2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

The 2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election, U.S. House elections, and various state and local elections.

2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)
 
Nominee Maggie Hassan Ovide Lamontagne
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 378,934 294,024
Percentage 54.6% 42.5%

Results by municipality

Governor before election

John Lynch
Democratic

Elected Governor

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

Four-term incumbent governor John Lynch was eligible to seek a fifth term. In the fall of 2011, Lynch announced that he would retire rather than run for re-election.[1] On September 11, 2012, Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Ovide Lamontagne defeated primary opponents to win their parties' nominations.[2][3] Hassan won the election while carrying every county in the state and began the two-year term on January 3, 2013.[4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jackie
Cilley
Maggie
Hassan
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 9–12, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 24% 30% 46%
Public Policy Polling May 10–13, 2012 477 ± 4.5% 20% 23% 57%

Results

Democratic primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Maggie Hassan 45,120 53.1
Democratic Jackie Cilley 33,066 38.9
Democratic Bill Kennedy 5,936 7.0
Democratic Other 850 1.0
Total votes 84,972 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ovide
Lamontagne
Kevin
Smith
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 9–12, 2012 662 ± 3.8% 49% 21% 30%
Public Policy Polling May 10–13, 2012 555 ± 4.2% 53% 13% 34%
Public Policy Polling January 7–8, 2012 1,771 ± 2.3% 40% 12% 48%

Results

Republican primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ovide Lamontagne 73,437 67.7
Republican Kevin Smith 32,396 29.8
Republican Robert Tarr 1,725 1.6
Republican Other 988 0.9
Total votes 108,546 100

General election

Candidates

  • John Babiarz (Libertarian), businessman and party nominee for governor in 2000, 2002, and 2010[26]
  • Maggie Hassan (D), former majority leader of the New Hampshire Senate
  • Ovide Lamontagne (R), attorney, Republican nominee for governor in 1996, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[27] Tossup November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Lean D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[29] Tossup November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[30] Lean D November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Ovide
Lamontagne (R)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports November 4, 2012 750 ± 4% 50% 45% 1% 4%
New England College November 3–4, 2012 666 ± 4.1% 47% 45% 1% 7%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012 1,550 ± 2.5% 51% 47% 2%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire November 1–4, 2012 789 ± 3.5% 54% 43% 3%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire October 31–November 2, 2012 502 ± 4.4% 47% 42% 3% 8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 28–29, 2012 1013 ± 3.1% 49% 44% 1% 6%
Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2012 874 ± 3.3% 48% 44% 8%
New England College October 23–25, 2012 571 ± 4.1% 45% 45% 1% 9%
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 46% 48% 1% 5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire October 17–21, 2012 773 ± 3.5% 43% 35% 3% 18%
Public Policy Polling October 17–19, 2012 1,036 ± 3.0% 45% 43% 12%
Rasmussen Reports October 15, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 46% 48% 5%
Suffolk University/7NEWS October 12–14, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 41% 38% 4% 16%
American Research Group October 9–11, 2012 600 ± 4% 40% 46% 3% 11%
Rasmussen Reports October 9, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 48% 46% 5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire October 1–6, 2012 419 ± 4.8% 35% 39% 3% 23%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire September 27–30, 2012 600 ± 4.0% 38% 36% 2% 25%
Public Policy Polling September 24–25, 2012 862 ± 3.3% 51% 44% 5%
NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 23–25, 2012 1012 ± 3.1% 47% 45% 1% 7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner September 15–19, 2012 600 ± 4.9% 48% 46% 6%
Rasmussen Reports September 18, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 44% 48% 2% 7%
Public Policy Polling August 9–12, 2012 1,055 ± 3.0% 45% 43% 12%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire August 1–12, 2012 555 ± 4.2% 31% 33% 1% 35%
Rasmussen Reports June 20, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 36% 42% 22%
Public Policy Polling May 10–13, 2012 1,163 ± 2.9% 39% 40% 21%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire April 9–20, 2012 486 ± 4.4% 34% 29% 1% 36%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire January 25–February 2, 2012 495 ± 4.4% 26% 32% 1% 41%
Public Policy Polling June 30–July 5, 2011 662 ± 3.8% 35% 41% 24%

Results

2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Maggie Hassan 378,934 54.61% +1.98%
Republican Ovide Lamontagne 295,026 42.52% -2.51%
Libertarian John J. Babiarz 19,251 2.77% +0.56%
Write-in 666 0.10% -0.02%
Total votes 693,877 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

References

  1. Langley, Karen (September 16, 2011). "Lynch will not seek a fifth term". Concord Monitor. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  2. "2012 Election Information". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  3. "Lamontagne, Hassan will face off in governor's race". Archived from the original on November 29, 2014. Retrieved September 11, 2012.
  4. New Hampshire
  5. Hall, Beth LaMontagne (February 7, 2012). "Former state Sen. Cilley enters race for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved February 9, 2012.
  6. Marchocki, Kathryn (October 25, 2011). "Former Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan makes gubernatorial bid official". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  7. Claffey, Jason (April 4, 2012). "Democratic Field for Governor to Expand". Exeter, NH Patch. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  8. Timmins, Annmarie (April 5, 2012). "Political newcomer to run for governor". Concord Monitor. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  9. Landrigan, Kevin (February 11, 2012). "Mark Connolly, financial whistle-blower, won't run for governor". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved February 13, 2012.
  10. Ireland, Doug (January 13, 2012). "Stonyfield CEO steps down". The Eagle-Tribune. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  11. Cresta, Joey (December 21, 2011). "Ex-Mayor accepts UNH job, ending political rumblings". The Portsmouth Herald. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  12. "McLaughlin won't run for governor". The Laconia Daily Sun. January 26, 2012. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  13. Pindell, James (February 7, 2012). "EXCLUSIVE: Shumaker Will Not Run For Governor". WMUR-TV Political Scoop. Archived from the original on February 8, 2012. Retrieved April 3, 2012.
  14. "2012 Governor - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 24, 2012.
  15. Houghton, Kimberly (September 19, 2011). "Ovide Lamontagne makes candidacy for governor official". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 19, 2011.
  16. DiStaso, John (November 16, 2011). "Conservative Kevin Smith says 'I'm in' for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Archived from the original on January 28, 2012. Retrieved November 16, 2011.
  17. "In NH, a big election year by the numbers, too". Nashua Telegraph. June 20, 2012. Retrieved August 10, 2012.
  18. Curtis, Danielle (May 17, 2012). "Binnie won't enter governor race". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved May 17, 2012.
  19. Pindell, James (January 26, 2012). "Bradley Won't Run For Governor". WMUR-TV Political Scoop. Archived from the original on March 29, 2012. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  20. Cleveland, Kathy (September 22, 2011). "Sen. Peter Bragdon rules out run for governor in 2012". Milford Cabinet. Archived from the original on March 5, 2016. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  21. Landrigan, Kevin (March 8, 2012). "Manchester mayor Gatsas bows out of race for governor". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved March 12, 2012.
  22. Landrigan, Kevin (March 31, 2012). "Kenda rules out run for governor". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved April 3, 2012.
  23. Pindell, James (February 13, 2012). "EXCLUSIVE: NH Education Board Chair Not Running For Governor". Political Scoop. Archived from the original on May 15, 2012. Retrieved February 14, 2012.
  24. Landrigan, Kevin (February 13, 2012). "Stephen, 2010 GOP governor nominee, will not run again". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved February 13, 2012.
  25. "2012 Governor - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 24, 2012.
  26. Schinella, Tony (June 12, 2012). "VIDEO: Babiarz Running for Governor". Amherst, NH Patch. Archived from the original on June 22, 2012. Retrieved August 10, 2012.
  27. "2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  28. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  29. "2012 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  30. "2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  31. http://sos.nh.gov/2012GovGen.aspx
Official campaign websites
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