2008 United States Senate election in Texas
The 2008 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican John Cornyn won re-election to a second term.
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 County results Cornyn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% Noriega: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Texas |
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 Government |
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Gene Kelly, U.S. Air Force veteran and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000
- Ray McMurrey, teacher at Mary Carroll High School
- Rick Noriega, State Representative
- Rhett Smith, U.S. Navy veteran and auditor at the Texas Department of Human Services
Results
Turnout, 2,178,252
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Rick Noriega | 1,110,579 | 51.01% | |
| Democratic | Gene Kelly | 584,966 | 26.87% | |
| Democratic | Ray McMurrey | 269,402 | 12.37% | |
| Democratic | Rhett Smith | 213,305 | 9.75% | |
Republican primary
Candidates
- John Cornyn, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Larry Kilgore, conservative/Secessionist activist
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Cornyn | 997,216 | 81.48% | +4.17% | |
| Republican | Larry Kilgore | 226,649 | 18.52% | +0.00% | |
General election
Candidates
- John Cornyn (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Rick Noriega (D), State Representative
- Yvonne Adams Schick (L), real estate entrepreneur[3]
Campaign
Cornyn, running as an incumbent, had a 42% approval rating with a 43% disapproval rating in June 2007.[4] Texas is a red state, that Republican presidential nominee John McCain won with over 55% of the vote. Cornyn slightly underperformed McCain. However, Noriega underperformed both 2008 Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama in Texas and Cornyn's 2002 opponent, Ron Kirk, with Noriega receiving just 42.8% of the vote.
Predictions
CQ Politics rated this race as 'Republican Favored'.[5] The Cook Political Report considered it 'Solid Republican'.[6] The Rothenberg Political Report considered it a 'Safe Republican'.[7]
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Rick Noriega (D) | John Cornyn (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen | September 18, 2007 | 30% | 53% |
| Research 2000 | September 24–26, 2007 | 35% | 51% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 1, 2008 | 43% | 47% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | May 5–7, 2008 | 44% | 48% |
| Baselice & Associates | May 20–25, 2008 | 33% | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 2, 2008 | 35% | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 25, 2008 | 35% | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 30, 2008 | 39% | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 29, 2008 | 43% | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 21, 2008 | 40% | 55% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Cornyn | 4,337,469 | 54.82% | −0.48% | |
| Democratic | Rick Noriega | 3,389,365 | 42.84% | −0.50% | |
| Libertarian | Yvonne Adams Schick | 185,241 | 2.34% | +1.55% | |
| Majority | 948,104 | ||||
| Turnout | 7,912,075 | 58.28% | |||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
See also
References
- http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=294945
- http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=294946
- http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archives?p_product=DM&p_theme=dm&p_action=search&p_maxdocs=200&p_topdoc=1&p_text_direct-0=123C9994B0E36568&p_field_direct-0=document_id&p_perpage=10&p_sort=YMD_date:D&s_trackval=GooglePM
- Survey USA
- Race Ratings Chart: Senate Archived October 28, 2010, at the Wayback Machine CQ Politics.
- 2008 Senate Race Ratings Archived November 20, 2008, at the Wayback Machine The Cook Political Report, October 9, 2008.
- 2008 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report, September 29, 2008.
External links
- Elections Division from the Texas Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for Texas at Project Vote Smart
- Texas, U.S. Senate from CQ Politics
- Texas U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- Texas Senate race from 2008 Race Tracker
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Cornyn (R-i) vs Noriega (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- John Cornyn, Republican candidate
- Rick Noriega, Democratic candidate
- Yvonne Schick, Libertarian candidate
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