2015 Melilla Assembly election

The 2015 Melilla Assembly election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 6th Assembly of the Autonomous City of Melilla. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in thirteen autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

2015 Melilla Assembly election

24 May 2015
All 25 seats in the Assembly of Melilla 13 seats needed for a majority
Registered	57,694 6.3%
Turnout	32,393 (56.1%) 2.1 pp
Leader Juan José Imbroda Mustafa Aberchán Gloria Rojas Party PP CpM PSOE Leader since 20 July 2000 2 October 1995 24 November 2014 Last election 15 seats, 53.9% 6 seats, 23.7% 2 seats, 8.6% Seats won 12 7 3 Seat change 3 1 1 Popular vote 13,672 8,450 4,028 Percentage 42.7% 26.4% 12.6% Swing 11.2 pp 2.7 pp 4.0 pp   Leader Eduardo de Castro Ignacio Velázquez Rivera Party C's PPL Leader since 23 February 2015 26 March 2011 Last election Did not contest 2 seats, 6.8% Seats won 2 1 Seat change 2 1 Popular vote 2,161 1,734 Percentage 6.8% 5.4% Swing New party 1.4 pp
Mayor-President before election Juan José Imbroda PP Elected Mayor-President Juan José Imbroda PP

Electoral system

The Assembly of Melilla was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Melilla. Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Melilla and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[1][2][3]

The 25 members of the Assembly of Melilla were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[1][2][3]

The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.[3]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Melilla. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[1][2]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Melilla.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout		CpM		PPL					G	Lead
2015 Assembly election	24 May 2015	N/A	56.1	42.7 12	26.4 7	12.6 3	5.4 1	1.1 0	0.8 0	2.6 0	6.8 2	–	16.3
SyM Consulting/PPL[p 1][p 2]	16 May 2015	567	67.3	33.0 10	20.5 6	16.5 4/5	15.8 4/5	2.4 0	–	3.1 0	4.8 0/1	–	12.5
SyM Consulting[p 3][p 4]	6–7 May 2015	672	66.6	33.4 9/10	20.4 6	15.7 4/5	11.6 3	2.7 0	–	4.7 0/1	8.3 2	–	13.0
SyM Consulting[p 5][p 6]	24–25 Apr 2015	555	64.9	34.2 10	19.1 5/6	15.9 4/5	12.5 3	2.5 0	–	4.2 0	7.2 2	–	15.1
CIS[p 7][p 8]	23 Mar–19 Apr 2015	294	?	36.8 10/11	14.3 4	21.2 6	5.8 1	3.0 0	1.4 0	9.3 2	6.8 1/2	–	15.6
SyM Consulting[p 9][p 10]	5–6 Apr 2015	518	67.4	25.8 7	19.0 5	21.1 5/6	17.1 4/5	4.2 0	–	–	? 3	–	4.7
Infortécnica/Rusadir Media[p 11][p 12]	26 Mar 2015	427	?	? 12/14	? 3/5	? 5/7	? 2/3	–	–	–	? 0/2	–	?
SyM Consulting[p 13][p 14]	27 Feb–1 Mar 2015	530	71.3	32.8 9	20.5 5/6	21.0 5/6	13.5 3	9.7 2	–	–	–	–	11.8
SyM Consulting[p 15][p 16]	30 Jan–1 Feb 2015	518	70.6	36.1 10	20.4 5/6	19.0 5	10.5 2/3	5.9 1	–	? 0/1	–	–	15.7
SyM Consulting[p 17][p 18]	2–4 Jan 2015	550	64.4	40.1 11	14.4 4/5	19.3 5	6.2 1/2	8.5 1/2	–	? 2	–	–	20.8
SyM Consulting[p 19][p 20]	5–8 Dec 2014	496	75.5	37.4 11/12	11.8 3/4	16.6 4/5	7.7 2	7.9 2	–	10.7 2/3	–	2.7 0	20.8
SyM Consulting[p 21][p 22]	29 Oct–2 Nov 2014	528	65.8	41.6 12/13	9.6 2/3	18.5 5	9.3 2/3	5.8 1/2	–	12.8 3	–	–	23.1
SyM Consulting[p 23][p 24]	24–28 Jul 2014	422	67.0	38.4 10/11	11.0 3	19.2 5	8.2 2	9.6 2/3	–	9.6 2	–	–	19.2
2014 EP election	25 May 2014	N/A	26.1	44.0 14	–	25.0 8	5.9 1	7.0 2	3.3 0	2.9 0	1.8 0	–	19.0
SyM Consulting[p 25][p 26]	4–8 Mar 2014	421	73.0	26.6 10/11	11.9 4/5	11.5 4	10.4 4	7.8 2/3	–	–	–	–	14.7
SyM Consulting[p 27][p 28]	2–4 Jan 2014	400	78.0	35.9 12/13	8.1 2/3	12.0 4/5	9.3 3	5.2 2	–	–	–	–	23.9
SyM Consulting[p 29]	24–28 Sep 2013	532	77.8	35.7 12/14	9.6 3/4	17.9 5/6	7.2 2/3	8.7 2/3	–	–	–	–	17.8
SyM Consulting[p 30]	17 May 2013	?	66.8	34.7 10/13	16.8 4/5	13.0 3/4	15.9 3/4	9.3 2	–	–	–	–	17.9
2011 general election	20 Nov 2011	N/A	49.4	66.7 18	–	25.3 7	–	3.7 0	–	–	–	–	41.4
2011 Assembly election	22 May 2011	N/A	58.2	53.9 15	23.7 6	8.6 2	6.8 2	2.1 0	–	–	–	–	30.2

Results

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Assembly of Melilla election results →

Parties and coalitions		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	13,672	42.73	–11.18	12	–3
	Coalition for Melilla (CpM)	8,450	26.41	+2.75	7	+1
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	4,028	12.59	+4.01	3	+1
	Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's)	2,161	6.75	New	2	+2
	Populars in Freedom Party (PPL)	1,734	5.42	–1.39	1	–1
	We Can (Podemos)	835	2.61	New	0	±0
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	353	1.10	–1.04	0	±0
	United Left (IU)	251	0.78	New	0	±0
	Equo (Equo)	196	0.61	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		314	0.98	–0.24
Total		31,994			25	±0
Valid votes		31,994	98.77	–0.18
Invalid votes		399	1.23	+0.18
Votes cast / turnout		32,393	56.15	–2.04
Abstentions		25,301	43.85	+2.04
Registered voters		57,694
Sources[4][5][6]

Popular vote PP   42.73% CpM   26.41% PSOE   12.59% C's   6.75% PPL   5.42% Podemos   2.61% UPyD   1.10% Others   1.40% Blank ballots   0.98%

Seats PP   48.00% CpM   28.00% PSOE   12.00% C's   8.00% PPL   4.00%

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "Estimación Melilla. Cliente: Populares en Libertad (PPL). Mayo 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
2. "MELILLA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
3. "Estimación Decimo Tercera Oleada Melilla. Mayo 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 11 May 2015.
4. "MELILLA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 May 2015.
5. "Estimación Duodécima Oleada Melilla. Abril 2015 (2)". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.
6. "MELILLA, Abril 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.
7. "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Ciudad Autónoma de Melilla (Estudio nº 3078. Marzo-Abril 2015)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
8. "El PP se echa a la calle para recuperar a las clases medias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 May 2015.
9. "Estimación Undécima Oleada Melilla. Abril 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 13 April 2015.
10. "MELILLA, Abril 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 April 2015.
11. "El PP volvería a ganar las elecciones con una mayoría ajustada". TwitLonger (in Spanish). 26 March 2015.
12. "MELILLA, Marzo 2015. Sondeo Infortécnica". Electograph (in Spanish). 27 March 2015.
13. "Estimación Décima Oleada Melilla. Marzo 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 9 March 2015.
14. "MELILLA, Marzo 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 March 2015.
15. "Estimación Novena Oleada Melilla. Febrero 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 9 February 2015.
16. "MELILLA, Febrero 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 February 2015.
17. "Estimación Octava Oleada Melilla. Enero 2015". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 12 January 2015.
18. "MELILLA, Enero 2015. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 January 2015.
19. "Estimación Séptima Oleada Melilla. Diciembre 2014". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 15 December 2014.
20. "MELILLA, Diciembre 2014. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 December 2014.
21. "Estimación Sexta Oleada Melilla. Noviembre 2014". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 5 November 2014.
22. "MELILLA, Noviembre 2014. SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 5 November 2014.
23. "Estimación Quinta Oleada Melilla. Julio 2014". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 1 August 2014.
24. "MELILLA, Julio 2014. SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 1 August 2014.
25. "Estimación Cuarta Oleada Melilla. Marzo 2014". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 9 March 2014.
26. "MELILLA, Marzo 2014. SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 March 2014.
27. "Estimación Tercera Oleada Melilla. Enero 2014". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 5 January 2014.
28. "MELILLA, Enero 2014. SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 5 January 2014.
29. "Estimación Segunda Oleada Melilla. Septiembre 2013". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 28 September 2013.
30. "Estimación Primera Oleada Melilla. Mayo 2013". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 17 May 2013.

Other

1. "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
2. "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
3. "Statute of Autonomy of Melilla of 1995". Law No. 2 of 13 March 1995. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 7 April 2018.
4. "Local election results, 24 May 2015, in Valencia, Valladolid, Zamora, Zaragoza, Ceuta and Melilla provinces" (PDF). juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 7 April 2018.
5. "Electoral Results Consultation. Municipal. May 2015. City of Melilla". Ministry of the Interior (in Spanish). Retrieved 3 April 2018.
6. "Elecciones Municipales y Autonómicas en Melilla (1979 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 April 2018.