California's 48th congressional district

California's 48th congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of California based in Orange County in Southern California. It is currently represented by Republican Michelle Steel.

"CA 48" redirects here. For California State Route 48, see Unconstructed state highways in California. For the isotope of calcium, see Calcium-48.
California's 48th congressional district
California's 48th congressional district since January 3, 2013
Representative
  Michelle Steel
R–Surfside
Population (2019)718,359
Median household
income		$100,604[1]
Ethnicity
Cook PVIR+4[3]

The district includes Costa Mesa, Emerald Bay, Fountain Valley, Huntington Beach, Laguna Beach, Laguna Niguel, Newport Beach, Seal Beach, Surfside and parts of Garden Grove, Midway City, Aliso Viejo, Santa Ana and Westminster.[4]

From 2003 to 2013, the district included the cities of Aliso Viejo, Dana Point, Irvine, Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, Laguna Niguel, Laguna Woods, Lake Forest (formerly known as El Toro), Tustin, parts of Irvine and parts of Newport Beach and San Juan Capistrano.

Following the 2018 House elections, Democrat Harley Rouda became the district's representative, declaring victory after amassing a 3.6% and growing lead in the results, defeating incumbent Republican Dana Rohrabacher.[5] Rouda was defeated by Republican Michelle Steel in 2020.

Demographics

According to the APM Research Lab's Voter Profile Tools (featuring the U.S. Census Bureau's 2019 American Community Survey), the district contained about 514,000 potential voters (citizens, age 18+). Of these, 61% are White, 19% Asian, and 16% Latino. Immigrants make up 21% of the district's potential voters. Median income among households (with one or more potential voter) in the district is about $102,800. As for the educational attainment of potential voters in the district, 44% hold a bachelor's or higher degree.

Competitiveness

In statewide races
Election results from statewide races
Year Office Results
1992 President[6] Bush 44.1% – 29.1%
Senator[7] Herschensohn 58.2% – 32.1%
Senator (Special)[8] Seymour 51.9% – 38.4%
1994 Governor[9] Wilson 71.8% – 24.1%
Senator[10] Huffington 61.1% - 29.9%
1996 President[11] Dole 55.5% - 33.8%
1998 Governor[12] Lungren 56.5% – 40.1%
Senator[13] Fong 59.6% – 36.3%
2000 President[14] Bush 60.4% – 35.7%
Senator[15] Campbell 53.1% – 39.2%
2002 Governor[16] Simon 59.4% – 32.8%
2003 Recall[17][18] Yes 72.9% – 27.1%
Schwarzenegger 65.2% – 16.3%
2004 President[19] Bush 58.3% – 40.4%
Senator[20] Jones 51.4% – 43.7%
2006 Governor[21] Schwarzenegger 71.5% – 24.0%
Senator[22] Mountjoy 49.7% – 45.5%
2008 President[23] Obama 49.3% – 48.6%
2010 Governor[24] Whitman 58.7% – 36.4%
Senator[25] Fiorina 59.3% – 36.3%
2012 President[26] Romney 54.7% – 43.0%
Senator[27] Emken 55.1% – 44.9%
2014 Governor[28] Kashkari 57.6% – 42.4%
2016 President[29] Clinton 47.9% – 46.2%
Senator[30] Harris 56.4% – 43.6%
2018 Governor[31] Cox 52.1% – 47.9%
Senator[32] Feinstein 55.1% – 44.9%
Lieutenant Governor[33] Kounalakis 56.8% – 43.2%
Secretary of State[33] Meuser 50.7% – 49.3%
Controller[33] Yee 50.2% – 49.8%
Treasurer[33] Conlon 51.0% – 49.0%
Attorney General[33] Bailey 51.1% – 48.9%
Insurance Commissioner[33] Poizner 61.2% – 38.8%
State Board of Equalization, 4th District[33] Anderson 54.4% – 45.6%
2020 President[34] Biden 49.7% – 48.2%

List of members representing the district
Member Party Dates Cong
ress		 Electoral history Counties
District created January 3, 1993

Ron Packard		 Republican January 3, 1993 –
January 3, 2001		 103rd
104th
105th
106th		 Redistricted from the 43rd district and re-elected in 1992.
Re-elected in 1994.
Re-elected in 1996.
Re-elected in 1998.
Retired.		 1993–2003
Southern Orange, Riverside (Temecula), Northwestern San Diego

Darrell Issa		 Republican January 3, 2001 –
January 3, 2003		 107th Elected in 2000.
Redistricted to the 49th district.

Christopher Cox		 Republican January 3, 2003 –
August 2, 2005		 108th
109th		 Redistricted from the 47th district and re-elected in 2002.
Re-elected in 2004.
Resigned to become Chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.		 2003–2013
South-central Orange
Vacant August 2, 2005 –
December 6, 2005		 109th

John Campbell		 Republican December 6, 2005 –
January 3, 2013		 109th
110th
111th
112th		 Elected to finish Cox's term.
Re-elected in 2006.
Re-elected in 2008.
Re-elected in 2010.
Redistricted to the 45th district.

Dana Rohrabacher		 Republican January 3, 2013 –
January 3, 2019		 113th
114th
115th		 Redistricted from the 46th district and re-elected in 2012.
Re-elected in 2014.
Re-elected in 2016.
Lost re-election.		 2013–Present
Coastal Orange County (Huntington Beach)

Harley Rouda		 Democratic January 3, 2019 –
January 3, 2021		 116th Elected in 2018.
Lost re-election.

Michelle Steel		 Republican January 3, 2021 –
Present		 117th Elected in 2020.

Election results

District created January 3, 1993.

1992
1992 United States House of Representatives elections in California[35]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Packard (Incumbent) 140,935 61.1
Democratic Michael P. "Mike" Farber 67,415 29.3
Peace and Freedom Donna White 13,396 5.8
Libertarian Ted Lowe 8,749 3.8
Total votes 230,495 100.0
Republican hold

1994
1994 United States House of Representatives elections in California[36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Packard (Incumbent) 143,570 73.4
Democratic Andrei Leschick 43,523 22.2
Reform Donna White 8,543 4.4
Total votes 195,636 100.0
Republican hold

1996
1996 United States House of Representatives elections in California[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Packard (Incumbent) 145,814 65.9
Democratic Dan Farrell 59,558 26.9
Reform William Dreu 8,013 3.6
Natural Law Sharon Miles 8,006 3.6
Total votes 221,391 100.0
Republican hold

1998
1998 United States House of Representatives elections in California[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Packard (Incumbent) 138,948 76.9
Natural Law Sharon K. Miles 23,262 12.9
Libertarian Daniel L. Muhe 18,509 10.2
Total votes 180,719 100.0
Republican hold

2000
2000 United States House of Representatives elections in California[39]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Darrell Issa 160,627 61.5
Democratic Peter Kouvelis 74,073 28.4
Reform Eddie Rose 11,240 4.3
Natural Law Sharon K. Miles 8,269 3.1
Libertarian Joe Michael Cobb 7,269 2.7
Total votes 261,478 100.0
Republican hold

2002
2002 United States House of Representatives elections in California[40]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christopher Cox (Incumbent) 122,884 68.5
Democratic John Graham 51,058 28.4
Libertarian Joe Michael Cobb 5,607 3.1
Total votes 179,549 100.0
Republican hold

2004
2004 United States House of Representatives elections in California[41]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christopher Cox (Incumbent) 189,004 65.0
Democratic John Graham 93,525 32.2
Libertarian Bruce Cohen 8,343 2.8
Total votes 290,872 100.0
Republican hold

2005
2005 California 48th congressional district special election[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Campbell 46,184 44.4
Democratic Steve Young 28,853 27.8
American Independent Jim Gilchrist 26,507 25.5
Green Bea Tiritilli 1,430 1.4
Libertarian Bruce Cohen 974 0.9
Invalid or blank votes 457 0.4
Total votes 104,405 100.0
Turnout   25.7
Republican hold

2006
2006 United States House of Representatives elections in California[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Campbell (Incumbent) 120,130 59.9
Democratic Steve Young 74,647 37.2
Libertarian Bruce Cohen 5,750 2.9
Total votes 200,527 100.0
Republican hold

2008
2008 United States House of Representatives elections in California[44]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Campbell (Incumbent) 171,658 55.7
Democratic Steve Young 125,537 40.6
Libertarian Don Patterson 11,507 3.7
Total votes 308,702 100.00
Republican hold

2010
2010 United States House of Representatives elections in California[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Campbell (Incumbent) 145,481 60.0
Democratic Beth Krom 88,465 36.4
Libertarian Mike Binkley 8,773 3.6
Total votes 242,719 100.0
Republican hold

2012
2012 United States House of Representatives elections in California[46]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dana Rohrabacher (Incumbent) 177,144 61.0
Democratic Ron Varasteh 113,358 39.0
Total votes 290,502 100.0
Republican hold

2014
2014 United States House of Representatives elections in California[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dana Rohrabacher (Incumbent) 112,082 64.1
Democratic Suzanne Joyce Savary 62,713 35.9
Total votes 174,795 100.0
Republican hold

2016
2016 United States House of Representatives elections in California[48]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dana Rohrabacher (Incumbent) 178,701 58.3
Democratic Suzanne Joyce Savary 127,715 41.7
Total votes 306,416 100.0
Republican hold

2018
2018 United States House of Representatives elections in California[49]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Harley Rouda 157,837 53.6
Republican Dana Rohrabacher (Incumbent) 136,899 46.4
Total votes 294,736 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

2020
2020 United States House of Representatives elections in California[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michelle Steel 201,738 51.1
Democratic Harley Rouda (Incumbent) 193,362 48.9
Total votes 395,100 100
Republican gain from Democratic

Historical district boundaries

From 2003 through 2013, the district consisted of many of Orange's south-central suburbs, including Irvine, and Newport Beach. Due to redistricting after the 2010 United States Census, the district has moved south east along the coast of Orange and now includes Laguna Beach and Huntington Beach.

See also

References
  1. US Census
  2. LA Times
  3. "Partisan Voting Index – Districts of the 115th Congress" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. April 7, 2017. Retrieved April 7, 2017.
  4. "California's 48th Congressional District - CA-48 Representatives & District Map - GovTrack.us". GovTrack.us.
  5. Andrew Gumbel (2018-11-10). "Republican dubbed 'Russia's favorite congressman' loses seat after 30 years". The Guardian. Retrieved 2018-11-10.
  6. Statement of Vote (1992 President)
  7. Statement of Vote (1992 Senate)
  8. Statement of Vote (1992 Senate)
  9. Statement of Vote (1994 Governor)
  10. Statement of Vote (1994 Senate)
  11. Statement of Vote (1996 President)
  12. Statement of Vote (1998 Governor) Archived September 29, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  13. Statement of Vote (1998 Senate) Archived September 29, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  14. Statement of Vote (2000 President)
  15. Statement of Vote (2000 Senator)
  16. Statement of Vote (2002 Governor)
  17. Statement of Vote (2003 Recall Question)
  18. Statement of Vote (2003 Governor)
  19. Statement of Vote (2004 President)
  20. Statement of Vote (2004 Senator)
  21. Statement of Vote (2006 Governor)
  22. Statement of Vote (2006 Senator)
  23. Statement of Vote (2008 President)
  24. Statement of Vote (2010 Governor)
  25. Statement of Vote (2010 Senator)
  26. Statement of Vote (2012 President)
  27. Statement of Vote (2012 Senator)
  28. Statement of Vote (2014 Governor)
  29. Statement of Vote (2016 President)
  30. Statement of Vote (2016 Senator)
  31. Statement of Vote (2018 Governor)
  32. Statement of Vote (2018 Senator)
  34. "Statement of Votes" (PDF). OCVote. Orange County Registrar of Voters. Retrieved 27 November 2020.
  35. 1992 election results
  36. 1994 election results
  37. 1996 election results
  38. 1998 election results
  39. 2000 election results
  40. 2002 election results
  41. 2004 election results
  42. "2005 Special Election Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. 2005-12-16. Retrieved 2019-09-15.
  43. 2006 election results
  44. 2008 election results
  45. 2010 election results
  46. 2012 election results
  47. 2014 election results
  48. 2016 election results
  49. 2018 election results
  50. "California Election Results: 48th Congressional District". The New York Times. Retrieved November 9, 2020.

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