2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

The 2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent first-term Republican U.S. Senator Tom Coburn won re-election to a second term.

2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Tom Coburn Jim Rogers
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 718,482 265,814
Percentage 70.6% 26.1%

County results
Coburn:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. senator before election

Tom Coburn
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Tom Coburn
Republican

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Jim Rogers, retired college professor
  • Mark Myles, businessman

Results

Democratic primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Rogers 157,955 65.4%
Democratic Mark Myles 83,715 34.6%
Total votes 241,670 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Tom Coburn, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Evelyn Rogers, librarian[2]
  • Lewis Kelly Spring, teacher[3]

Results

Republican primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Coburn (Incumbent) 223,997 90.4%
Republican Evelyn Rogers 15,093 6.1%
Republican Lewis Kelly Spring 8,812 3.5%
Total votes 247,902 100.00%

General election

Candidates

  • Tom Coburn (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Ronald Dwyer (I), activist
  • Jim Rogers (D), teacher
  • Stephen Wallace (I), businessman[4]

Campaign

Coburn, a very popular incumbent, promised to self-term limit himself to two terms. Despite his popularity, he did release television advertisements. In 2009, Coburn's approval rating in a PPP poll was 59%, including a 39% approval rating among Democrats.[5] His Democratic opponent is a perennial candidate[6] who did little campaigning.[7]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[8] Safe R October 20, 2010
Rothenberg[9] Safe R October 15, 2010
RealClearPolitics[10] Safe R October 20, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R October 14, 2010
CQ Politics[12] Safe R October 20, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Coburn (R)
Jim
Rogers (D)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 65% 26% 3% 7%
Rasmussen Reports July 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 65% 31% 1% 4%
Rasmussen Reports August 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 67% 24% 3% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 68% 26% 2% 4%
SoonerPoll October 3–7, 2010 755 ± ? 62% 22% 2% 14%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Tom Coburn (R) $1,935,820 $2,103,749 $671,135 $0
Jim Rogers (D) $0 $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[13]

Results

United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2010[14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Tom Coburn (Incumbent) 718,482 70.64% +17.87%
Democratic Jim Rogers 265,814 26.13% -15.11%
Independent Stephen Wallace 25,048 2.46% N/A
Independent Ronald F. Dwyer 7,807 0.77% N/A
Majority 452,668 44.50%
Total votes 1,017,151 100.00%
Republican hold Swing

References

"Election Results" (pdf). Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved November 16, 2010.

Official campaign websites (Archived)
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