Canadian federal election results in Brampton, Mississauga and Oakville

Electoral history

2019
2015
2011
2008
2006
2004
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1988
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1925

Regional profile

This suburban area had leaned Progressive Conservative from 1979 until 1993 when it swung hard to the Liberals primarily due to the rapid growth of the Greater Toronto Area and high immigrant populations, just like the suburbs to the north of Toronto. After winning just one seat (Mississauga East) in 1988, the Liberals swept every seat in this region from 1993 to 2006. The new Conservative Party (replacing the Progressive Conservatives) won their first seats in the area in 2008, picking up Oakville and Mississauga—Erindale before sweeping the region when they formed a majority government in 2011. However, the Liberals swept the region in 2015, and again in 2019.

In 2004, the Liberals won a majority of the vote in every Mississauga and Oakville based seat, while won just under 50% in each of the three Brampton based seats. Their strongest riding was Mississauga East—Cooksville (57%), while their weakest seat was Brampton West (45%). In 2006, the Liberals won a majority of the votes in just three seats, with their strongest seat this time being Mississauga—Brampton South (54%) with their weakest seat being Oakville (43%), which they won by fewer than 800 votes. In 2008, the strongest Liberal seat was again Mississauga East—Cooksville, the only seat in the region where they won a majority of the vote (50%). In 2011 they were shut out of the region, but nearly won Mississauga East—Cooksville, losing it by fewer than 700 votes.

The Conservatives came within 5 points of winning Brampton West, their best seat in 2004, thanks to star candidate Tony Clement. In 2006, their strongest seat was Oakville, which they nearly won. Oakville remained the Conservatives' best seat in 2008 and 2011. When they swept the region in 2011, Oakville was the only riding where they won a majority of the vote (54%). Thanks to a three-way vote split, the Conservatives still won Bramalea—Gore—Malton with just 34% of the vote.

The NDP has traditionally been very weak in the region. Thanks to a strong candidacy of Jagmeet Singh, the NDP placed second in Bramalea—Gore—Malton in 2011, with 33.5% of the vote, losing the riding by fewer than 600 votes.

2015 - 42nd General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Conservative		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Brampton Centre		Bal Gosal 13,345 33.67%		Rosemary Keenan 5,993 15.12%		Ramesh Sangha 19,277 48.64%		Saul Marquard T. Bottcher 844 2.13%		Frank Chilelli (M-L) 173 0.44%	New District
Brampton East		Naval Bajaj 10,642 23.54%		Harbaljit Singh Kahlon 10,400 23.01%		Raj Grewal 23,652 52.32%		Kyle Lacroix 512 1.13%				Bal Gosal‡ Bramalea—Gore—Malton
Brampton North		Parm Gill 15,888 32.99%		Martin Singh 7,946 16.50%		Ruby Sahota 23,297 48.37%		Pauline Thornham 915 1.90%		Harinderpal Hundal (Comm.) 120 0.25%		Parm Gill Brampton—Springdale
Brampton South		Kyle Seeback 15,929 35.04%		Amarjit Sangha 4,843 10.65%		Sonia Sidhu 23,681 52.09%		Shaun Hatton 1,011 2.22%			New District
Brampton West		Ninder Thind 13,068 30.11%		Adaoma Patterson 5,400 12.44%		Kamal Khera 24,256 55.89%		Karthika Gobinath 674 1.55%				Kyle Seeback‡
Mississauga Centre		Julius Tiangson 17,431 33.62%		Farheen Khan 4,920 9.49%		Omar Alghabra 28,372 54.72%		Linh Nguyen 1,129 2.18%			New District
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Wladyslaw Lizon 18,353 35.35%		Ali Naqvi 4,481 8.63%		Peter Fonseca 28,154 54.23%		Jaymini Bhikha 766 1.48%		Tim Sullivan (M-L) 163 0.31%		Wladyslaw Lizon
Mississauga—Erin Mills		Bob Dechert 21,716 39.24%		Michelle Bilek 5,206 9.41%		Iqra Khalid 27,520 49.72%		Andrew Roblin 905 1.64%				Bob Dechert Mississauga—Erindale
Mississauga—Lakeshore		Stella Ambler 24,435 41.22%		Eric Guerbilsky 4,735 7.99%		Sven Spengemann 28,279 47.71%		Ariana Burgener 1,397 2.36%		Dagmar Sullivan (M-L) 111 0.19% Paul Woodworth (Libert.) 316 0.53%		Stella Ambler Mississauga South
Mississauga—Malton		Jagdish Grewal[note 1] 11,701 26.44%		Dianne Douglas 5,450 12.31%		Navdeep Bains 26,165 59.12%		Heather Mercer 737 1.67%		Naresh Tharani (Ind.) 203 0.46%		Eve Adams§ Mississauga—Brampton South
Mississauga—Streetsville		Brad Butt 22,621 40.40%		Fayaz Karim 5,040 9.00%		Gagan Sikand 26,792 47.84%		Chris Hill 1,293 2.31%		Yegor Tarazevich (CHP) 253 0.45%		Brad Butt
Oakville		Terence Young 27,497 42.50%		Che Marville 3,830 5.92%		John Oliver 31,956 49.39%		David Doel 1,420 2.19%				Terence Young
Oakville North—Burlington		Effie Triantafilopoulos 26,342 43.33%		Janice Best 4,405 7.25%		Pam Damoff 28,415 46.74%		Adnan Shahbaz 968 1.59%		David Clement (Libert.) 666 1.10%		Lisa Raitt‡ Halton

2011 - 41st General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		Bal Gosal 19,907 34.44%		Gurbax Malhi 16,402 28.38%		Jagmeet Singh Dhaliwal 19,368 33.51%		John Moulton 1,748 3.02%		Frank Chilelli (M-L) 371 0.64%		Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale		Parm Gill 24,618 48.26%		Ruby Dhalla 14,221 27.88%		Manijit Grewal 10,022 19.65%		Mark Hoffberg 1,926 3.78%		Liz Rowley (Com) 219 0.43%		Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West		Kyle Seeback 28,320 44.75%		Andrew Kania 22,128 34.97%		Jagtar Shergill 11,225 17.74%		Avtaar Soor 1,224 1.93%		Theodore Koum Njoh (Ind.) 387 0.61%		Andrew Kania
Mississauga— Brampton South		Eve Adams 23,632 44.72%		Navdeep Bains 18,579 35.16%		Jim Glavin 9,465 17.91%		Benjamin Stone 1,044 1.98%		Tim Sullivan (M-L) 127 0.24%		Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Wladyslaw Lizon 18,796 39.97%		Peter Fonseca 18,120 38.53%		Waseem Ahmed 8,836 18.79%		Jaymini Bhikha 1,032 2.19%		Pierre Chénier (CPC-ML) 241 0.51%		Albina Guarnieri†
Mississauga—Erindale		Bob Dechert 29,793 46.95%		Omar Alghabra 21,541 33.95%		Michelle Bilek 10,327 16.27%		John Fraser 1,694 2.67%		Dagmar Sullivan (CPC-ML) 99 0.16%		Bob Dechert
Mississauga South		Stella Ambler 22,991 46.48%		Paul Szabo 18,393 37.18%		Farah Kabouneh 6,354 12.85%		Paul Simas 1,532 3.10%		Richard Barrett (Ind.) 194 0.39%		Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville		Brad Butt 22,104 43.86%		Bonnie Crombie 18,651 37.01%		Aijaz Naqvi 7,834 15.55%		Christopher Hill 1,802 3.58%				Bonnie Crombie
Oakville		Terence Young 30,068 51.65%		Max Khan 17,890 30.73%		James Ede 8,117 13.94%		Andrew Chlobowski 2,140 3.68%				Terence Young

2008 - 40th General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		Stella Ambler 18,350		Gurbax Malhi 22,214		Jashwant Singh Puniya 5,935		Mark Pajot 2,545		Frank Chilelli (MXL) 309		Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale		Parm Gill 17,804		Ruby Dhalla 18,522		Mani Singh 5,320		Dave Finlay 3,524		Dimitrios Kabitsis (COM) 135		Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West		Kyle Seeback 21,516		Andrew Kania 21,649		Jagtar Shergill 7,339		Patti Chmelyk 3,330				Colleen Beaumier†
Mississauga— Brampton South		Salma Ataullahjan 14,757		Navdeep Bains 21,220		Karanjit Pandher 5,358		Grace Yogaretnam 2,947		Tim Sullivan (MXL) 395		Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Melissa Bhagat 13,215		Albina Guarnieri 20,371		Satish Balasunderam 4,614		Jaymini Bhikha 2,126		Pierre Chenier (MXL) 285		Albina Guarnieri
Mississauga—Erindale		Bob Dechert 23,795		Omar Alghabra 23,556		Mustafa Rizvi 4,767		Richard Pietro 3,636		Dagmar Sullivan (MXL) 128		Omar Alghabra
Mississauga South		Hugh Arrison 18,467		Paul Szabo 20,475		Matt Turner 4,102		Richard Laushway 3,427				Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville		Wajid Khan 16,946		Bonnie Crombie 21,579		Keith Pinto 4,711		Otto Casanova 3,177		Ralph Bunag (IND) 511 Viktor Spanovic (IND) 430		Wajid Khan
Oakville		Terence Young 26,011		Bonnie Brown 20,428		Michelle Bilek 4,143		Blake Poland 4,681				Bonnie Brown

2006 - 39th General Election

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		Other
Bramalea—Gore—Malton		Gurbax Malhi 25,348		John Sprovieri 16,367		Cesar Martello 6,343		Ernst Braendli 1,721		Frank Chilelli (M-L) 233		Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale		Ruby Dhalla 22,294		Sam Hundal 14,492		Anna Mather 8,345		Ian Chiocchio 1,853		Upali Wannaku Rallage (Comm.) 110		Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West		Colleen Beaumier 27,988		Baljit Gosal 20,345		Jagtar Singh Shergill 6,310		Jaipaul Massey-Singh 2,340				Colleen Beaumier
Mississauga—Brampton South		Navdeep Bains 27,370		Arnjeet Sangha 15,605		Nirvan Balkissoon 5,521		Grace Yogaretnam 1,927		Tim Sullivan (M-L) 319		Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Albina Guarnieri 23,530		Carl DeFaria 14,326		Jim Gill 5,180		Rich Pietro 1,393		Mohamed Elrofaie (Ind.) 496 Sally Wong (CHP) 467 Pierre Chénier (M-L) 164		Albina Guarnieri
Mississauga—Erindale		Omar Alghabra 26,852		Bob Dechert 23,524		Ruprinder Brar 6,644		Adam Hunter 2,613		Ronnie Amyotte (Ind.) 289		Carolyn Parrish †
Mississauga South		Paul Szabo 23,018		Phil Green 20,888		Mark de Pelham 5,607		Brendan Tarry 2,393		Paul D.J. McMurray (CAP) 129 Dagmar Sullivan (M-L) 74		Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville		Wajid Khan 23,913		Raminder Gill 18,121		Jim Caron 6,929		Otto Casanova 2,334		Peter Creighton (PC) 747		Wajid Khan
Oakville		Bonnie Brown 25,892		Terence Young 25,148		Tina Agrell 5,815		Laura Domsy 2,872				Bonnie Brown

2004 - 38th General Election

Key map

1. Bramalea-Gore-Malton
2. Brampton-Springdale
3. Brampton West
4. Mississauga-Brampton South
5. Mississauga East-Cooksville
6. Mississauga-Erindale
7. Mississauga South
8. Mississauga-Streetsville
9. Oakville

• 
  Conservative Party of Canada
• 
  Green Party of Canada
• 
  Liberal Party of Canada
• 
  New Democratic Party

References

1. Thibedeau, Hannah (7 October 2015). "Expelled Conservative Jagdish Grewal says he's not homophobic". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 8 October 2015.

Notes

1. Jagdish Grewal was expelled by the Conservative Party on 6 October; because no changes could be made to the list of confirmed candidates after 28 September, he was still listed as the Conservative candidate on the ballot.[1]