2022 Latvian parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia on 1 October 2022, following the end of the term of the Saeima elected in 2018. The election may be held at an earlier date in the event of an early election motion.

2022 Latvian parliamentary election

On or before 1 October 2022

Party Leader Current seats Harmony Jānis Urbanovičs 19 JKP Jānis Bordāns 15 AP! Artis Pabriks 13 National Alliance Roberts Zīle 12 PCL Rolands Millers 10 ZZS Māris Kučinskis 10 New Unity Krišjānis Kariņš 10

Incumbent Prime Minister Arturs Krišjānis Kariņš New Unity

Electoral system

The 100 members of the Saeima are elected by open list proportional representation from five multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 13 to 32 seats and based on the regions, with overseas votes included in the Riga constituency. Seats are allocated using the Saint-Laguë method.[1]

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Fieldwork date [release]	Polling firm/ Commissioner	Sample size	SDPS	PCL	JKP	AP!	NA	ZZS	JV	LRA	LKS	P	LuK	Other	Don't know	Won't vote	Lead
28 - 31 January 2021	Factum	1250	11.8	2.5	7.5	14.0	12.4	12.3	13.7	3.0	4.1	6.8	3.5	8.3	-	-	0.3
December 2020	SKDS/LTV	Around 900	11.3	1.9	5.3	4.8	5.8	8	4.1	3	2.1	3.9	-	1	26.6	22	3.3
1-17 December 2020	Factum	2421	13	2	8	13	13	13	13	3	4	8	-	9	-	-	Tie
November 2020	SKDS/LTV	–	11.6	1.1	4.9	8.6	8.2	7	5	3.2	3.6	2.9	-	1	26.6	22	3
11-30 November 2020	Factum	817	15	1	9	15	13	12	13	4	4	6	-	8	-	-	Tie
26-30 October 2020	Factum	853	15	1	9	17	13	11	14	3	4	6	-	8	-	-	2
9-20 October 2020	SKDS/LTV	889	11.3	1.9	6.4	7.8	6.4	8.9	5.4	3	2.8	3.3	-	0.7	23	19	2.4
29 September - 4 October 2020	Factum	442	15	2	8	17	13	9	15	4	3	7	-	8	-	-	2
11-22 September 2020	SKDS/LTV	888	10.2	2.2	6.1	7.6	6.2	9.8	6.6	3.5	2.6	3	-	1.1	22.4	18.7	0.4
1-24 August 2020	Factum	637	15	2	9	16	13	10	15	3	4	5	-	7	-	-	1
7-20 August 2020	SKDS/LTV	900	12.2	1.9	4.6	7.8	5.2	10.7	6.6	3.8	1.5	1.4	-	0.7	28.5	17.9	1.5
8-31 July 2020	Factum	1975	16	2	9	15	11	10	16	4	3	8	-	6	-	-	Tie
July 2020	SKDS/LTV	884	15.5	2.2	3.9	5.6	6.8	8.3	5.8	2.9	2.1	2.2	-	0.2	26.0	18.5	7.2
1-30 June 2020	Factum	1461	15	2	9	15	11	10	17	5	3	8	-	7	–	–	2
June 2020	SKDS/LTV	891	12.9	1.8	4.2	5.8	5.6	8.9	5.1	2.8	2.2	1.7	-	0.6	29.8	18.6	4.0
23 May – 2 June 2020	SKDS/LTV	902	13,2	2,0	3,7	5,0	5,5	8,1	6,1	2,6	2,3	1,5	-	9,6	29,6	19,6	5,1
18–31 May 2020	Factum	1182	16	2	9	13	11	9	18	4	3	8	-	7	–	–	2
7-26 April 2020	Factum	1325	17	2	11	14	12	11	16	5	4	6	-	2	–	–	1
March 2020	SKDS/LTV	903	14,8	2,2	4,8	5,6	5,8	8,6	5,8	2,9	1,5	1,5	-	0,4	28,8	17,1	6,2
4–28 March 2020	Factum	1994	18	2	13	13	12	12	13	5	4	7	-	4	–	–	5
24–28 February 2020	Factum	783	18	3	11	12	12	13	14	5	4	6	-	2	–	–	4
7–18 February 2020	SKDS/LTV	873	12,3	1,3	4,1	5,4	5,4	7,9	6,4	3,3	2,0	2,2	-	0,4	27,9	21,4	4,4
28 January - 1 February 2020	Factum	684	21	2	11	11	12	10	16	5	3	7	-	2	–	–	5
January 2020	SKDS/LTV	~900	13,6	2,0	6,1	5,4	6,3	8,7	6,1	2,9	2,5	1,8	-	0,8	26,9	16,9	4,9
18–31 December 2019	Factum	1153	20	2	12	10	14	10	14	5	5	6	-	2	–	–	6
30 November – 12 December 2019	SKDS/LTV	887	13,4	1,8	5,9	4,6	6,9	8,0	6,8	2,0	2,2	2,4	-	0,1	26,7	19,2	6,4
21–24 November 2019	Factum	966	20	3	13	10	12	10	16	4	4	6	-	2	–	–	4
2–12 November 2019	SKDS/LTV	884	11,2	3,0	5,4	5,6	8,8	7,5	6,5	2,8	2,0	2,1	-	0,2	25,4	19,5	2,4
15–22 October 2019	Factum	502	20	3	14	9	11	11	15	4	4	6	-	3	–	–	5
5–16 October 2019	SKDS/LTV	909	12,9	2,5	6,7	5,2	7,3	8,0	6,5	2,2	2,2	2,8	-	0,5	24,9[2]	18,3	4,9
27–30 September 2019	Factum	489	19	2	15	11	10	10	17	5	4	5	-	2	–	–	2
26–18 September 2019	SKDS/LTV	~900	14,5	2,8	7,2	6,1	8,9	8,4	8,3	2,5	–	2,1	-	1,0	22,1	16,1	5,6
27–30 August 2019	Factum	1152	18	4	16	10	11	11	17	4	4	4	-	1	–	–	1
August 2019 (published on 30th)	SKDS/LTV	–	16,1	2,6	6,3	6,2	7,2	8,3	8,8	2,9	2,5	2,1	-	0,3	17,3	19,4	7,3
July 2019 (published on 30th)	SKDS/LTV	–	14,7	1,6	5,0	5,7	6,3	7,6	8,5	3,6	2,3	2,1	-	0,5	22,2	19,9	6,2
22–29 July 2019	Factum	989	18	2	15	10	15	10	15	4	6	4	-	1	–	–	3
26–30 June 2019	Factum	860	17	4	10	12	15	9	17	6	4	6	-	0	–	–	Tie
7–17 June 2019	SKDS/LTV	891	15,8	3,4	4,6	6,8	7,7	6,3	10,5	3,0	1,6	3,0	-	0,4	18,2	18,7	5,3
May 2019	SKDS/LTV	–	17,5	2,4	7,9	5,9	8,6	8,8	6,1	4,0	1,5	1,9	-	0,1	16,9	18,4	8,7
1–28 May 2019	Factum	1079	17	4	10	10	16	8	16	4	4	7	-	4	–	–	1
1–30 April 2019	Factum	1236	20	4	15	10	12	11	10	6	3	7	-	3	–	–	5
April 2019 (published on 26th)	SKDS/LTV	–	19.7	2.8	8.6	5.6	6.7	6.9	5.8	3.0	1.6	1.5	-	0.3	20.6	16.9	11.1
March 2019	Factum	867	15	4	13	11	14	10	11	6	5	6	-	5	–	–	1
March 2019	SKDS/LTV	873	17.7	4.1	8.0	6.2	5.0	7.6	5.3	2.9	1.6	2.3	-	0.5	22.1	16.7	8.3
February 2019	SKDS/LTV	872	19.0	3.5	9.5	5.9	6.3	5.7	6.5	2.4	2.0	2.7	-	0.4	19.3	16.8	9.5
11–23 January 2019	SKDS/LTV	906	17,4	7,1	12,1	6,7	7,7	8,1	4,0	–	–	–	-	5,3	18,8	12,8	5,3
1–12 December 2018	SKDS/LTV	900	20,6	10,4	8,9	6,2	6,5	6,6	4,2	3,0	2,4	2,3	-	0,1	16,5	12,3	10,2
3–15 November 2018	SKDS/LTV	833	18,2	9,8	10,2	6,7	5,9	6,4	4,7	2,6	1,6	1,8	-	0,1	17,7	14,3	8,0
13–23 October 2018	SKDS/LTV	900	19,2	11,5	10,1	8,9	8,4	5,4	4,4	4,2	1,4	1,7	-	0,2	12,0	12,6	7,7
2018 Parliamentary election			19,80	14,25	13,59	12,05	11,02	9,92	6,70	4,15	3,20	2,62	-	2,70	(45,42)		5,55

References

1. Electoral system IPU
2. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D8K_MfzFW6A