2010 United States Senate election in Hawaii

The 2010 United States Senate election in Hawaii took place on November 2, 2010 concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on September 18, 2010.[1] Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and President pro tempore Daniel Inouye won re-election to his ninth term.

2010 United States Senate election in Hawaii
November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Daniel Inouye Campbell Cavasso
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 277,228 79,939
Percentage 74.8% 21.6%
County results
Inouye:      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Daniel Inouye
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Daniel Inouye
Democratic

Elections in Hawaii
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Background

Hawaii last elected a Republican Senator in 1970, and its current delegation to the United States Congress currently consists entirely of Democrats. Democrats have also won Hawaii's electoral votes in every presidential election since Ronald Reagan's landslide election in 1984. The exceptions at the time were then-Governor Linda Lingle (who was serving her second and final term) and then-U.S. Representative Charles Djou, both of whom are Republicans.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results
Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Daniel Inouye (incumbent) 188,400 88.3%
Democratic Andy Woerner 25,016 11.7%
Total votes 213,416 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates
  • Campbell Cavasso, former State Representative
  • Eddie Pirkowski, businessman and U.S. Senate candidate in the 2006 primary
  • John Roco

Results
Results by county:
  Cavasso—70–80%
  Cavasso—60–70%
  Cavasso—50–60%
Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Campbell Cavasso 21,865 66.7%
Republican John Roco 7,190 21.9%
Republican Eddie Pirkowski 3,744 11.4%
Total votes 32,790 100.0%

General election

Candidates

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid D[3] October 22, 2010
Rothenberg Safe D[4] October 15, 2010
RealClearPolitics Safe D[5] October 22, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D[6] October 21, 2010
CQ Politics Safe D[7] October 22, 2010

Campaign

The death of longtime U.S. Senator Robert C. Byrd allowed Inouye to become the President pro tempore and Chairman of the United States Senate Committee on Appropriations. He made no apologies for bringing home as much federal money as he can, despite Republican insistence that the U.S. government taxes and spends too much, a stance he calls a "nice gimmick." The Maui News endorsed his re-election.[8]

Cavasso, the 2004 nominee, is running again and won the Republican primary again. He is running on a platform of change and is emphasizing the need for a balanced budget.[9] Inouye, who defeated Cavasso in 2004 by 52 percentage points, released TV ads that refer to him simply as "Dan". The senator is said to be "working" for Hawaii's transportation, high-tech economy, education and other needs.[10]

Polling
Hypothetical polling numbers with John Roco (R)
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Daniel
Inouye (D)		 John
Roco (R)		 Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports June 24, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 68% 20% 3% 8%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Daniel
Inouye (D)		 Cam
Cavasso (R)		 Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 53% 40% 3% 4%
Public Policy Polling October 2–3, 2010 1326 ± 2.7% 65% 29% — 6%

Fundraising
Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Daniel Inouye (D) $3,503,323 $3,814,829 $1,506,305 $0
Campbell Cavasso (R) $252,711 $238,794 $14,385 $126,179
Source: Federal Election Commission[11]

Results
United States Senate election in Hawaii, 2010[12]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Daniel Inouye (incumbent) 277,228 74.81% -0.70%
Republican Campbell Cavasso 79,939 21.57% +0.58%
Green Jim Brewer 7,762 2.09% N/A
Libertarian Lloyd Jeffrey Mallen 2,957 0.80% -0.47%
Independent Jeff Jarrett 2,697 0.73% N/A
Majority 197,289 53.24%
Total votes 370,583 100.00%
Democratic hold Swing

References
  1. http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2010/2010pdates.pdf
  2. "Hawaii Senate Primary Results". Politico. September 18, 2010. Retrieved September 19, 2010.
  3. "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
  4. "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
  5. "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
  6. "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
  7. "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
  8. "News Clippings". Archived from the original on October 23, 2010. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  9. "Cavasso Files For US Senate Run | Cam Cavasso | Hawaii Senate Race 2010". Archived from the original on October 8, 2010. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  10. Cavasso undeterred by odds in campaign against Inouye - Hawaii News - Staradvertiser.com
  11. "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Hawaii". fec.gov. Retrieved July 27, 2010.
  12. http://hawaii.gov/elections/results/2010/general/files/histatewide.pdf
Official campaign websites
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