2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee
The 2010 congressional elections in Tennessee were held on November 2, 2010 to determine who would represent the state of Tennessee in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected serve in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013.
Elections in Tennessee |
---|
Government |
Tennessee has nine seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States Census.
Overview
United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee, 2010[1] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats Before | Seats After | +/– | |
Republican | 955,078 | 61.2% | 4 | 7 | +3 | |
Democratic | 541,527 | 34.7% | 5 | 2 | -3 | |
Independent | 62,524 | 4.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Totals | 1,559,129 | 100.00% | 9 | 9 | — |
By district
Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee by district:[2]
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 123,006 | 80.84% | 26,045 | 17.12% | 3,110 | 2.04% | 152,161 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 2 | 141,796 | 81.78% | 25,400 | 14.65% | 6,184 | 3.57% | 173,380 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 3 | 92,032 | 56.79% | 45,387 | 28.01% | 24,637 | 15.20% | 162,056 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 4 | 103,969 | 57.07% | 70,254 | 38.56% | 7,968 | 4.37% | 182,191 | 100.0% | Republican Gain |
District 5 | 74,204 | 42.07% | 99,162 | 56.23% | 2,996 | 1.70% | 176,362 | 100.0% | Democratic Hold |
District 6 | 128,517 | 67.26% | 56,145 | 29.38% | 6,422 | 3.36% | 191,084 | 100.0% | Republican Gain |
District 7 | 158,916 | 72.37% | 54,347 | 24.75% | 6,320 | 2.88% | 219,583 | 100.0% | Republican Hold |
District 8 | 98,759 | 58.99% | 64,960 | 38.80% | 3,686 | 2.20% | 167,405 | 100.0% | Republican Gain |
District 9 | 33,879 | 25.11% | 99,827 | 74.00% | 1,201 | 0.89% | 134,907 | 100.0% | Democratic Hold |
Total | 955,078 | 61.26% | 541,527 | 34.73% | 62,524 | 4.01% | 1,559,129 | 100.0% |
Congressional districts
District 1
This district covers northeast Tennessee, including all of Carter, Cocke, Greene, Hamblen, Hancock, Hawkins, Johnson, Sullivan, Unicoi, and Washington counties and parts of Jefferson County and Sevier County. It had been represented by Republican Phil Roe since 2009. The winner of the GOP primary was all but assured of representing the district in Congress as this is one of the safest seats for the GOP; it had held the seat continuously since 1881 and, since prior to the Civil War, the GOP or its predecessors had held the seat for all but four years.
Democratic primary
- Michael Clark
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Michael Clark | 9,012 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 9,012 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
- Phil Roe, incumbent
- Mahmood "Michael" Sabri
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Phil Roe (incumbent) | 78,862 | 95.7 | |
Republican | Mahmood "Michael" Sabri | 3,546 | 4.3 | |
Total votes | 82,408 | 100.0 |
General election
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Phil Roe (incumbent) | 123,006 | 80.84 | |
Democratic | Michael Clark | 26,045 | 17.12 | |
Independent | Kermit Steck | 3,110 | 2.04 | |
Total votes | 152,161 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 2
This district lies in the east central part of the state, based in Knoxville and is largely coextensive with that city's metropolitan area. It had been represented by Republican Jimmy Duncan since November, 1988. The winner of the GOP primary was all but assured of representing the district in Congress as this was one of the safest seats for the GOP (even safer than the neighboring First District); the GOP or its predecessors had held the seat continuously since prior to the Civil War.
Democratic primary
- Dave Hancock
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dave Hancock | 9,778 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 9,778 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
- Jimmy Duncan, incumbent
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jimmy Duncan (incumbent) | 92,414 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 92,414 | 100.0 |
General election
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jimmy Duncan (incumbent) | 141,796 | 81.78 | |
Democratic | Dave Hancock | 25,400 | 14.65 | |
Independent | Joseph R. Leinweber Jr. | 2,497 | 1.44 | |
Independent | D.H. "Andy" Andrew | 1,993 | 1.15 | |
Independent | Greg Samples | 1,185 | 0.68 | |
Independent | H. James Headings | 509 | 0.30 | |
Total votes | 173,380 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Race profile at The New York Times
District 3
Republican Representative Zach Wamp announced that he would be running for governor in 2010, leaving the third district open.[6]
Democratic primary
- Alicia Mitchell
- Brenda Freeman Short
- Brent Davis Staton
- John Wolfe Jr., attorney and perennial candidate
- Larry J. Abeare, Sr (write-in)
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Wolfe Jr. | 7,006 | 38.92 | |
Democratic | Brenda Freeman Short | 4,530 | 25.17 | |
Democratic | Brent Davis Staton | 4,530 | 21.19 | |
Democratic | Alicia Mitchell | 2,647 | 14.71 | |
Democratic | Larry J. Abeare, Sr. (write-in) | 3 | 0.01 | |
Total votes | 18,000 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
- Tommy Crangle
- Chuck Fleischmann, attorney
- Tim Gobble
- Harvey Howard
- Jean Howard-Hill
- Van Irion
- Rick Kernea
- Basil Marceaux, perennial candidate
- Art Rhodes
- Robin Smith, former TNGOP Chairwoman[7]
- Grover Travillian
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chuck Fleischmann | 26,869 | 29.67 | |
Republican | Robin Smith | 25,454 | 28.11 | |
Republican | Tim Gobble | 14,274 | 15.76 | |
Republican | Van Irion | 10,492 | 11.59 | |
Republican | Tommy Crangle | 5,149 | 5.69 | |
Republican | Art Rhodes | 4,552 | 5.03 | |
Republican | Jean Howard-Hill | 1,259 | 1.39 | |
Republican | Rick Kernea | 739 | 0.82 | |
Republican | Harvey Howard | 670 | 0.74 | |
Republican | Basil Marceaux | 655 | 0.72 | |
Republican | Grover Travillian | 440 | 0.48 | |
Total votes | 90,553 | 100.0 |
General election
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chuck Fleischmann | 92,032 | 56.79 | |
Democratic | John Wolfe Jr. | 45,387 | 28.01 | |
Independent | Savas T. Kyriakidis | 17,077 | 10.54 | |
Independent | Mark DeVol | 5,773 | 3.56 | |
Independent | Don Barkman | 811 | 0.50 | |
Independent | Gregory C. Goodwin | 380 | 0.23 | |
Independent | Robert Humphries | 380 | 0.23 | |
Independent | Mo Kiah | 216 | 0.14 | |
Total votes | 162,056 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Race profile at The New York Times
District 4*
Democratic incumbent Lincoln Davis ran for reelection, challenged by Republican nominee Scott DesJarlais, a physician in Jasper, and Independents Paul H. Curtis (PVS), James Gray (campaign site, PVS), Richard S. Johnson (PVS), and Gerald York (campaign site, PVS).
Davis had represented the district since 2003. He turned down a run for governor, deciding to run for reelection instead.[8]
This district lies in Middle and East Tennessee.
Scott DesJarlais (R) won the election.
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Race profile at The New York Times
District 5
This district lies in Middle Tennessee, including almost all of Davidson County, half of Wilson County, and half of Cheatham County. Nearly two-thirds of the district's voting population lives in Nashville. It had been represented by Democrat Jim Cooper since 2003.
Jim Cooper (D) won reelection.
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Race profile at The New York Times
District 6
This district lies in Middle Tennessee, including all of Bedford, Cannon, Clay, DeKalb, Jackson, Macon, Marshall, Overton, Putnam, Robertson, Rutherford, Smith, Sumner, and Trousdale Counties, as well as a portion of Wilson County. It had been represented by Democrat Bart Gordon since 1985. Gordon announced on December 14, 2009 that he would not be seeking another term, leaving the sixth district open.[8]
State Senator Jim Tracy, State Senator Diane Black, Rutherford County Republican Chairwoman Lou Ann Zelenik, United States Army Reserve Major General Dave Evans, realtor Gary Mann, and businessman Kerry Roberts ran for the Republican nomination.[9] Democratic candidates included lawyer and Iraq veteran Brett Carter, aviation safety inspector George Erdel, ex-marine Ben Leming, Henry Barry, and Devora Butler.
The nominees were Brett Carter (D) and Diane Black (R).
Diane Black (R) won the election.
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Race profile at The New York Times
District 7
This district lies in Middle and southwestern Tennessee, connecting suburbs of Memphis and Nashville. It had been represented by Republican Marsha Blackburn since 2003. She faced a challenge from Austin Peay University professor and Democrat Dr. Greg Rabidoux.[10]
Marsha Blackburn (R) won reelection.
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Race profile at The New York Times
District 8*
Democratic incumbent John S. Tanner, who had represented the district since 1989, announced his retirement in December 2009 leaving the eighth district open.[8]
Steve Fincher was the Republican nominee,[11] and State Senator Roy Herron was the Democratic nominee.[12] Also on the ballot are Tea Party candidate Donn Janes (campaign site, PVS), who earlier dropped out of the Republican primary, and Independent Mark J. Rawles (campaign site, PVS).[13]
This district covers roughly the northwestern part of the state.
Stephen Fincher (R) won the election.
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Race profile at The New York Times
Endorsements
Herron had been endorsed by the state's two largest newspapers, the Memphis Commercial Appeal[14] and the Nashville Tennessean.[15]
Fincher had been endorsed by former Governor Winfield Dunn, Citizens United, Eagle Forum, Family Research Council, Concerned Women for America, and State Senator Dolores Gresham.[16]
Forecasts
As of October 22, 2010, Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as "Lean Republican",[17] Real Clear Politics as "Leans GOP".[18] Charlie Cook as "Lean Republican",[19] CQ Politics as "Likely Republican",[20] Larry Sabato as "Likely R",[21] and Chris Cillizza of The Washington Post placed the race at number 23 of the races most likely to change party hands.[22]
District 8 has a PVI of R+13. In the 2008 presidential election, Republican U.S. Senator John McCain carried the district with 56% of the vote.[23]
Polling
Poll Source | Dates Administered | Stephen Fincher (R) | Roy Herron (D) | Donn Janes (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Memphisnewsblog.com | August 10–11, 2010 | 47% | 37% | 5% | 11% |
District 9
This district lies in southwestern Tennessee, located entirely within Shelby County and including most of the city of Memphis. It had been represented by Democrat Steve Cohen since 2007. The Republicans nominated Charlotte Bergmann, who owns a Memphis-based marketing firm, Effective PMP, LLC.
Steve Cohen (D) won reelection.
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Race profile at The New York Times
Key
* A district that has a PVI of a party that is represented by the opposite party, and applies to an EVEN score
References
- http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/index.aspx
- Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
- "DemUSHouseCounty" (PDF). State of Tennessee, August 5, 2010, Democratic Primary. Tennessee Secretary of State. August 5, 2010. Retrieved 28 July 2019.
- "RepUSHouseCounty" (PDF). State of Tennessee, August 5, 2010, Republican Primary. Tennessee Secretary of State. August 5, 2010. Retrieved 28 July 2019.
- "USHCounty" (PDF). State of Tennessee, November 2, 2010, State General. Tennessee Secretary of State. November 2, 2010. Retrieved 28 July 2019.
- "Tennessee: Wamp touts poll saying he's top GOP pick for governor | Chattanooga Times Free Press". Timesfreepress.com. Archived from the original on 2010-08-23. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- Isenstadt, Alex (July 27, 2009). "Divisive Tennesseean seeks seat". Politico. Retrieved 30 July 2019.
- John McArdle (2009-12-22). "Rating Change Signifies Challenge to Tenn.'s Davis". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on 2009-12-26. Retrieved 2009-12-23.
- McArdle, John (2009-12-14). "Tracy to Enter Race to Replace Gordon - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Archived from the original on 2010-02-16. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "Dr. Greg Rabidoux files for U.S. 7th Congressional District » Clarksville, TN Online". Clarksvilleonline.com. 2009-06-04. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- Locker, Richard. "Jackson, Tenn., doctor weighing run for Congress". The Commercial Appeal. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "Donn Janes Announces He Will Run as a Tea Party Candidate; Pulls Out of Republican Party Primary". Marketwire.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "Editorial: Herron ready for Washington". Memphis Commercial Appeal. October 12, 2010. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
- "Herron targets jobs, broadband and infrastructure". Nashville Tennessean. October 11, 2010. Retrieved October 11, 2010.
- http://stephenfincher.org/endorse/
- Rothenberg Political Report
- Real Clear Politics
- "Charlie Cook Political Report". Archived from the original on 2008-07-02. Retrieved 2008-07-02.
- "CQ Politics". Archived from the original on 2009-02-24. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- Wood, Issac. House Race Changes, Sabato's Crystal Ball
- Cillizza, Chris.The Fix 50: The Battle for House control, The Washington Post
- "Tennessee - 8th District". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on July 28, 2012. Retrieved Sep 14, 2010.
External links
- Elections from the Tennessee Department of State
- U.S. Congress Candidates for Tennessee at Project Vote Smart
- Tennessee U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Tennessee from OpenSecrets.org
- 2010 Tennessee General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- House - Tennessee from the Cook Political Report
- Tennessee Election Guide from Congress.org