2018 Australian federal budget

The 2018 Australian federal budget was the federal budget to fund government services and operations for the 2018–19 financial year. The budget was presented to the House of Representatives by Treasurer Scott Morrison on 8 May 2018. It was the fifth budget to be handed down by the Liberal/National Coalition since their election to government at the 2013 federal election, and the third and final budget to be handed down by Morrison and the Turnbull Government.

 () Australian federal budget 2018
Submitted8 May 2018
Submitted byTurnbull Government
Submitted toHouse of Representatives
Parliament45th
PartyLiberal/National Coalition
TreasurerScott Morrison
Total revenueA$473.7 billion [1]
Total expendituresA$484.6 billion [1]
Tax cutsA$13.4 billion (over 4 years) [1]
DeficitA$14.5 billion [1]
Websitebudget.gov.au
‹ 2017
2019 ›

Background

In mid-April, Acting Prime Minister Michael McCormack described Treasurer Scott Morrison as "Santa Claus" in an interview with the Daily Telegraph, also hinting that there would be spending on transport infrastructure. Morrison stated that the $5 billion Melbourne Airport rail link would be part of this budget.[2] There has been an increase in revenue recently due to stronger than expected commodity prices and an increase in employment.[3] This budget has been described as effectively a pre-election budget for the 2019 federal election.[4] Polling prior to the budget revealed that the public thought the most important issues for the government to address were the cost of living and improving health infrastructure.[5] Student newspapers were not invited to the 2018 budget lockup.[6]

Forecasting

A Deloitte Access report issued in April 2018 found that total revenue was $7.6 billion more than had been forecast in December 2017.[7]

Income taxes
See also: Income tax in Australia

The budget proposes to introduce a Low and Middle Income Tax Offset (LMITO) of $530, from July 2018.[8] This offset will not be reflected in adjustments to PAYG rates, which would translate to a PAYG cut of about $10 a week for low to middle income earners, but will be applied when the tax returns are lodged. The LMITO will not be a refundable offset. From July 2022, the 32.5% tax bracket is to raise from $37,000 to $41,000. From July 2024, the 37% tax bracket (which currently applies to incomes between $87,000 and $180,000) is to be abolished, and the 32.5% tax bracket is to apply to incomes between $41,000 and $200,000.[9][10]

The 0.5% increase in the Medicare levy from 1 July 2019, announced in the 2017 budget, has been abandoned, and the funding of the National Disability Insurance Scheme of $8 billion is now to be funded out of general revenue.[11]

The Government still wants to reduce the corporate income tax rate from 30% to 25% for all companies by 2026/27. From 1 July 2019, businesses with a turnover of less than $50 million will get a 2.5% tax break to 27.5%.

Social welfare

The Social Welfare Debt Recovery scheme (dubbed robo-debt by the media) will be extended for another three years, until 2022, and is expected to recover $300 million from current and former Centrelink customers.[12] The Commonwealth will seek the power to automatically deduct state fines from welfare payments.[13] The rules for suspending the disability support pension for prisoners and people awaiting trial will be changed from allowing a suspension period of 2 years to allowing a suspension period of 13 weeks.[14]

There is to be no increase in the Newstart Allowance,[15] and the Department of Human Services was targeted with further 1,200 job cuts.[13]

Spending on social security was $6.3b less than forecast in this budget.[16]

Programs and expenditure

Aged care

Home care packages will be increased by 14,000 places. It has been noted that this measure will not meet demand in the sector.[17]

Agriculture

Sea imports will be subject to a levy to help the government identify and respond to biosecurity threats. The macadamia levy has been increased to raise funds to combat the Varroa jacobsoni mite in Queensland, and the mushroom and honey levies have been decreased.[18]

Arts

The funding freeze of the ABC will be continued, and SBS will be funded with an additional $14.6 million. $50 million will be allocated to the construction of a Captain Cook memorial at Kurnell commemorating the 250th anniversary of Captain Cook's landing.[19]

ASIC

ASIC was given $11 million in the budget to cover the costs of the Royal Commission into Misconduct in the Banking, Superannuation and Financial Services Industry, but lost $28 million of funding and 30 staff.[20]

Cash transactions

A limit of $10,000 will be imposed on cash transactions to counter the black economy. While amnesties were recommended by a parliamentary committee, these were not adopted by the government.[21]

Illicit tobacco

A four-year program targeting illicit tobacco is expected to be announced,[22] with import permits required from 1 July 2019 for all imports of tobacco except those purchased duty free.[23]

Infrastructure

There will be an infrastructure spend of $24.5 billion in New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia.[24]

National School Chaplaincy Programme

The National School Chaplaincy Programme has been extended for four years with funding of $247 million.[25]

Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme

Additional medicines will be added to the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme, for the treatment of breast cancer, refractory multiple myeloma, and relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Additionally, pre-exposure prophylaxis for HIV/AIDS will be added to the PBS.[26]

Self-managed superannuation auditing

The requirement for self-managed superannuation to be audited annually has been relaxed to allow auditing to occur once every three years.[27]

Space agency
Main article: Australian Space Agency

$50 million will be allocated to the creation of a space agency.[28]

Superannuation consolidation

Fund exit fees are to be banned. The Australian Tax Office will be given powers to consolidate superannuation from a person's inactive accounts, sending it to their active account. Superannuation accounts that have had no contributions for over 13 months and that have a balance of under $6,000 will be subject to this scheme from 1 July 2019.[29][30][31]

Women's Budget

An analysis of how the budget measures will affect women has concluded that the taper effect will create a disincentive to work.[32] A statement on women's economic security will be unveiled by Kelly O'Dwyer in spring 2018.[33]

Debt and deficit

The Budget deficit for 2017/18 is expected to be $18.2 billion, falling to $14.5 billion in 2018/19. The Budget is expected to return to a surplus of $2.2 billion in 2019/20, and increasing to $16.6 billion in 2021/22.

The government's debt level is forecast to be $629 billion in 2019/20.[34]

Opposition and crossbench response

Upfront fees for up to 100,000 TAFE students will be scrapped.[35]

The Greens party has stated that they will refuse to pass the tax cuts advocated by either major party, describing them as a "bribe".[36]

Reception

In response to an anticipated tax cut, the hashtag #keepmytendollars trended on social media.[37]

Some people have criticized the New tax System with Australians earning between $41,000 and $200,000 paying the same tax as moving away from a progressive taxation system.[38][39] Labor has asked for the potential costs from scrapping the 37% tax bracket, but Morrison has declined to release the cost modelling.[40]

Analysis of the budget and budget reply by Australian National University researchers shows that neither proposed budget adequately addresses bracket creep.[41]

This budget marks the fifth consecutive year that Australia's foreign aid budget has been cut.[42]

The second stage of the Coalition's company tax cuts for big business was rejected by the Senate on 22 August 2018.[43]

See also

References
  1. "Budget 2018/19 Budget Overview" (PDF). Commonwealth of Australia. 8 May 2018.
  2. "Treasurer rejects Santa Claus label, but promises not to be the budget Grinch". ABC News. 17 April 2018. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  3. "Turnbull's choice: Debt and deficit, or defeat". ABC News. 7 May 2018. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  4. "Get ready for the Santa routine we haven't seen in 11 years". ABC News. 5 May 2018. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  5. "Chart of the day: Just 7pc of Coalition voters want business tax cuts prioritised". ABC News. 7 May 2018. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  6. "Student Newspapers Have Once Again Been Told They Can't Attend The Federal Budget". BuzzFeed. Retrieved 14 May 2018.
  7. "Budget Monitor April 2018: Are the rivers of gold back? | Deloitte Australia | Deloitte Access Economics". Deloitte. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  8. Probyn, Andrew. "Budget 2018: Federal Government to unveil tax cuts worth $10 a week for low and middle-income earners". ABC News. Retrieved 10 May 2018.
  9. "Built on good fortune, relying on luck | Inside Story". Inside Story. 9 May 2018. Retrieved 12 May 2018.
  10. "What the budget means for you". Financial Review. 11 May 2018. Retrieved 12 May 2018.
  11. Bagshaw, Eryk (25 April 2018). "Turnbull government to scrap $8 billion Medicare levy increase". The Age. Retrieved 14 May 2018.
  12. "Centrelink's #NotMyDebt Recovery Program Is Here To Stay". BuzzFeed. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  13. Knaus, Christopher (9 May 2018). "Advocates savage Coalition's 'brutal' plan to dock welfare for fines". the Guardian. Retrieved 9 May 2018.
  14. Knaus, Christopher (17 May 2018). "Centrelink rule change jeopardises disability pension for thousands of inmates". the Guardian. Retrieved 17 May 2018.
  15. "Here's Why People Who Are Unemployed Won't Get Any More Newstart Money". BuzzFeed. Retrieved 9 May 2018.
  16. Hutchens, Gareth (25 September 2018). "Coalition reveals smallest deficit in a decade after decline in welfare spending". the Guardian.
  17. Woods, Michael. "There is extra funding for aged care in the budget, but not enough to meet demand". The Conversation. Retrieved 16 May 2018.
  18. "bp2_revenue.pdf" (PDF). pp. 7–8. Retrieved 14 May 2018.
  19. Koziol, Michael (8 May 2018). "Budget 2018: Turnbull government hits ABC with $84m funding freeze". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 10 May 2018.
  20. "ASIC loses $28 million in funding under 2018 budget". Radio National. 11 May 2018. Retrieved 12 May 2018.
  21. "Government rejected cash amnesty in budget". Financial Review. 10 May 2018. Retrieved 12 May 2018.
  22. Karp, Paul (6 May 2018). "Budget crackdown on illicit tobacco aims to raise $3.6bn over four years". the Guardian. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  23. "bp2_revenue.pdf" (PDF). p. 13. Retrieved 14 May 2018.
  24. Karp, Paul (7 May 2018). "Budget 2018: Coalition touts $24.5bn infrastructure spend as pre-election sweetener". the Guardian. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  25. Karp, Paul (9 May 2018). "School chaplain program's $247m budget extension rejected by teachers' union". the Guardian. Retrieved 9 May 2018.
  26. "Federal budget 2018: $1.3b plan to make Australia a medical technology leader". Financial Review. 8 May 2018. Retrieved 16 May 2018.
  27. "Oversight of self-managed super funds to be reduced in budget shock". ABC News. 14 May 2018. Retrieved 14 May 2018.
  28. "Budget to launch Australian space industry with $50 million". ABC News. 3 May 2018. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  29. "Here's what you really need to know about the budget". ABC News. 8 May 2018. Retrieved 11 May 2018.
  30. "I Know This Sounds Boring But The Budget Superannuation Changes Will Probably Affect You". BuzzFeed. Retrieved 11 May 2018.
  31. https://www.hesta.com.au/content/dam/hesta/Documents/HESTA-budget-fact-sheet-2018-19.pdf HESTA factsheet
  32. Murphy, Katharine (19 May 2018). "Tax cuts to help women on lower incomes but 'taper effect' will trim gains". the Guardian. Retrieved 20 May 2018.
  33. "Women's Budget 2018-19 snapshot | Ministers Media Centre". ministers.pmc.gov.au.
  34. Australian Federal Budget analysis 2018/19
  35. Remeikis, Amy (10 May 2018). "Budget reply speech: Bill Shorten says Labor will double Coalition's tax offset plan – as it happened". The Guardian. Retrieved 10 May 2018.
  36. Remeikis, Amy (20 May 2018). "Greens rule out supporting tax cuts of either major party". the Guardian. Retrieved 20 May 2018.
  37. Noyes, Jenny (8 May 2018). "Budget 2018: Low income workers tell Scott Morrison 'keep my ten dollars'". The Age. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  38. https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2018/may/10/the-flat-tax-is-really-about-cutting-services-not-taxes
  39. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/may/11/its-the-neoliberal-budget-when-we-no-longer-believe-in-neoliberalism
  40. Murphy, Katharine (13 May 2018). "Coalition says costings for budget's tax measures too 'unreliable' to release". the Guardian. Retrieved 13 May 2018.
  41. Hutchens, Gareth (15 May 2018). "Coalition's and Labor's plans both increase burden on poorer taxpayers". Guardian Australia. Retrieved 16 May 2018.
  42. "Fact check: Has the foreign aid budget been cut five years in a row?". ABC News. 25 May 2018. Retrieved 24 May 2018.
  43. "'You are there to govern for the people', business leaders tell Canberra". ABC News. 22 August 2018. Retrieved 23 August 2018.
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