012.
- "RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate in New York". Giffords. August 17, 2018.
- "New York State AFL-CIO Announces the Endorsement of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand and Endorsements In Congressional Races". New York State AFL-CIO. August 21, 2018.
- https://www.nysut.org/~/media/files/nysut/news/2018/2018finalendorsements_v2.pdf?la=en
- "HRC Endorses New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Re-Election". Human Rights Campaign.
- "New York". Working Families.
- tbrown (September 6, 2018). "PSC Endorsements 2018". PSC CUNY.
- "CSEA's 2018 Endorsements". cseany.org.
- Board, Editorial. "Editorial endorsement: Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate". syracuse.com.
- "Newsday endorses Gillibrand for Senate". Newsday.
- "Endorsement: Gillibrand has right stuff for Senate". Glens Falls Post-Star.
- Board, Daily News Editorial. "Vote for Gillibrand: New York's junior senator deserves reelection - NY Daily News". nydailynews.com.
- The Editorial Board. "amNewYork endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate". amNewYork.
- McPherson, Lindsey (August 14, 2018). "Trump Touts New York GOP Senate Candidate at Fundraiser for Vulnerable House Republican" – via www.rollcall.com.
- Lovett, Kenneth (April 9, 2018). "LOVETT: Al D'Amato blasts former pal Kirsten Gillibrand, says she 'doesn't care two s--ts in a bucket' about New Yorkers". New York Daily News.
- Whalen, Ryan (July 26, 2018). "Rep. Collins Endorses Farley For U.S. Senate". NY State of Politics.
- "Dan Donovan Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate". Chele Farley for US Senate. May 18, 2018. Archived from the original on August 6, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
- Reisman, Nick (May 1, 2018). "Faso For Farley". NY State of Politics.
- Harding, Robert (May 31, 2018). "Rep. John Katko backs Chele Farley in race against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". The Citizen.
- Chele Farley for Senate. "I'm thrilled to announce that Congressman Peter King has endorsed our campaign for US Senate!". Facebook.
- Pascocello, Dain (July 10, 2018). "Congressman Reed Endorses Farley for U.S. Senate; NY-23 Rep Says Gillibrand 'Out of Touch with Our Values'". NewsLI.com.
- Harding, Robert (March 28, 2018). "Rep. Elise Stefanik endorses Chele Farley for Senate against Gillibrand". The Citizen.
- Chele Farley. "Thank you, @claudiatenney, for your endorsement! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
- "Zeldin Strongly Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate; Calls Successful Businesswoman, Gillibrand Opponent an "Effective Leader, Proven Problem-Solver"". Long Island Exchange. August 28, 2018.
- "Gov. Mike Huckabee on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved July 1, 2018.
- Chele Farley for Senate. "Proud to have the endorsement of Governor George E. Pataki in my bid to represent New York in the US Senate! #Farley4NY #Farley4Senate". Facebook.
- Chele Farley. "I've been endorsed by America's Mayor! Thank you to @RudyGiuliani for his support at yesterday's #Ohel visit. Let's #PutNYFirst on Tuesday! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
- Reisman, Nick (June 26, 2018). "Farley Touts Support From Hannity". NY State of Politics.
- "Crown Heights PAC Endorses". COLlive.com. November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- "Endorsements For New York November 6 General Elections". The Jewish Press. October 24, 2018.
- "GOP moderate Farley is better for New York than 'poser' Gillibrand". New York Post. October 27, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018.
- "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2018/general/2018USSenate.pdf
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites
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