Canadian federal election results in Midwestern Ontario

This is page shows results of Canadian federal elections in Midwestern Ontario, which is roughly from Woodstock to Milton, and from Lake Erie to Goderich.

Electoral history

2015
2011
2008
2006
2004
2000
1997
1993
1988
1984
1980
1979
1974
1972
1968
1965
1963
1962
1958
1957
1953
1949
1945
1940
1935
1930
1926
1925

Regional profile

Before the late 1950s, Midwestern Ontario had not leaned towards either the Progressive Conservatives (Tories) or the Liberals (Grits) on a regular basis as there was wide variation in each party's results election to election. Since the late 1950s, Midwestern Ontario has been a primarily conservative-voting area. Even from the 1963 to 1980 elections when the Liberals formed the federal government after every election except one, the Progressive Conservatives usually won the majority of seats, and in the 1979 Progressive Conservative election plurality, the only seat the Tories did not win was won by the New Democrats (NDP). The NDP usually claimed one seat from the mid-1960s until the 1993, usually in the riding of Brant.

Vote splitting allowed the Liberals to win all of the seats in the Midwestern Ontario from 1993 to 2000 in their province-wide sweeps, although one seat was lost to the Conservative Party (which replaced the Progressive Conservatives) in a 2003 by-election. The Conservatives picked up four more seats in the 2004 election, another in the 2006 election, and four more in 2008, leaving Guelph as the only Liberal (and non-Conservative) seat in the region from 2008 to 2015. In the 2015 Liberal majority government win, the Conservatives still took one more seat in the area than the Liberals as they swept the rural areas.

The Conservatives are weaker in the larger cities of Kitchener-Waterloo and Guelph, partly because they have prominent universities (University of Waterloo, University of Guelph, Wilfrid Laurier University) with large student populations. The Liberals retained three of the four ridings in those cities by significant margins in 2006 despite the Conservatives forming the government and won four of the five seats available there in the 2015 election, the exceptions in both elections being the partially rural Kitchener-Conestoga riding, although both wins in the riding were only narrow victories for the Conservatives. Even in the 2008 election victory by the Conservatives, the ridings of Kitchener Centre and Kitchener-Waterloo were only won by the Conservatives by less than 300 votes. The riding of the more suburban city of Cambridge has generally leaned Conservative dating back decades whereas the riding of Brant-Brantford has switched from being strongly NDP, to Liberal to Conservative in the last three decades.

In 2019 the Greens were able to gain over 25 percent of the vote in two urban ridings, Guelph and Kitchener Centre. However, the Liberals held both seats by over a 10% margin.

2015 - 42nd General Election

Electoral District	Candidates													Incumbent
		Conservative		NDP		Liberal		Green		Libertarian		Other
Brantford—Brant		Phil McColeman 25,874 40.89%		Marc Laferriere 15,715 24.84%		Danielle Takacs 19,422 30.70%		Kevin Brandt 1,582 2.50%		Rob Ferguson 515 0.81%		The Engineer Turmel (Ind.) 164 0.26%		Phil McColeman Brant
Cambridge		Gary Goodyear 20,613 38.65%		Bobbi Stewart 7,397 13.87%		Bryan May 23,024 43.17%		Michele Braniff 1,723 3.23%				Manuel Couto (M-L) 108 0.20% Lee Sperduti (Ind.) 474 0.89%		Gary Goodyear
Guelph		Gloria Kovach 18,407 26.35%		Andrew Seagram 8,392 12.01%		Lloyd Longfield 34,303 49.10%		Gord Miller 7,909 11.32%		Alexander Fekri 520 0.74%		Tristan Dineen (Comm.) 144 0.21% Kornelis Klevering (Mar.) 193 0.28%		Frank Valeriote†
Haldimand—Norfolk		Diane Finley 24,714 44.14%		John Harris 7,625 13.62%		Joan Mouland 20,487 36.59%		Wayne Ettinger 1,857 3.32%				Leslie Bory (Ind.)[note 1] 151 0.27% Dave Bylsma (CHP) 884 1.58% Dustin Wakeford (Ind.) 272 0.49%		Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce		Ben Lobb 26,174 44.94%		Gerard Creces 7,544 12.95%		Allan Thompson 23,129 39.71%		Jutta Splettstoesser 1,398 2.40%						Ben Lobb
Kitchener Centre		Stephen Woodworth 15,872 30.36%		Susan Cadell 8,680 16.60%		Raj Saini 25,504 48.78%		Nicholas Wendler 1,597 3.05%		Slavko Miladinovic 515 0.99%		Julian Ichim (M-L) 112 0.21%		Stephen Woodworth
Kitchener—Conestoga		Harold Albrecht 20,649 43.29%		James Villeneuve 4,653 9.75%		Tim Louis 20,398 42.76%		Bob Jonkman 1,314 2.75%		Richard Hodgson 685 1.44%				Harold Albrecht
Kitchener South—Hespeler		Marian Gagné 17,544 36.68%		Lorne Bruce 7,440 15.56%		Marwan Tabbara 20,215 42.27%		David Weber 1,767 3.69%		Nathan Lajeunesse 772 1.61%		Elaine Baetz (M-L) 91 0.19%	New District
Oxford		Dave MacKenzie 25,966 45.67%		Zoe Kunschner 9,406 16.55%		Don McKay 18,299 32.19%		Mike Farlow 2,004 3.53%				Melody Ann Aldred (CHP) 1,175 2.07%		Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington		John Nater 22,255 42.92%		Ethan Rabidoux 7,756 14.96%		Stephen McCotter 19,480 37.57%		Nicole Ramsdale 1,347 2.60%				Irma DeVries (CHP) 794 1.53% Roger Fuhr (NA) 219 0.42%		Gary Schellenberger†
Waterloo		Peter Braid 19,318 32.28%		Diane Freeman 8,928 14.92%		Bardish Chagger 29,752 49.71%		Richard Walsh 1,713 2.86%				Emma Hawley-Yan (Animal All.) 138 0.23%		Peter Braid Kitchener—Waterloo
Wellington—Halton Hills		Michael Chong 32,482 50.90%		Anne Gajerski-Cauley 5,321 8.34%		Don Trant 23,279 36.48%		Brent Allan Bouteiller 2,547 3.99%				Harvey Edward Anstey (CAP) 183 0.29%		Michael Chong

2011 - 41st General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other
Brant		Phil McColeman 28,045 48.90%		Lloyd St. Amand 10,780 18.80%		Marc Laferrière 16,351 28.51%		Nora Fueten 1,858 3.24%		Leslie Bory (Ind.)174 0.30% Martin Sitko (Ind.) 138 0.24%		Phil McColeman
Cambridge		Gary Goodyear 29,394 53.40%		Bryan May 8,285 15.05%		Susan Galvao 15,238 27.68%		Jacques Malette 1,978 3.59%		Manuel Couto (M-L) 153 0.28%		Gary Goodyear
Guelph		Marty Burke 19,252 32.65%		Frank Valeriote 25,574 43.37%		Bobbi Stewart 9,836 16.68%		John Lawson 3,711 6.29%		Phillip Bender (Lib.) 192 0.33% Kornelis Klevering (Mar.) 171 0.29% Karen Levenson (AAEVP) 123 0.21% Drew Garvie (Comm) 104 0.18%		Frank Valeriote
Haldimand—Norfolk		Diane Finley 25,655 50.94%		Bob Speller 12,549 24.92%		Ian Nichols 10,062 19.98%		Anne Faulkner 1,665 3.31%		Steven Elgersma (CHP) 435 0.86%		Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce		Ben Lobb 29,255 54.95%		Charlie Bagnato 8,784 16.50%		Grant Robertson 13,493 25.34%		Eric Shelley 1,455 2.73%		Dennis Valenta (Ind.) 254 0.48%		Ben Lobb
Kitchener Centre		Stephen Woodworth 21,119 42.40%		Karen Redman 15,592 31.30%		Peter Thurley 10,742 21.57%		Byron Williston 1,972 3.96%		Alan Rimmer (Ind.) 199 0.40% Martin Suter (Comm) 93 0.19% Mark Corbiere (M-L) 92 0.18%		Stephen Woodworth
Kitchener—Conestoga		Harold Albrecht 28,874 54.08%		Robert Rosehart 10,683 20.01%		Lorne Bruce 11,653 21.82%		Albert Ashley 2,184 4.09%				Harold Albrecht
Kitchener—Waterloo		Peter Braid 27,039 40.86%		Andrew Telegdi 24,895 37.62%		Bill Brown 10,606 16.03%		Cathy MacLellan 3,147 4.76%		Steven Bradley Scott (Pirate) 245 0.37% Richard Walsh-Bowers (Ind.) 174 0.26% Julian Ichim (M-L) 66 0.10%		Peter Braid
Oxford		Dave MacKenzie 27,973 58.90%		Tim Lobzun 4,521 9.52%		Paul Arsenault 12,164 25.61%		Mike Farlow 2,058 4.33%		John Markus (CHP) 776 1.63%		Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington		Gary Schellenberger 25,281 54.47%		Bob McTavish 8,341 17.97%		Ellen Papenburg 9,879 21.29%		John Cowling 2,102 4.53%		Irma DeVries (CHP) 806 1.74%		Gary Schellenberger
Wellington—Halton Hills		Michael Chong 35,132 63.70%		Barry Peters 9,034 16.38%		Anastasia Zavarella 7,151 12.97%		Brent Bouteiller 3,515 6.37%		Jeffrey Streutker (CHP) 316 0.57%		Michael Chong

2008 - 40th General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other
Brant		Phil McColeman 22,628		Lloyd St. Amand 17,839		Brian Van Tilborg 9,297		Nora Fueten 3,805		John Gots (CHP) 369		Lloyd St. Amand
Cambridge		Gary Goodyear 24,883		Gord Zeilstra 11,970		Max Lombardi 10,018		Scott Cosman 4,261				Gary Goodyear
Guelph		Gloria Kovach 17,185		Frank Valeriote 18,977		Thomas King 9,709		Mike Nagy 12,456		Kornelis Klevering (MJ) 172 Philip Bender (LTN) 159 Drew Garvie (COM) 77 Karen Levenson (Animal All.) 73 John Turmel (IND) 58 Manuel Couto (MXL) 29		Vacant
Haldimand—Norfolk		Diane Finley 19,657		Eric Hoskins 15,577		Ian Nichols 5,549		Stephana Johnston 2,041		Gary McHale (Ind.) 4,821 Steven Elgersma (CHP) 501		Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce		Ben Lobb 22,202		Greg McClinchey 16,346		Tony McQuail 7,426		Glen Smith 2,617		Dave Joslin (CHP) 747 Dennis Valenta (Ind.) 242		Paul Steckle†
Kitchener Centre		Stephen Woodworth 16,480		Karen Redman 16,141		Oscar Cole Arnal 8,122		John Bithell 3,818		Amanda Lamka (Ind.) 215 Martin Suter (Com.) 127		Karen Redman
Kitchener—Conestoga		Harold Albrecht 23,275		Orlando Da Silva 11,761		Rod MacNeil 7,132		Jamie Kropf 5,119				Harold Albrecht
Kitchener—Waterloo		Peter Braid 21,830		Andrew Telegdi 21,813		Cindy Jacobsen 8,920		Cathy MacLellan 7,329		Jason Cousineau (LTN) 333 Mark Corbiere (IND) 108 Ramon Portillo (COM) 108 Kyle James Huntingdon (CAP) 107		Andrew Telegdi
Oxford		Dave MacKenzie 23,330		Martha Dennis 8,584		Diane Abbott 7,982		Cathy Mott 3,455		Shaun MacDonald (CHP) 1,036		Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington		Gary Schellenberger 20,709		Sandra Gardiner 10,225		Kerry McManus 7,324		John Cowling 3,884		Irma DeVries (CHP) 898 Julian Ichim (MXL) 84		Gary Schellenberger
Wellington— Halton Hills		Michael Chong 29,191		Bruce Bowser 11,312		Noel Duignan 4,747		Brent Bouteiller 4,997		Jeffrey Streutker (CHP) 414		Michael Chong

2006 - 39th General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		Other
Brant		Lloyd St. Amand 22,077		Phil McColeman 21,495		Lynn Bowering 12,713		Adam King 2,729		John H. Wubs (CHP) 526 John Turmel (Ind.) 213		Lloyd St. Amand
Cambridge		Janko Peric 19,419		Gary Goodyear 25,337		Donna Reid 9,794		Gareth White 3,017		David M. Pelly (CAP) 217		Gary Goodyear
Guelph		Brenda Chamberlain 23,662		Brent Barr 18,342		Phil Allt 13,561		Mike Nagy 5,376		Peter Ellis (CHP) 538 Scott Gilbert (Comm.) 111 Manuel Couto (M–L) 45		Brenda Chamberlain
Haldimand—Norfolk		Bob Speller 18,363		Diane Finley 25,885		Valya Roberts 6,858		Carolyn Van Nort 1,894		Steven Elgersma (CHP) 559		Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce		Paul Steckle 21,260		Ben Lobb 20,289		Grant J. Robertson 8,696		Victoria Serda 1,829		Dave Joslin (CHP) 1,019 Dennis Valenta (Ind.) 270		Paul Steckle
Kitchener Centre		Karen Redman 21,714		Steven Cage 16,131		Richard Walsh-Bowers 9,253		Tony Maas 2,822		Martin Suter (Comm.) 274		Karen Redman
Kitchener—Conestoga		Lynn Myers 19,246		Harold Albrecht 20,615		Len Carter 7,445		Kristine Yvonne Stapleton 2,706				Lynn Myers
Kitchener—Waterloo		Andrew Telegdi 31,136		Ajmer Mandur 18,817		Edwin Laryea 11,889		Pauline Richards 4,298		Ciprian Mihalcea (Ind.) 173 Julian Ichim (M–L) 144		Andrew Telegdi
Oxford		Greig Mordue 13,961		Dave MacKenzie 23,140		Zoe Kunschner 8,639		Ronnee Sykes 1,566		John Markus (CHP) 1,434 James Bender (Mar.) 771 Kaye Sargent (Libert.) 204		Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington		David Cunningham 12,301		Gary Schellenberger 22,004		Keith Dinicol 8,876		John Day Cowling 3,117		Irma DeVries (CHP) 1,396		Gary Schellenberger
Wellington—Halton Hills		Rod Finnie 16,065		Michael Chong 27,907		Noel Duignan 6,785		Brent Bouteiller 3,362		Carol Ann Krusky (CHP) 606 Mike Wisniewski (Ind.) 355		Michael Chong

2004 - 38th General Election

Key map	Brant Cambridge Guelph Haldimand-Norfolk Huron-Bruce Kitchener Centre Kitchener-Conestoga Kitchener-Waterloo Oxford Perth-Wellington Wellington-Halton Hills
Conservative Party of Canada	Green Party of Canada
	New Democratic Party

Notes

1. Bory is leader of The Maple Party[1] which was ineligible to be on the ballot; he chose to be listed as an Independent.

References

1. Pearce, Daniel R. (4 September 2015). "Independent candidate leads own party". Simcoe Reformer. Canoe Sun Media Community Newspapers. Retrieved 22 September 2015.