Canadian federal election results in Suburban Toronto

This is page shows results of Canadian federal elections in the outer parts of Toronto—the area that was the suburban portion of Metro Toronto prior to the 1998 merger.

Electoral history

2015
2011
2008
2006
2004
2000
1997
1993
1988
1984
1980
1979
1974
1972
1968
1965
1963
1962
1958
1957
1953
1949
1945
1940
1935
1930
1926
1925

Regional profile

This region was largely rural until the 1960s, and its then three ridings usually supported the Progressive Conservatives. In the 1960s and 1970s as it urbanized and its number of seats gradually doubled to seven, it solidly supported the Liberals (Grits) and even gave the New Democratic Party two seats in 1972's tight election. From 1979 until the 1990s its seat split reflected but slightly exaggerated the national result between the Grits and Tories, with the NDP usually shut out.

By the 1990s, with the large proportion of immigrants in the region and urban growth increasing the region's seats to 13, suburban Toronto, like Ontario as a whole, swung hard to the Liberals. For two decades, suburban Ontario was the Liberals' power base; from 1993 to 2008, Liberal candidates swept the region, making this region to the Liberals what Rural Alberta was to the Conservatives. In some ridings, the Liberals defeated their closest opponents by margins of 3-1 or more. The NDP had a few pockets of support, as they did in all of southern Ontario. The Conservatives didn't even register on the radar screen at first; the centre-right had been more or less nonexistent in the former Metro Toronto since the Tories lost all of their seats here in 1993. Even when the Conservatives won minority governments in 2006 and 2008, they were completely shut out in Toronto.

This changed in 2011, when a slight uptick in Conservative support, combined with vote splitting between the Liberals, NDP and Greens allowed the Conservatives to take six seats in the region - including Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff's Etobicoke—Lakeshore riding, albeit in most cases by narrow margins (as few as 26 votes in one riding). Meanwhile, thee national surge of NDP support allowed them to take two in eastern Toronto. However, even though the Liberals only had four of the now 12 seats (reduced from 13 due to population growth elsewhere in Southern Ontario) the Liberals led slightly in terms of popular vote.

The region reverted to form in 2015, as a massive surge in Liberal support allowed the Liberals to win all 14 seats (increased due to intensification, particularly in North York Centre) here en route to taking all of Toronto. In all but one seat (York Centre), the Liberals won by 5,500 or more votes.

2004 election results in the City of Toronto
Party		Central		Suburban		Pickering— Scarborough East (part)*		Total
		Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
	Liberal	234,018	50.9	276,372	57.5	12,451	60.4	522,841	54.4
	New Democratic Party	125,218	27.3	64,146	13.3	2,424	11.8	191,788	20.0
	Conservative	75,063	16.3	111,637	23.2	5,086	24.7	191,786	20.0
	Green	21,548	4.7	14,762	3.1	640	3.1	36,950	3.8
	Christian Heritage	-	-	2,592	0.5	-	-	2,592	0.3
	Progressive Canadian	531	0.1	1,931	0.4	-	-	2,462	0.3
	Marijuana	1,578	0.3	-	-	-	-	1,578	0.2
	Communist	480	0.1	469	0.1	-	-	949	0.1
	Marxist–Leninist	506	0.1	436	0.1	-	-	942	0.1
	Canadian Action	366	0.1	200	0.0	-	-	566	0.1
	Independents	169	0.0	8,348	1.7	-	-	8,517	0.9
Total		459,477		480,893		20,601		960,971

2015 - 42nd General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Conservative		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Don Valley East		Maureen Harquail 12,155 29.23%		Khalid Ahmed 4,307 10.36%		Yasmin Ratansi 24,048 57.82%		Laura Elizabeth Sanderson 1,078 2.59%				Joe Daniel‡
Don Valley North		Joe Daniel 17,279 37.82%		Akil Sadikali 3,896 8.53%		Geng Tan 23,494 51.42%		Caroline Brown 1,018 2.23%			New District
Etobicoke Centre		Ted Opitz 23,070 37.33%		Tanya De Mello 4,886 7.91%		Borys Wrzesnewskyj 32,612 52.77%		Shawn Rizvi 856 1.39%		Rob Wolvin (PC) 378 0.61%		Ted Opitz
Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Bernard Trottier 20,932 32.45%		Phil Trotter 7,030 10.90%		James Maloney 34,638 53.70%		Angela Salewsky 1,507 2.34%		Janice Murray (M-L) 168 0.26% Liz White (Animal All.) 233 0.36%		Bernard Trottier
Etobicoke North		Toyin Dada 9,673 23.00%		Faisal Hassan 5,220 12.41%		Kirsty Duncan 26,251 62.41%		Akhtar Ayub 524 1.25%		Anna Di Carlo (M-L) 232 0.55% George Szebik (NA) 164 0.39%		Kirsty Duncan
Humber River—Black Creek		Kerry Vandenberg 7,228 20.16%		Darnel Harris 3,851 10.74%		Judy Sgro 23,995 66.91%		Keith Jarrett 584 1.63%		Christine Nugent (M-L) 201 0.56%		Judy Sgro York West
Scarborough—Agincourt		Bin Chang 15,802 38.03%		Laura Patrick 3,263 7.85%		Arnold Chan 21,587 51.95%		Debra Scott 570 1.37%		Jude Coutinho (CHP) 334 0.80%		Arnold Chan
Scarborough Centre		Roxanne James 14,705 32.66%		Alex Wilson 5,227 11.61%		Salma Zahid 22,753 50.53%		Lindsay Thompson 960 2.13%		Katerina Androutsos (Libert.) 1,384 3.07%		Roxanne James
Scarborough—Guildwood		Chuck Konkel 11,108 26.50%		Laura Casselman 4,720 11.26%		John McKay 25,167 60.04%		Kathleen Holding 606 1.45%		Kevin Clarke (Ind.) 175 0.42% Paul Coulbeck (Mar.) 141 0.34%		John McKay
Scarborough North		Ravinder Malhi 10,737 27.40%		Rathika Sitsabaiesan 8,648 22.07%		Shaun Chen 18,904 48.24%		Eleni MacDonald 579 1.48%		Aasia Khatoon (Ind.) 156 0.40% Raphael Rosch (Ind.) 164 0.42%		Rathika Sitsabaiesan Scarborough—Rouge River
Scarborough— Rouge Park		Leslyn Lewis 13,587 27.36%		KM Shanthikumar 5,145 10.36%		Gary Anandasangaree 29,913 60.24%		Calvin Winter 1,010 2.03%			New District
Scarborough Southwest		Roshan Nallaratnam 10,347 21.22%		Dan Harris 11,574 23.73%		Bill Blair 25,586 52.47%		Tommy Taylor 1,259 2.58%				Dan Harris
Willowdale		Chungsen Leung 16,990 36.97%		Pouyan Tabasinejad 3,203 6.97%		Ali Ehsassi 24,519 53.36%		James Arruda 1,025 2.23%		Birinder Singh Ahluwalia (Ind.) 216 0.47%		Chungsen Leung
York Centre		Mark Adler 18,893 43.99%		Hal Berman 3,148 7.33%		Michael Levitt 20,131 46.88%		Constantine Kritsonis 772 1.80%				Mark Adler

2011 - 41st General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other
Don Valley East		Joe Daniel 14,421 36.69%		Yasmin Ratansi 13,552 34.48%		Mary Trapani Hynes 9,878 25.13%		Akil Sadikali 1,207 3.07%		Ryan Kidd 246 0.63%		Yasmin Ratansi
Etobicoke Centre		Ted Opitz 21,644 41.21%		Borys Wrzesnewskyj 21,618 41.16%		Ana Maria Rivero 7,735 14.73%		Katarina Zoricic 1,377 2.62%		Sarah Thompson (M-L) 149 0.28%		Borys Wrzesnewskyj
Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Bernard Trottier 21,963 40.42%		Michael Ignatieff 19,058 35.07%		Michael Erickson 10,979 20.20%		Dave Corail 2,151 3.96%		Janice Murray (CPC-ML) 191 0.35%		Michael Ignatieff
Etobicoke North		Priti Lamba 10,395 32.44%		Kirsty Duncan 13,652 42.60%		Diana Andrews 7,625 23.79%		—		Anna Di Carlo (M-L) 189 0.59% John C. Gardner (C-H) 185 0.58%		Kirsty Duncan
Scarborough—Agincourt		Harry Tsia 13,930 33.89%		Jim Karygiannis 18,497 45.00%		Nancy Patchell 7,736 18.82%		Pauline Thompson 946 2.30%				Jim Karygiannis
Scarborough Centre		Roxanne James 13,401 35.51%		John Cannis 12,075 31.99%		Natalie Hundt 11,273 29.87%		Ella Ng 994 2.63%				John Cannis
Scarborough—Guildwood		Chuck Konkel 13,178 34.49%		John McKay 13,778 36.06%		Danielle Ouellette 10,146 26.55%		Alonzo Bartley 848 2.22%		Paul Coulbeck (Ind.) 259 0.68%		John McKay
Scarborough— Rouge River		Marlene Gallyot 13,893 29.87%		Rana Sarkar 12,723 27.35%		Rathika Sitsabaiesan 18,856 40.53%		George Singh 689 1.48%		Mark Balack (Ind.) 358 0.77%		Derek Lee†
Scarborough Southwest		Gavan Paranchothy 12,828 31.85%		Michelle Simson 11,701 29.05%		Dan Harris 14,113 35.04%		Stefan Dixon 1,636 4.06%				Michelle Simson
Willowdale		Chungsen Leung 22,206 41.72%		Martha Hall Findlay 21,245 39.91%		Mehdi Mollahasani 9,780 18.37%		—				Martha Hall Findlay
York Centre		Mark Adler 20,355 48.51%		Ken Dryden 13,979 33.31%		Nick Brownlee 6,656 15.86%		Rosemary Frei 974 2.32%				Ken Dryden
York West		Audrey Walters 6,094 22.07%		Judy Sgro 12,986 47.03%		Giulio Manfrini 7,685 27.83%		Unblind Tibben 450 1.63%		George Okoth Otura (CHP) 231 0.84% Arthur Smitherman (CAP) 169 0.61%		Judy Sgro

2008 - 40th General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other
Don Valley East		Eugene McDermott 12,301		Yasmin Ratansi 18,105		Mary Trapani Hynes 5,118		Wayne Clements 2,765		Alex Kovalenko (CHP) 288		Yasmin Ratansi
Etobicoke Centre		Axel Kuhn 18,838		Borys Wrzesnewskyj 24,537		Joseph Schwartz 4,158		Marion Schaffer 2,696				Borys Wrzesnewskyj
Etobicoke— Lakeshore		Patrick Boyer 17,575		Michael Ignatieff 23,247		Liam McHugh-Russell 5,873		David Corail 3,501		Janice Murray (MXL) 180		Michael Ignatieff
Etobicoke North		Bob Saroya 9,465		Kirsty Duncan 15,192		Ali Naqvi 4,935		Nigel Barriffe 1,459		Anna Di Carlo (MXL) 299		Roy Cullen†
Scarborough— Agincourt		Benson Lau 11,831		Jim Karygiannis 22,729		Simon Dougherty 3,734		Adrian Molder 1,859				Jim Karygiannis
Scarborough Centre		Roxanne James 11,078		John Cannis 17,902		Natalie Hundt 5,795		Ella Ng 2,010				John Cannis
Scarborough— Guildwood		Chuck Konkel 10,768		John McKay 18,035		Sania Khan 5,168		Alonzo Bartley 1,905				John McKay
Scarborough— Rouge River		Jerry Bance 9,160		Derek Lee 23,716		Ryan Sloan 5,954		Attila Nagy 1,567		Alan Mercer (LTN) 331		Derek Lee
Scarborough Southwest		Greg Crompton 10,900		Michelle Simson 15,480		Alamgir Hussain 7,024		Stefan Dixon 3,507		Fatique Chowdhury Kabir (IND) 150		Tom Wappel†
Willowdale		Jake Karns 15,940		Martha Hall Findlay 23,789		Susan Wallace 5,011		Lou Carcasole 3,120		Bahman Roudgarnia (PCP) 884 Bernadette Michael (IND) 260		Martha Hall Findlay
York Centre		Rochelle Wilner 14,095		Ken Dryden 16,185		Kurtis Baily 4,481		Rosemary Frei 2,428				Ken Dryden
York West		Kevin Nguyen 4,787		Judy Sgro 17,026		Giulio Manfrini 5,365		Nick Capra 1,502				Judy Sgro

2006 - 39th General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		Other
Don Valley East		Yasmin Ratansi 23,441		Eugene McDermott 12,661		Richard Hennick 5,597		Wayne Clements 1,714				Yasmin Ratansi
Etobicoke Centre		Borys Wrzesnewskyj 29,509		Axel Kuhn 18,702		Cynthia Cameron 5,426		John Vanderheyden 2,111		Norman Dundas (PC) 402 France Tremblay (M-L) 117		Borys Wrzesnewskyj
Etobicoke— Lakeshore		Michael Ignatieff 24,337		John Capobianco 19,613		Liam McHugh-Russell 8,685		Phil Ridge 2,853		Cathy Holliday (Comm.) 186 Janice Murray (M-L) 104		Jean Augustine†
Etobicoke North		Roy Cullen 22,195		Amanjit Khroad 8,049		Ali Naqvi 3,820		Jan Havlovic 950		Alexander T. Bussman (PC) 526 George Szebik (Ind.) 273 Anna Di Carlo (M-L) 205		Roy Cullen
Scarborough— Agincourt		Jim Karygiannis 28,065		William Redwood 10,684		David Robertson 4,969		Casey Maple 1,120				Jim Karygiannis
Scarborough Centre		John Cannis 23,332		Roxanne James 11,522		Dorothy Laxton 5,884		Andrew Strachan 1,396				John Cannis
Scarborough— Guildwood		John McKay 21,877		Pauline Browes 11,790		Peter Campbell 5,847		Mike Flanagan 1,235		Farooq Khan (Ind.) 150 Brenda Thompson (CAP) 98 Andrew C. Thomas (Ind.) 82		John McKay
Scarborough— Rouge River		Derek Lee 30,285		Jerry Bance 9,432		Andrew Brett 4,972		Serge Abbat 754		Yaqoob Khan (Ind.) 467 Alan Mercer (Libert.) 243		Derek Lee
Scarborough Southwest		Tom Wappel 19,930		Vincent Veerasuntharam 10,017		Dan Harris 9,626		Valery Philip 1,827		Trevor Sutton (Ind.) 147 Elizabeth Rowley (Comm.) 120		Tom Wappel
Willowdale		Jim Peterson 30,623		Jovan Boseovski 16,254		Rochelle Carnegie 6,297		Sharolyn Vettese 2,268				Jim Peterson
York Centre		Ken Dryden 22,468		Michael Mostyn 12,828		Marco Iacampo 5,813		Constantine Kritsonis 1,560				Ken Dryden
York West		Judy Sgro 21,418		Paramjit Gill 6,244		Sandra Romano Anthony 4,724		Nick Capra 1,002		Axcel Cocon (Ind.) 192		Judy Sgro

2004 - 38th General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		Other
Don Valley East		Yasmin Ratansi 21,864		David Johnson 11,206		Valerie Mah 5,287		Dan King 1,172		Ryan Kidd (CHP) 351 Christopher Black (Comm.) 149		David Collenette^1
Etobicoke Centre		Borys Wrzesnewskyj 30,441		Lida Preyma 14,829		John Richmond 5,174		Margo Pearson 1,676		France Tremblay (M-L) 112		(vacant)^2
Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Jean Augustine 24,909		John Capobianco 15,159		Margaret Anne McHugh 7,179		John Huculiak 2,201		Janice Murray (M-L) 129		Jean Augustine
Etobicoke North		Roy Cullen 19,450		Rupinder Nannar 5,737		Cesar Martello 3,761		Mir Kamal 605		Anna Di Carlo (M-L) 195 George Szebik (Ind.) 309 William Ubbens (CHP) 661		Roy Cullen
Scarborough—Agincourt		Jim Karygiannis 26,400		Andrew Faust 8,649		D'arcy Palmer 4,182		Wayne Yeechong 919		Tony Karadimas (PC) 1,048		Jim Karygiannis
Scarborough Centre		John Cannis 20,740		John Mihtis 8,515		Greg Gogan 6,156		Greg Bonser 1,045		Dorothy Sauras (Comm.) 152		John Cannis
Scarborough—Guildwood		John McKay 20,950		Tom Varesh 8,277		Sheila White 5,885		Paul Charbonneau 1,106		Brenda Thompson (CAP) 200		John McKay
Scarborough—Rouge River		Derek Lee 22,564		Tony Backhurst 5,184		Fauzia Khan 3,635		Kathryn Holloway 610		Raymond Cho (Ind.) 6,962		Derek Lee
Scarborough Southwest		Tom Wappel 18,776		Heather Jewell 9,028		Dan Harris 8,471		Peter Van Dalen 1,520		Elizabeth Rowley (Comm.) 168		Tom Wappel
Willowdale		Jim Peterson 30,855		Jovan Boseovski 11,615		Yvonne Bobb 4,812		Sharolyn Vettese 1,844		Ardavan Behrouzi (PC) 883 Bernadette Michael (Ind.) 253		Jim Peterson
York Centre		Ken Dryden† 21,520		Michael Mostyn 10,318		Peter Flaherty 5,376		Constantine Kritsonis 1,240		Max Royz (Ind.) 824		Art Eggleton^3
York West		Judy Sgro 17,903		Leslie Soobrian 3,120		Sandra Romano Anthony 4,228		Tim McKellar 824		Joseph Grubb (CHP) 1,580		Judy Sgro

Notes:
1 - Collenette not seeking re-election.
2 - formerly held by Allan Rock.
3 - Eggleton not seeking re-election.

Key map	Don Valley East Etobicoke Centre Etobicoke-Lakeshore Etobicoke North Scarborough-Agincourt Scarborough Centre Scarborough-Guildwood Scarborough-Rouge River Scarborough Southwest Willowdale York West York Centre
Conservative Party of Canada	Green Party of Canada
Liberal Party of Canada	New Democratic Party

2000 - 37th General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Liberal		Canadian Alliance		NDP		PC		Other
Don Valley East		David Collenette 25,915		Kasra Netajian 4,736		Ron Casey-Nestor 2,249		Cecilia Fusco 5,645		Ryan Kidd (NA) 212 Judith Snow (ML) 153		David Collenette
Etobicoke Centre		Allan Rock 26,083		Michael G. Craik 10,318		Karen Dolan 2,124		Ross Vaughan 7,526		Dagmar Sullivan (ML) 181		Allan Rock
Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Jean Augustine 22,467		David Court 9,160		Richard Joseph Banigan 2,835		David Haslam 8,453		Don Jackson (NL) 244 Janice Murray (ML) 116 Ed Bil (Comm.) 113		Jean Augustine
Etobicoke North		Roy Cullen 23,335		Mahmood Elahi 6,273		Ana Maria Sapp 2,200				Elzabeth Rowley (Comm.) 347		Roy Cullen
Scarborough—Agincourt		Jim Karygiannis 26,986		Andrew Faust 5,100		Michael Laxer 1,499		Bruce Elliott 4,030		Wayne Cook (CAP) 341 Sarah Thompson (ML) 112		Jim Karygiannis
Scarborough Centre (electoral district)		John Cannis 26,969		Bill Settatree 8,849		Ali Mallah 3,171				Paul Coulbeck (Mar.) 959		John Cannis
Scarborough East		John McKay 26,986		Paul Calandra 7,559		Denise Lake 1,884		Paul McCrossan 6,284		Dave Glover (CAP) 292 France Tremblay (ML) 113		John McKay
Scarborough—Rouge River		Derek Lee 28,669		Kaizer Suleman 3,237		Paulette Senior 1,793		Alan Shumak 2,566				Derek Lee
Scarborough Southwest		Tom Wappel 21,466		Nabil el-Khazen 4,912		Dan Harris 3,638		Ellery Hollingsworth 5,251		Walter Aolari (CAP) 336 Dora Stewart (Comm.) 165		Tom Wappel
Willowdale		Jim Peterson 27,038		Kevyn Nighingale 7,411		Yvonne Bobb 2,404		Chungsen Leung 7,134		Roger Carter (ML) 145		Jim Peterson
York Centre		Art Eggleton 24,793		Jeffrey Dorfman 4,630		Maurice Coulter 2,104		Mark Tweyman 2,518		Constantine Kritsonis (Green) 532 Christopher Black (Comm.) 133 Diane Johnston (ML) 142		Art Eggleton
York West		Judy Sgro 19,737		Munish Chandra 2,724		Julia McCrea 2,631				Marcello Marchetti (Mar.) 537 Amarjit Dhillon (ML) 175		Judy Sgro