Leadership approval opinion polling for the 2021 Senedd election
At various dates in the run up to the 2021 Senedd election, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of these polls are displayed in this article. The polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
The date range for these opinion polls is from 2019 to the present day, with the exception of Welsh party leaders where the entire polling history is shown.
Most approval polling in Wales is carried out by YouGov/Cardiff University. A single score is then given to each figure, based on where the most common answer for a leader lies, with 0 representing Strongly Dislike and 10 representing Strongly Like.
Welsh party leaders
Mark Drakeford
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Mark Drakeford, leader of Welsh Labour and First Minister of Wales.
2020
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 April | 7 April | YouGov | 1,008 | Like/Dislike | 4[1] |
29 May | 1 June | YouGov | 1,021 | Like/Dislike | 5.1[2] |
28 August | 4 September | YouGov | 1,110 | Like/Dislike | 5.3[3] |
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 February | 22 February | YouGov | 1,025 | Like/Dislike | 3.9[4] |
16 May | 20 May | YouGov | 1,009 | Like/Dislike | 3.8[5] |
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 3.5[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 3.7[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 3.9[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 3.2[9] |
2018
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 March | 15 March | YouGov | 1,015 | Like/Dislike | 3.8[10] |
30 October | 2 November | YouGov | 1,031 | Like/Dislike | 4[11] |
Paul Davies
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Paul Davies, leader of the Welsh Conservatives and Leader of the Opposition in Wales
2020
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 April | 7 April | YouGov | 1,008 | Like/Dislike | 4[1] |
29 May | 1 June | YouGov | 1,021 | Like/Dislike | 3.7[2] |
28 August | 4 September | YouGov | 1,110 | Like/Dislike | 3.7[3] |
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 February | 22 February | YouGov | 1,025 | Like/Dislike | 3.5[4] |
16 May | 20 May | YouGov | 1,009 | Like/Dislike | 3[5] |
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 2.8[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 4[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 3.4[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 3.0[9] |
2018
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 October | 2 November | YouGov | 1,031 | Like/Dislike | 3.7[11] |
Adam Price
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Adam Price, leader of Plaid Cymru.
2020
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 April | 7 April | YouGov | 1,008 | Like/Dislike | 4.9[1] |
29 May | 1 June | YouGov | 1,021 | Like/Dislike | 4.8[2] |
28 August | 4 September | YouGov | 1,110 | Like/Dislike | 4.7[3] |
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 February | 22 February | YouGov | 1,025 | Like/Dislike | 4.6[4] |
16 May | 20 May | YouGov | 1,009 | Like/Dislike | 3.9[5] |
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 3.6[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 4.2[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 4.4[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 4.0[9] |
2018
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 October | 2 November | YouGov | 1,031 | Like/Dislike | 4.3[11] |
Jane Dodds
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jane Dodds, the leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats.
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 May | 20 May | YouGov | 1,009 | Like/Dislike | 3.4[5] |
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 3.7[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 4.2[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 3.4[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 3.2[9] |
2018
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 October | 2 November | YouGov | 1,031 | Like/Dislike | 3.8[11] |
Mark Reckless
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Mark Reckless, leader of Plaid Brexit.
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 May | 20 May | YouGov | 1,009 | Like/Dislike | 2.6[5] |
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 2.8[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 2.8[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 2.4[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 2.5[9] |
Neil Hamilton
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Neil Hamilton, leader of Welsh UKIP.
UK party leaders
Boris Johnson
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Boris Johnson, leader of the Conservative Party and prime minister of the United Kingdom.
2020
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 April | 7 April | YouGov | 1,008 | Like/Dislike | 5.3[1] |
29 May | 1 June | YouGov | 1,021 | Like/Dislike | 4.1[2] |
28 August | 4 September | YouGov | 1,110 | Like/Dislike | 3.9[3] |
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 4[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 4[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 3.9[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 3.8[9] |
Keir Starmer
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Keir Starmer, the leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition.
2020
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 May | 1 June | YouGov | 1,021 | Like/Dislike | 5.6[2] |
28 August | 4 September | YouGov | 1,110 | Like/Dislike | 5.1[3] |
Ed Davey
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Ed Davey, the leader of the Liberal Democrats.
2020
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 August | 4 September | YouGov | 1,110 | Like/Dislike | 3.7[3] |
Nigel Farage
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Nigel Farage, the leader of the Brexit Party.
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 May | 20 May | YouGov | 1,009 | Like/Dislike | 3.7[5] |
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 3.1[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 3.1[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 2.9[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 2.8[9] |
Siân Berry
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Siân Berry, co-leader of the Green Party.
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 May | 20 May | YouGov | 1,009 | Like/Dislike | 4.2[5] |
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 3.6[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 3.9[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 4.0[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 3.9[9] |
Jonathan Bartley
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jonathan Bartley, co-leader of the Green Party.
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 May | 20 May | YouGov | 1,009 | Like/Dislike | 3.6[5] |
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 3.2[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 4.3[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 3.9[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 3.6[9] |
Approval ratings for former party leaders
Jeremy Corbyn
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jeremy Corbyn, the former leader of the Labour Party.
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 May | 20 May | YouGov | 1,009 | Like/Dislike | 3[5] |
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 3[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 3.4[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 3.8[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 3.7[9] |
Jo Swinson
The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jo Swinson, the former leader of the Liberal Democrats.
2019
Date from | Date to | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Question wording | Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 October | 14 October | YouGov | 1,032 | Like/Dislike | 3.5[6] |
31 October | 4 November | YouGov | 1,136 | Like/Dislike | 3.3[7] |
22 November | 25 November | YouGov | 1,116 | Like/Dislike | 3.3[8] |
6 December | 9 December | YouGov | 1,020 | Like/Dislike | 3.0[9] |
Topical polling
Coronavirus handling
The following polls have asked people how well they think key figures have handled the coronavirus pandemic: very well, fairly well, fairly badly, very badly, or don't know. They are then provided with a Total Well or Total Badly figure.
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Mark Drakeford | Matt Hancock | Boris Johnson | Rishi Sunak | Vaughan Gething | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Well | Total Badly | Net | Total Well | Total Badly | Net | Total Well | Total Badly | Net | Total Well | Total Badly | Net | Total Well | Total Badly | Net | |||
28 Aug – 4 Sep[3] | YouGov/Cardiff University | 1,110 | 57 | 22 | 35 | 24 | 48 | -24 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 35 | 26 | 9 |
29 May – 1 Jun[2] | YouGov/Cardiff University | 1,021 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 51 | 23 | 28 | 32 | 27 | 5 |
3 Apr – 7 Apr[1] | YouGov/Cardiff University | 1,008 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 63 | 29 | 34 | 55 | 14 | 41 | 29 | 18 | 11 |
Average popularity
The following averages are taken from the above breakdown of individual figures' popularity. Note for some figures polling exists prior to 2018 which is not shown here. Some figures may only have a small number of surveys.
Figure | Average Score (0–10) | 2020 Average Score (0–10) |
---|---|---|
Keir Starmer | 5.35 | 5.35 |
Adam Price | 4.34 | 4.8 |
Mark Drakeford | 4.018 | 4.8 |
Boris Johnson | 4.014 | 4.433 |
Siân Berry | 3.92 | |
Jonathan Bartley | 3.72 | |
Ed Davey | 3.7 | 3.7 |
Jane Dodds | 3.617 | |
Jeremy Corbyn | 3.38 | |
Jo Swinson | 3.275 | |
Paul Davies | 3.18 | 3.8 |
Nigel Farage | 3.12 | |
Mark Reckless | 2.62 | |
Neil Hamilton | 2.2 |
References
- "The April Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 9 April 2020.
- "The June Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 4 June 2020.
- "The September Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 14 September 2020.
- "The February Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 25 February 2019.
- "The May Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 20 May 2019.
- "The October Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 15 October 2019.
- "The November Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 17 November 2020.
- "The November Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 25 November 2019.
- "The December Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 9 December 2019.
- "The March Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 19 March 2018.
- "The November Welsh Political Barometer Poll" (PDF). YouGov. 6 November 2018.
External links
- Elections in Wales Blog at Cardiff University
- YouGov political figures popularity ratings