2018 California Insurance Commissioner election

The 2018 California Insurance Commissioner election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Insurance Commissioner of California. Under California's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers — regardless of party — advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election.

2018 California Insurance Commissioner election

November 6, 2018
 
Candidate Ricardo Lara Steve Poizner
Party Democratic No party preference
Popular vote 6,186,039 5,515,293
Percentage 52.9% 47.1%

County Results
Lara:      50–60%      60–70%
Poizner:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Commissioner before election

Dave Jones
Democratic

Elected Commissioner

Ricardo Lara
Democratic

Incumbent Democratic Commissioner Dave Jones was term-limited and could not seek re-election to a third term.

Primary election

Declared

Declined

Declared

Declared

  • Nathalie Hrizi, teacher and 2014 candidate for Insurance Commissioner[7]

Endorsements

Ricardo Lara (D)
Federal-level officials
State-level Officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Steve Poizner (NPP)
Newspapers
International-level officials
Federal-level officials
  • Jim Blew, Assistant Secretary of Education for Planning, Evaluation, and Policy Analysis[25]
  • Frank Baxter, former U.S. Ambassador to Uruguay (Republican)[24]
  • George P. Shultz, former U.S. Secretary of State (Republican)[24]
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Individuals
Organizations
Asif Mahmood (D)
Federal-level officials
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Individuals
Nathalie Hrizi (PFP)

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Ricardo
Lara (D)
Asif
Mahmood (D)
Steve
Poizner (NPP)
Nathalie
Hrizi (PFP)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing May 4–5, 2018 525 18% 7% 26% 6% 43%
Probolsky Research April 16–18, 2018 900 14% 6% 21% 6% 53%
Sexton Strategies and Research (D-Mahmood) March 24–27, 2018 800 18% 18% 49% 15%

Results

Nonpartisan blanket primary results[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
No party preference Steve Poizner 2,569,254 41.0%
Democratic Ricardo Lara 2,538,478 40.5%
Democratic Asif Mahmood 846,023 13.5%
Peace and Freedom Nathalie Hrizi 316,149 5.0%
Total votes 6,269,904 100%

Results by county

Results by county:
  Poizner—60–70%
  Poizner—50–60%
  Poizner—40–50%
  Poizner—30–40%
  Lara—40–50%
  Lara—50–60%

Primary results by county.[34] Gray represents counties won by Poizner. Blue represents counties won by Lara.

CountyHrizi (PFP)Lara (D)Mahmood (D)Poizner (NPP)
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Alameda17,1475.8%133,12445.0%58,86819.9%86,51729.3%
Alpine143.9%14841.5%5214.6%14340.1%
Amador6125.3%2,58022.3%1,40312.1%6,96160.2%
Butte3,3556.9%14,71630.3%6,88814.2%23,63748.6%
Calaveras7635.5%3,10022.3%1,66512.0%8,37360.2%
Colusa1775.8%79726.0%34111.1%1,75157.1%
Contra Costa11,0815.2%77,38536.2%32,20315.1%92,88543.5%
Del Norte3677.8%1,52732.6%50910.9%2,27548.6%
El Dorado2,3854.8%12,41524.9%6,07712.2%28,89058.1%
Fresno6,7865.7%41,33135.0%13,86611.7%56,20547.6%
Glenn3006.9%89120.5%4119.5%2,74163.1%
Humboldt2,0527.6%11,99544.2%4,73417.4%8,38330.9%
Imperial8084.6%9,84155.6%1,5478.7%5,48831.0%
Inyo3467.1%1,54131.6%55911.5%2,43149.8%
Kern5,3985.1%30,75828.8%8,4017.9%62,20758.3%
Kings6364.3%4,33229.2%1,2868.7%8,57057.8%
Lake7586.2%3,74930.4%2,14817.4%5,65846.0%
Lassen4979.4%1,18622.5%4157.9%3,16460.1%
Los Angeles61,5974.7%697,79553.6%167,34812.8%375,65828.8%
Madera9894.6%6,06628.0%1,7728.2%12,81458.2%
Marin2,9194.0%31,38842.6%12,09116.4%27,20037.0%
Mariposa3326.0% 1,44026.2%4838.8%3,23758.9%
Mendocino1,4607.8%7,77641.5%3,99221.3%5,48829.3%
Merced1,5475.4%11,27539.3%2,4118.4%13,48447.0%
Modoc23110.1%47420.6%2219.61,37259.7%
Mono1655.6%1,10938.0%37212.7%1,27643.7%
Monterey2,4794.5%30,64550.9%5,5359.2%21,51135.8%
Napa1,4394.5%10,67133.2%6,46420.1%13,55442.25%
Nevada1,8225.5%9,95830.0%6,18818.6%15,22145.9%
Orange23,1604.2%188,97034.1%61,75911.1%280,35650.6%
Placer5,1025.3%25,94526.8%11,51511.9%54,20856.0%
Plumas3746.6%1,37224.4%92516.4%2,95752.5%
Riverside13,8044.5%108,20335.1%32,89510.7%153,15749.7%
Sacramento12,1834.4%101,94736.5%43,28215.5%121,84143.6%
San Benito6355.7%4,64742.0%1,13110.2%4,65442.1%
San Bernardino12,7235.0%90,70535.7%26,22310.3%124,32449.0%
San Diego23,3973.9%236,42939.2%77,31112.8%266,31844.1%
San Francisco29,48714.1%85,10740.8%33,00115.8%61,04429.3%
San Joaquin5,4275.5%34,62635.3%13,67313.9% 44,39545.2%
San Luis Obispo3,9985.2%25,89834.0%9,91213.0%36,41147.8%
San Mateo6,4364.2%63,58842.0%25,58816.9%55,93036.9%
Santa Barbara3,3744.2%33,84042.1%9,82112.2%33,30341.5%
Santa Clara12,7424.0%122,58238.2%54,95817.1%130,32040.6%
Santa Cruz3,3735.2%31,19248.3%10,23915.9%19,72830.6%
Shasta2,6266.3%8,15319.7%3,5938.7%27,07765.3%
Sierra1088.9%31125.6%16713.8%62751.7%
Siskiyou7056.9%2,80227.6%1,12111.0%5,52354.4%
Solano4,3105.8%28,51438.4%12,22516.4%29,27739.4%
Sonoma5,5504.7%52,71945.0%22,39919.1%36,46331.1%
Stanislaus3,7554.7%26,11632.8%10,48713.2%39,34649.4%
Sutter1,1876.4%4,27723.2%2,69414.6%10,25855.7%
Tehama1,0248.0%2,64520.7% 1,0878.5%8,04262.8%
Trinity38211.1%1,03130.0%49014.2%1,53644.7%
Tulare2,5685.1%16,49532.4%3,6157.1%28,16755.4%
Tuolumne8115.8%3,46424.8%1,86513.3%7,84356.1%
Ventura5,8754.0%57,28638.7%16,71511.3%68,05946.0%
Yolo1,7774.3%17,21941.5%7,79918.8%14,68835.4%
Yuba7867.3%2,38222.2%1,28312.0%6,27458.5%
Totals316,1495.0%2,538,47840.5%846,02313.5%2,569,25441.0%

General election

Endorsements

Ricardo Lara (D)
Federal-level officials
State-level Officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Steve Poizner (NPP)
Newspapers
International-level officials
Federal-level officials
  • Jim Blew, Assistant Secretary of Education for Planning, Evaluation, and Policy Analysis[25]
  • Frank Baxter, former U.S. Ambassador to Uruguay (Republican)[24]
  • George P. Shultz, former U.S. Secretary of State (Republican)[24]
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ricardo
Lara (D)
Steve
Poizner (NPP)
Undecided
Thomas Partners Strategies October 25–27, 2018 1,068 ± 3.5% 44% 45% 11%
UC Berkeley October 19–26, 2018 1,339 ± 4.0% 44% 49% 7%
Thomas Partners Strategies October 12–14, 2018 1,068 ± 3.5% 39% 47% 15%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 28–30, 2018 1,068 ± 3.5% 37% 45% 15%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 21–23, 2018 1,068 ± 3.5% 40% 45% 15%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 14–16, 2018 1,040 ± 3.5% 27% 34% 40%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 7–9, 2018 1,227 ± 3.3% 27% 34% 39%

Results

California Insurance Commissioner election, 2018[36]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Ricardo Lara 6,186,039 52.87% -4.65%
No party preference Steve Poizner 5,515,293 47.13% N/A
Total votes 11,701,332 100% N/A
Democratic hold

References

  1. McGreevy, Patrick (March 21, 2017). "California state Sen. Ricardo Lara announces he's running for state insurance commissioner in 2018". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  2. McGreevy, Patrick (March 22, 2017). "Former Assemblywoman Susan Bonilla won't run for state insurance commissioner". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  3. Martin, Jr., Thurman R. (January 18, 2017). "Mendoza to Senate Insurance & a Commissioner Run?". Workers' Comp Executive. Archived from the original on April 5, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  4. "Whirlwind of New Endorsements Rush Towards Lara for Insurance Commissioner". Fresno County Democratic Party. March 29, 2017. Archived from the original on April 5, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  5. https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/12/top-california-republican-to-run-statewide-as-an-independent-406171
  6. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2018-03-29. Retrieved 2018-03-29.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  7. "Election 2018: The Peace & Freedom Party Candidates". December 18, 2017. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  8. "Quintet of So Cal Assembly Members Line Up Behind Lara for Insurance Commissioner". Fresno County Democratic Party. March 31, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  9. Hernandez, Moises (April 11, 2018). "GOVERNOR JERRY BROWN ENDORSES RICARDO LARA FOR INSURANCE COMMISSIONER". Democratic Party of Fresno County. Archived from the original on April 14, 2018. Retrieved April 13, 2018.
  10. "San Francisco Progressive Leaders Unite Behind Ricardo Lara". Fresno County Democratic Party. March 29, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  11. "Mayors of CA's 6th, 7th Largest Cities Endorse Ricardo Lara for Insurance Commissioner". Fresno County Democratic Party. March 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 5, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2017.
  12. http://www.latimes.com/opinion/editorials/la-ed-poizner-endorsement-20181003-story.html
  13. http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/opinion/sd-poizner-for-insurance-commissioner-20180921-story.html
  14. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2018-04-18. Retrieved 2018-04-17.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  15. https://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/editorials/article/Editorial-Chronicle-recommends-Poizner-for-12879976.php
  16. http://www.sacbee.com/opinion/editorials/article209943754.html
  17. http://www.modbee.com/opinion/editorials/article211302674.html
  18. http://www.marinij.com/article/NO/20180524/LOCAL1/180529896
  19. http://www.redbluffdailynews.com/article/ND/20180529/NEWS/180529851
  20. http://www.malibutimes.com/opinion/article_1cb96848-643a-11e8-bb04-cba4676c5fcd.html
  21. http://www.sanluisobispo.com/latest-news/article212300614.html
  22. http://www.maderatribune.com/single-post/2018/06/03/Election-Day-A-few-minor-suggestions-for-Tuesday
  23. https://insurancenewsnet.com/oarticle/editorial-steve-poizner-for-insurance-commissioner#.W6VOnP5Kgo8
  24. http://cal-access.sos.ca.gov/Campaign/Committees/Detail.aspx?id=1402422&session=2017&view=late1
  25. http://cal-access.sos.ca.gov/Campaign/Committees/Detail.aspx?id=1402422&session=2017&view=received
  26. https://twitter.com/StevePoizner/status/1055585081329299456
  27. https://www.buzzfeed.com/henrygomez/john-kasichs-recent-moves-reflect-his-2020-options
  28. https://kogo.iheart.com/content/california-voter-guide-2018-candidate-races/
  29. https://www.facebook.com/stevepoizner/posts/10155231042077331
  30. https://twitter.com/TomEdmonds2/status/996924847363047426
  31. https://www.uniteamerica.org/steve_poizner
  32. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2018-04-21. Retrieved 2018-04-20.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  33. http://sfbayview.com/2018/05/bay-view-voters-guide-vote-100-make-bvhp-known-for-ballots-not-bullets/
  34. Statement of Vote
  35. JohnHCox. "People have asked my recommendations on a lot of races & ballot measures - two easy ones are @StevePoizner for IC and @MarshallTuck for #SPI - they will both be great for CA! #Midterms #California". Twitter.
  36. "Insurance Commissioner - Statewide Results". California Secretary of State. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
Official campaign websites
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