Canadian federal election results in Central Ontario
Canadian federal elections have provided the following results in Central Ontario.
2015 |
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2011 |
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2008 |
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2004 |
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2000 |
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1997 |
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1993 |
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1988 |
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1984 |
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1974 |
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1972 |
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1968 |
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1965 |
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1963 |
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1962 |
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1958 |
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1957 |
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1953 |
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1949 |
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1945 |
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1940 |
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1935 |
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1930 |
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1926 |
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1926 |
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Regional profile
The region is the central section of Southern Ontario, mainly comprising the rural area around Lake Simcoe. This has traditionally been the most conservative region of Ontario, in sharp contrast to the Greater Toronto Area to the south. It has historically been the backbone of support for the provincial Tories.
The citizens of the region are mostly white, Protestant, and agrarian, with a large number of social conservatives. Some parts of this region are as conservative as rural Alberta. This region was the heartland of the Reform Party and Canadian Alliance in Ontario, with Simcoe Centre electing a Reform MP in 1993—Reform's only victory east of Manitoba, ever. However, due to massive Reform-PC vote-splitting, the Liberals swept the region during the Chrétien era. The Unite the Right movement (accompanied by Chrétien's departure from office) led to the newly united Conservative Party seizing all but four of the region's seats in 2004. In 2006, Liberal support in this region melted; the only Liberal elected in this region was Belinda Stronach, a former Conservative who crossed the floor in 2005. Stronach's seat reverted to the Conservatives in 2008. In 2011, the Conservatives again swept the region, with the NDP's late-campaign surge propelling them to second in all but one riding..
The region was one of the few that resisted the massive Liberal surge in Ontario in 2015, though the Liberals managed to take Stronach's old riding of Newmarket—Aurora on the outer fringe of the Greater Toronto Area, a region that swung heavily to the Liberals in this election. They also managed to take all of Peterborough.
The riding of Peterborough—Kawartha (formerly simply Peterborough) had long been recognized by political scientists as one of the best bellwether ridings in the country.[1]
2015 - 42nd General Election
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | |||||||||||
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Conservative | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | |||||||||
Barrie—Innisfil | John Brassard 22,901 46.41% |
Myrna Clark 5,812 11.78% |
Colin Wilson 18,308 37.11% |
Bonnie North 1,991 4.04% |
Gary Nail (CHP) 199 0.40% Jeff Sakula (CAP) 130 0.26% |
Vacant Barrie | |||||||
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte (judicial recount) |
Alex Nuttall 21,091 41.74% |
Ellen White 5,202 10.29% |
Brian Tamblyn 21,005 41.57% |
Marty Lancaster 2,648 5.24% |
Ram Faerber (Ind.) 188 0.37% Darren Roskam (Libert.) 401 0.79% |
New district | |||||||
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | Larry Miller 26,297 46.68% |
David McLaren 6,270 11.13% |
Kimberley Love 21,879 38.84% |
Chris Albinati 1,887 3.35% |
Larry Miller | ||||||||
Dufferin—Caledon | David Allan Tilson 27,977 46.28% |
Rehya Yazbek 4,398 7.28% |
Ed Crewson 23,643 39.11% |
Nancy Urekar 4,433 7.33% |
David Tilson | ||||||||
Durham | Erin O'Toole 28,967 45.13% |
Derek Spence 10,289 16.03% |
Corinna Traill 22,949 35.75% |
Stacey Leadbetter 1,616 2.52% |
Andrew Moriarity (CHP) 364 0.57% |
Erin O'Toole | |||||||
Haliburton— Kawartha Lakes—Brock |
Jamie Schmale 27,718 44.83% |
Mike Perry 12,012 19.43% |
David Marquis 19,634 31.75% |
Bill MacCallum 2,470 3.99% |
Barry Devolin† | ||||||||
Newmarket—Aurora | Lois Brown 24,057 42.61% |
Yvonne Kelly 4,806 8.51% |
Kyle Peterson 25,508 45.18% |
Vanessa Long 1,331 2.36% |
Dorian Baxter (PC) 762 1.35% |
Lois Brown | |||||||
Northumberland— Peterborough South |
Adam Moulton 25,165 39.56% |
Russ Christianson 9,411 14.80% |
Kim Rudd 27,043 42.51% |
Patricia Sinnott 1,990 3.13% |
Rick Norlock† Northumberland—Quinte West | ||||||||
Peterborough—Kawartha | Michael Skinner 23,335 35.07% |
Dave Nickle 12,437 18.69% |
Maryam Monsef 29,159 43.82% |
Doug Mason 1,480 2.22% |
Toban Leckie (SD) 131 0.20% |
Vacant Peterborough | |||||||
Simcoe—Grey | Kellie Leitch 30,612 46.56% |
David Matthews 6,332 9.63% |
Mike MacEachern 25,352 38.56% |
JoAnne Fleming 2,923 4.45% |
Len Noordegraaf (CHP) 528 0.80% |
Kellie Leitch | |||||||
Simcoe North | Bruce Stanton 24,836 43.52% |
Richard Banigan 6,037 10.58% |
Liz Riley 22,718 39.81% |
Peter Stubbins 2,543 4.46% |
Jacob Kearey-Moreland (NA)[note 1] 618 1.08% Scott Whittaker (CHP) 319 0.56% |
Bruce Stanton | |||||||
York—Simcoe | Peter Van Loan 24,058 50.25% |
Sylvia Gerl 4,255 8.89% |
Shaun Tanaka 18,083 37.77% |
Mark Viitala 1,483 3.10% |
Peter Van Loan |
2011 - 41st General Election
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
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Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
Barrie | Patrick Brown 32,121 56.70% |
Colin Wilson 9,113 16.09% |
Myrna Clark 11,842 20.90% |
Erich Jacoby-Hawkins 3,266 5.77% |
Jeff Sakula (CAP) 77 0.14% Darren Roskam (Libert.) 150 0.26% Christine Nugent (CPC-ML) 82 0.14% |
Patrick Brown | ||||||
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | Larry Miller
28,744 |
Kimberly Love
8,203 |
Karen Gventer
9,008 |
Emma Jane Hogbin
5,099 |
Larry Miller | |||||||
Dufferin—Caledon | David Tilson 28,647 59.01% |
Bill Prout 6,361 13.10% |
Leslie Parsons 6,409 13.20% |
Ard Van Leeuwen 7,132 14.69% |
David Tilson | |||||||
Durham | Bev Oda 31,737 54.55% |
Grant Humes 10,387 17.85% |
Tammy Schoep 12,277 21.10% |
Stephen Leahy 3,134 5.39% |
Andrew Moriarty (CHP) 462 0.79% Blaize Barnicoat (Libert.) 187 0.32% |
Bev Oda | ||||||
Haliburton— Kawartha Lakes—Brock |
Barry Devolin
35,192 |
Laura Redman
7,539 |
Lyn Edwards
12,934 |
Susanne Lauten
2,963 |
Barry Devolin | |||||||
Newmarket—Aurora | Lois Brown 31,600 54.29% |
Kyle Peterson 13,908 23.90% |
Kassandra Bidarian 8,886 15.27% |
Vanessa Long 2,628 4.52% |
Dorian Baxter (PC) 998 1.71% Yvonne Mackie (AA) 182 0.31% |
Lois Brown | ||||||
Northumberland— Quinte West |
Rick Norlock
32,853 |
Kim Rudd
12,822 |
Russ Christianson
12,626 |
Ralph Torrie
2,733 |
Rick Norlock | |||||||
Peterborough | Dean Del Mastro 29,393 49.67% |
Betsy McGregor 12,664 21.40% |
Dave Nickle 14,723 24.88% |
Michael Bell 2,105 3.56% |
Michael Bates (CAP) 104 0.18% Gordon Scott (Ind.) 189 0.32% |
Dean Del Mastro | ||||||
Simcoe—Grey | Kellie Leitch 31,784 49.37% |
Alex Smardenka 8,207 12.75% |
Katy Austin 11,185 17.38% |
Jace Metheral 3,482 5.41% |
Helena Guergis (Ind.) 8,714 13.54% Gord Cochrane (CAP) 244 0.38% Peter Vander Zaag (CHP)757 1.18% |
Helena Guergis | ||||||
Simcoe North | Bruce Stanton
31,581 |
Steve Clarke
11,090 |
Richard Banigan
11,515 |
Valerie Powell
3,489 |
Adrian Kooger (CHP) 322 0.56% | Bruce Stanton | ||||||
York—Simcoe | Peter Van Loan 33,614 63.58% |
Cynthia Wesley-Esquimaux 5,702 10.79% |
Sylvia Gerl 10,190 19.28% |
John Dewar 2,851 5.39% |
Paul Pisani (United) 157 0.30% Vicki Gunn (CHP) 352 0.67% |
Peter Van Loan |
2008 - 40th General Election
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
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Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
Barrie | Patrick Brown
27,927 |
Rick Jones
12,732 |
Myrna Clark
6,403 |
Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
5,921 |
Paolo Fabrizio (LTN) 260 Christine Anne Nugent (MXL) 84 |
Patrick Brown | ||||||
Bruce— Grey— Owen Sound |
Larry Miller
22,974 |
Thomas Noble
6,892 |
Jill McIllwraith
4,640 |
Dick Hibma
13,095 |
Joel Kidd (CHP)
629 |
Larry Miller | ||||||
Dufferin—Caledon | David Tilson
23,253 |
Rebecca Finch
8,464 |
Jason Bissett
4,362 |
Ard Van Leeuwen
7,445 |
Dean Woods (CAP)
300 |
David Tilson | ||||||
Durham | Bev Oda
28,440 |
Bryan Ransom
12,335 |
Andrew McKeever
5,505 |
Stephen Leahy
6,023 |
Henry Zekveld (CHP) 632 |
Bev Oda | ||||||
Haliburton— Kawartha Lakes— Brock |
Barry Devolin
30,444 |
Marlene White
11,095 |
Stephen Yardy
7,962 |
Michael Bell
4,502 |
Dave Switzer (CHP)
390 |
Barry Devolin | ||||||
Newmarket—Aurora | Lois Brown
24,873 |
Tim Jones
18,250 |
Mike Seaward
4,508 |
Glenn Hubbers
4,381 |
Dorian Baxter (PCP) 1,004 Ray Luff (CHP) 211 |
Belinda Stronach† | ||||||
Northumberland— Quinte West |
Rick Norlock
27,621 |
Paul Macklin
16,262 |
Russ Christianson
8,219 |
Ralph Torrie
4,953 |
Rick Norlock | |||||||
Peterborough | Dean Del Mastro
27,629 |
Betsy McGregor
18,413 |
Steve Sharpe
8,110 |
Emily Berrigan
4,029 |
Elaine Couto (MXL)
98 |
Dean Del Mastro | ||||||
Simcoe—Grey | Helena Guergis
30,897 |
Andrea Matrosovs
12,099 |
Katy Austin
6,288 |
Peter Ellis
5,684 |
Peter Vander Zaag (CHP) 1,018 Caley McKibbin (LTN) 143 |
Helena Guergis | ||||||
Simcoe North | Bruce Stanton
26,328 |
Steven Clarke
14,670 |
Richard Banigan
6,207 |
Valerie Powell
5,820 |
Bruce Stanton | |||||||
York—Simcoe | Peter Van Loan
27,412 |
Judith Moses
9,044 |
Sylvia Gerl
5,882 |
John Dewar
4,887 |
Paul Pisani (PCP) 676 Vicki Gunn (CHP) 444 |
Peter Van Loan |
2006 - 39th General Election
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
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Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
Barrie | Aileen Carroll
22,476 |
Patrick Brown
23,999 |
Peter Burzstyn
6,984 |
Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
3,874 |
Aileen Carroll | |||||||
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | Verona Jackson
14,378 |
Larry Miller
25,133 |
Jill McIllwraith
5,918 |
Shane Jolley
6,735 |
Larry Miller | |||||||
Dufferin—Caledon | Garry Moore
14,777 |
David Tilson
23,641 |
Chris Marquis
5,983 |
Ted Alexander
4,912 |
David Tilson | |||||||
Durham | Doug Moffat
17,290 |
Bev Oda
27,087 |
Bruce Rogers
9,946 |
Virginia Mae Ervin
2,676 |
Henry Zekveld (CHP)
612 |
Bev Oda | ||||||
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | Greg Walling
17,266 |
Barry Devolin
29,427 |
Anne MacDermid
10,340 |
Andy Harjula
3,017 |
Barry Devolin | |||||||
Newmarket—Aurora | Belinda Stronach
27,176 |
Lois Brown
22,376 |
Ed Chudak
5,639 |
Glenn Hubbers
2,813 |
Peter Maloney (CAP) 79 Dorian Baxter (PC) 729 |
Belinda Stronach | ||||||
Northumberland—Quinte West | Paul Macklin
22,566 |
Rick Norlock
25,833 |
Russ Christianson
11,334 |
Pat Lawson
2,946 |
Paul Macklin | |||||||
Peterborough | Diane Lloyd
20,532 |
Dean Del Mastro
22,774 |
Linda Slavin
16,286 |
Brent Wood
3,205 |
Bob Bowers (Ind.) 179 Aiden Wiechula (Mar.) 455 |
Peter Adams† | ||||||
Simcoe—Grey | Elizabeth Kirley
18,689 |
Helena Guergis
30,135 |
Katy Austin
6.784 |
Peter Ellis
3,372 |
Peter Vander Zaag (CHP)
1,585 |
Helena Guergis | ||||||
Simcoe North | Karen Graham
22,078 |
Bruce Stanton
23,266 |
Jen Hill
8,132 |
Sandy Agnew
3,451 |
Adrian Peter Kooger (CHP)
617 |
Paul DeVillers† | ||||||
York—Simcoe | Kate Wilson
16,456 |
Peter Van Loan
25,685 |
Sylvia Gerl
7,139 |
John Dewar
3,719 |
Vicki Gunn (CHP)
595 |
Peter Van Loan |
2004 - 38th General Election
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
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Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | Other | ||||||||
Barrie | Aileen Carroll 21,233 |
Patrick Brown 19,938 |
Peter Bursztyn 5,312 |
Erich Jacoby-Hawkins 3,288 |
Aileen Carroll | |||||||
Clarington—Scugog—Uxbridge | Tim Lang 19,548 |
Bev Oda 20,813 |
Bruce Rogers 7,721 |
Virginia Ervin 2,085 |
Durk Bruinsma (CHP) 915 |
Alex Shepherd 1 | ||||||
Dufferin—Caledon | Murray Calder 17,557 |
David Tilson 19,270 |
Rita Landry 3,798 |
Ted Alexander 3,947 |
Ursula Ellis (CHP) 443 |
Murray Calder | ||||||
Grey—Bruce—Owen Sound | Ovid Jackson 17,824 |
Larry Miller 22,411 |
Sebastian Ostertag 6,516 |
Alex Drossos 2,076 |
Steven Taylor (CHP) 982 |
Ovid Jackson | ||||||
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | John O'Reilly 19,294 |
Barry Devolin 24,731 |
Gil McElroy 8,427 |
Tim Holland 2,637 |
Peter Vogel (CHP) 493 Charles Olito (Ind.) 330 |
John O'Reilly | ||||||
Newmarket—Aurora | Martha Hall Findlay 21,129 |
Belinda Stronach 21,818 |
Ed Chudak 5,111 |
Daryl Wyatt 2,298 |
Dorian Baxter (PC) 1,079 |
new district | ||||||
Northumberland—Quinte West | Paul Macklin 22,989 |
Doug Galt 22,676 |
Russ Christianson 9,007 |
Steve Haylestrom 3,016 |
Paul Macklin | |||||||
Peterborough | Peter Adams 25,099 |
James Jackson 18,393 |
Linda Slavin 10,957 |
Brent Wood 3,182 |
Peter Adams | |||||||
Simcoe—Grey | Paul Bonwick 22,396 |
Helena Guergis 22,496 |
Colin Mackinnon 5,532 |
Peter Ellis 2,668 |
Peter Vander Zaag (CHP) 2,285 |
Paul Bonwick | ||||||
Simcoe North | Paul DeVillers 23,664 |
Peter Stock 20,570 |
Jen Hill 6,162 |
Mary Lou Kirby 3,486 |
Adrian Kooger (CHP) 544 Ian Woods (CAP) 145 |
Paul DeVillers | ||||||
York—Simcoe | Kate Wilson 16,763 |
Peter Van Loan 21,343 |
Sylvia Gerl 5,314 |
Bob Burrows 2,576 |
Vicki Gunn (CHP) 588 Stephen Sircelj (PC) 670 |
Karen Kraft Sloan ² |
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2000 - 37th General Election
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
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Liberal | Canadian Alliance | NDP | PC | Other | ||||||||
Barrie—Simcoe—Bradford | Aileen Carroll 26,309 |
Rob Hamilton 17,600 |
Keith Lindsay 2,385 |
Jane MacLaren 7,588 |
Ian Woods (CAP) 387 Brian White (Ind.) 234 |
Aileen Carroll | ||||||
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | Ovid Jackson 19,822 |
Murray Peer 15,960 |
Karen Gventer 2,166 |
Allen Wilford 6,872 |
Ovid Jackson | |||||||
Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey | Murray Calder 21,678 |
Don Crawford 15,128 |
Mitchel Healey 1,473 |
Richard Majkot 7,926 |
Robert Strang (Green) 1,464 |
Murray Calder | ||||||
Durham | Alex Shepherd 20,602 |
Gerry Skipwith 13,743 |
Ken Ranney 2,545 |
Sam Cureatz 8,367 |
Durk Bruinsma (Ind.) 326 |
Alex Shepherd | ||||||
Haliburton—Victoria—Brock | John O'Reilly 16,710 |
Pat Dunn 15,591 |
Rick Denyer 2,409 |
Laurie Scott 14,508 |
John O'Reilly | |||||||
Northumberland | Paul Macklin 20,109 |
Rick Norlock 11,410 |
Ben Burd 2,141 |
Ralph Zarboni 8,768 |
Tom Lawson (Green) 1,102 Gail Thompson (CAP) 276 |
Christine Stewart | ||||||
Peterborough | Peter Adams 25,310 |
Eric Mann 14,924 |
Herb Wiseman 3,967 |
Darrin Langen 7,034 |
Tim Holland (Green) 903 Bob Bowers (Ind.) 147 |
Peter Adams | ||||||
Simcoe—Grey | Paul Bonwick 22,224 |
George Demery 16,113 |
Michael Kennedy 1,646 |
Bill Dunkley 8,655 |
James McGillivray (CAP) 751 Victor Carvalho (Ind.) 246 |
Paul Bonwick | ||||||
Simcoe North | Paul Devillers 24,510 |
Peter Stock 14,283 |
Ann Billings 2,272 |
Lucy Stewart 6,914 |
Adrian Kooger (Ind.) 305 |
Paul Devillers | ||||||
York North | Karen Kraft Sloan 22,665 |
Bob Yaciuk 11,985 |
Ian Scott 1,696 |
Joe Wamback 11,890 |
Ian Knight (Ind.) 509 |
Karen Kraft Sloan |
Notes
- Jacob Kearey-Moreland described himself as a Cooperative Interdependence candidate.[2]
References
- "The Canadian Encyclopedia, Peterborough: Population". Historica Foundation of Canada. 2007. Retrieved 2007-08-25.
- Laxer, Michael. "Cooperative Interdependence: Jacob Kearey-Moreland brings a new vision to the federal election in Simcoe North". rabble.ca. Retrieved 5 October 2015.
- Frank B. Feigert (1989). Canada Votes, 1935-1988. Duke University Press. ISBN 9780822308942.