Results of the 2019 Canadian federal election

The 2019 Canadian federal election was held on October 21, 2019, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 43rd Canadian Parliament. The Liberal Party of Canada, having previously held a majority of the seats in the House, was returned with a minority of the seats, while the Conservative Party of Canada gained fewer seats than expected and the Bloc Québécois saw its standing revived in Quebec.

Summary

Elections Canada sign posted in front of polling place

Campaign strategy was weak in most of the political parties. As one commentator remarked, "Never before have both major parties taken such a small share of the vote. Never before, in my memory, have both declined steadily and together throughout a campaign."[1] While the Conservative share of the vote rose from 31.9 percent in 2015 to 34.4 percent in 2019, and saw its share of the popular vote rise in 194 of the ridings, its share of the vote fell In the remaining 144.[lower-alpha 1][2] The Liberals emerged from the election with a strategic advantage in seats in both Ontario and Quebec, and the Conservatives' weakness on election day may lead to questions about the future of its leader Andrew Scheer,[3][4] but there is also discussion as to whether the Tories' shortfall is due to more systemic reasons,[5][6][7] especially with respect to the urban/rural divide in the electorate.[8]

Opinion polling was generally accurate, although in most polls support for the Liberals and Conservatives was mildly understated, while that for the Bloc and the Greens was overstated.[9] Seats won fell within poll projections, but it was noted that at least eight seats expected to go to the NDP actually went Liberal, leading to the conjecture that the prior departure of their long-time NDP MPs revealed the underlying weakness of the party brand.[9]

Synopsis of results

Results by riding - 2019 Canadian federal election[a 1]
Riding Prov/
Terr
2015 Winning party Turnout
[a 2]
Votes[a 3]
Party Votes Share Margin
#
Margin
%
Lib Con NDP BQ Green PPC Ind Other Total
 
Banff—AirdrieABConCon55,50471.1%47,07960.3%73.1%8,42555,5048,1853,3152,65178,080
Battle River—CrowfootABConCon53,30985.5%50,12480.4%77.3%2,55753,3093,1851,6891,62062,360
Bow RiverABConCon46,27983.9%43,10678.2%70.1%3,17346,2793,0868261,32145355,138
Calgary CentreABLibCon37,30656.6%19,53529.7%69.4%17,77137,3066,5162,85390713837365,864
Calgary ConfederationABConCon36,31255.1%21,40432.5%72.2%14,90836,3127,3125,7001,13652465,892
Calgary Forest LawnABConCon23,80559.6%15,11537.8%53.5%8,69023,8054,2271,3181,08938844739,964
Calgary HeritageABConCon40,81770.7%32,76056.8%70.9%8,05740,8175,2782,0271,12322818557,715
Calgary MidnaporeABConCon50,55974.3%43,05263.2%73.2%7,50750,5596,4451,9921,58568,088
Calgary Nose HillABConCon38,58869.8%29,88554.0%66.9%8,70338,5885,3041,5541,0897155,309
Calgary Rocky RidgeABConCon48,25368.3%35,24149.9%72.3%13,01248,2536,0512,0111,05327070,650
Calgary ShepardABConCon58,61475.0%49,97063.9%70.2%8,64458,6146,8282,3451,70978,140
Calgary Signal HillABConCon44,42170.0%34,69954.7%72.1%9,72244,4215,3552,1391,13071163,478
Calgary SkyviewABLibCon26,53352.5%12,20624.1%60.7%14,32726,5337,54080060374950,552
Edmonton CentreABLibCon22,00641.4%4,4828.4%65.4%17,52422,00610,9591,39480511928553,092
Edmonton GriesbachABConCon24,12051.4%12,32026.2%57.5%8,10024,12011,8001,1891,07421646446,963
Edmonton ManningABConCon30,42555.9%18,73334.4%61.5%11,69230,4259,5551,2551,10934454,380
Edmonton Mill WoodsABLibCon26,73650.3%8,85716.7%69.0%17,87926,7366,42296895321953,177
Edmonton RiverbendABConCon35,12657.4%21,08834.5%71.0%14,03835,1269,3321,79785561,148
Edmonton StrathconaABNDPNDP26,82347.3%5,78810.2%73.7%6,59221,03526,8231,15294120256,745
Edmonton WestABConCon35,71960.9%23,90740.8%66.6%11,81235,7198,5371,4411,12658,635
Edmonton—WetaskiwinABConCon63,34672.4%52,54460.1%71.4%10,80263,3469,8201,6601,61621187,455
FoothillsABConCon53,87282.1%50,01676.3%76.6%3,85653,8723,7672,3981,69865,591
Fort McMurray—Cold LakeABConCon40,70679.9%35,85870.3%65.6%4,84840,7062,8838651,67450,976
Grande Prairie—MackenzieABConCon51,19884.0%46,95377.0%72.4%2,91051,1984,2451,1341,49260,979
LakelandABConCon48,31483.9%44,58677.4%73.6%2,56548,3143,7281,1051,46839857,578
LethbridgeABConCon40,71365.8%31,60351.1%70.5%8,44340,7139,1101,9391,00767061,882
Medicine Hat—Cardston—WarnerABConCon42,04579.2%37,40670.4%68.1%3,52842,0454,6391,2031,35033753,102
Peace River—WestlockABConCon41,65980.7%37,77373.1%70.4%3,14841,6593,8861,3771,57951,649
Red Deer—LacombeABConCon53,84379.8%47,83170.9%72.8%3,54053,8436,0121,5962,45367,444
Red Deer—Mountain ViewABConCon54,76580.3%49,81973.1%76.8%3,79554,7654,9462,0262,63768,169
Sherwood Park—Fort SaskatchewanABConCon53,60073.4%44,73361.2%77.0%7,35753,6008,8671,5921,33430073,050
St. Albert—EdmontonABConCon39,50660.7%27,02941.5%70.7%12,47739,5069,8951,5941,26835165,091
Sturgeon River—ParklandABConCon53,23577.5%46,29567.4%74.2%4,69653,2356,9401,7451,62541668,657
YellowheadABConCon45,96482.1%42,06675.2%76.2%2,91245,9643,8981,2721,59233055,968
AbbotsfordBCConCon25,16251.4%14,60229.8%65.9%10,56025,1628,2573,70298527048,936
Burnaby North—SeymourBCLibLib17,77035.5%1,5853.2%65.4%17,7709,73416,1854,8011,07927121950,059
Burnaby SouthBCNDPNDP16,95637.7%3,0426.8%56.9%10,70613,91416,9562,47764530845,006
Cariboo—Prince GeorgeBCConCon28,84852.7%17,91632.7%65.5%10,93228,8488,4404,9981,20635054,774
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—NicolaBCConCon31,13547.9%14,88322.9%69.2%16,25231,13510,9045,0861,34521364,935
Chilliwack—HopeBCConCon26,67249.6%15,82429.4%65.7%10,84826,6728,9575,2431,76027553,755
Cloverdale—Langley CityBCLibCon20,93637.7%1,3942.5%65.0%19,54220,93610,5083,57293055,488
Coquitlam—Port CoquitlamBCLibLib20,17834.7%3900.7%63.7%20,17819,78813,3834,0257039858,175
Courtenay—AlberniBCNDPNDP29,79041.2%5,8548.1%72.3%8,62023,93629,7909,76217272,280
Cowichan—Malahat—LangfordBCNDPNDP23,51936.1%6,56010.1%70.7%10,30116,95923,51913,1811,06620265,228
DeltaBCLibLib22,25741.2%4,4488.2%70.7%22,25717,8098,7923,38794878353,976
Esquimalt—Saanich—SookeBCNDPNDP23,88734.1%5,3817.7%70.9%12,55413,40923,88718,5061,08928239870,125
Fleetwood—Port KellsBCLibLib18,54537.7%1,8993.9%61.5%18,54516,64610,5692,3781,10449,242
Kamloops—Thompson—CaribooBCConCon32,41544.7%12,69917.5%70.8%19,71632,4159,9368,7891,13246572,453
Kelowna—Lake CountryBCLibCon31,49745.6%8,87012.8%69.4%22,62731,4978,3815,1711,22521969,120
Kootenay—ColumbiaBCNDPCon30,16844.8%7,01910.4%73.8%6,15130,16823,1496,1451,37833967,330
Langley—AldergroveBCConCon29,82347.0%13,56921.4%68.9%16,25429,82310,6904,8811,30549963,452
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser CanyonBCLibCon19,53542.4%7,23615.7%67.2%12,29919,5358,0895,0191,0556946,066
Nanaimo—LadysmithBCNDPGrn24,84434.6%6,2108.6%69.5%9,73518,63416,98524,8441,04930631171,864
New Westminster—BurnabyBCNDPNDP23,43744.2%11,02320.8%62.3%12,41411,43923,4374,3788628336452,977
North Island—Powell RiverBCNDPNDP23,83437.9%3,3325.3%70.6%8,25120,50223,8348,8911,1022874862,915
North Okanagan—ShuswapBCConCon36,15448.8%19,37126.1%70.0%16,78336,15411,3537,8282,02774,145
North VancouverBCLibLib26,97942.9%10,07116.0%71.7%26,97916,90810,3407,86883562,930
Pitt Meadows—Maple RidgeBCLibCon19,65036.2%3,5256.5%68.2%16,12519,65012,9584,33269846854,231
Port Moody—CoquitlamBCNDPCon16,85531.2%1530.3%66.4%15,69516,85516,7023,8738215754,003
Prince George—Peace River—Northern RockiesBCConCon38,47369.8%32,08258.2%69.8%6,39138,4735,0693,4481,74855,129
Richmond CentreBCConCon19,03749.0%7,98520.6%53.4%11,05219,0375,6172,37653819738,817
Saanich—Gulf IslandsBCGrnGrn33,45449.1%19,67028.9%75.5%11,32613,7848,65733,45492968,150
Skeena—Bulkley ValleyBCNDPNDP16,94440.9%3,1887.7%62.7%4,79313,75616,9443,2809403211,35041,384
South Okanagan—West KootenayBCNDPNDP24,80936.4%7961.2%69.6%11,70524,01324,8095,6721,63835968,196
South Surrey—White RockBCConCon24,31041.9%2,6184.5%69.6%21,69224,3106,7164,45885258,028
Steveston—Richmond EastBCLibCon17,47841.7%2,7476.5%57.4%14,73117,4786,3212,97244941,951
Surrey CentreBCLibLib15,45337.4%4,1009.9%54.9%15,45310,50511,3532,55870924349841,319
Surrey—NewtonBCLibLib18,96045.0%6,65415.8%63.4%18,9608,82412,3061,35565342,098
Vancouver CentreBCLibLib23,59942.2%10,31918.4%61.5%23,59910,78213,2807,00272418037955,946
Vancouver EastBCNDPNDP29,23652.6%19,15134.4%61.1%10,0856,72429,2368,06267982555,611
Vancouver GranvilleBCLibInd17,26532.6%3,1776.0%65.0%14,08811,6056,9602,68343117,26553,032
Vancouver KingswayBCNDPNDP21,68049.1%11,48626.0%59.4%10,1948,80421,6802,6754279144,163
Vancouver QuadraBCLibLib22,09343.5%8,01115.8%68.0%22,09314,0827,6816,30842816250,754
Vancouver SouthBCLibLib17,80841.2%3,4207.9%58.9%17,80814,3888,0152,45153243,194
VictoriaBCNDPNDP23,76533.2%2,3823.3%73.5%15,9529,03823,76521,38392011138071,549
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky CountryBCLibLib22,67334.9%5,3148.2%69.1%22,67317,3599,02714,5791,01015917364,980
Brandon—SourisMBConCon26,14863.5%20,34349.4%66.4%4,97226,1485,8052,98469132628041,206
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—HeadingleyMBLibCon18,81540.7%2,4175.2%71.1%16,39818,8156,5562,1781,97514016646,228
Churchill—Keewatinook AskiMBNDPNDP11,91950.3%6,30326.6%48.8%5,6164,71411,9191,14429423,687
Dauphin—Swan River—NeepawaMBConCon26,10364.3%20,37950.2%66.2%5,34426,1035,7242,21471147040,566
Elmwood—TransconaMBNDPNDP19,78645.6%3,5468.2%62.8%5,34616,24019,7861,48051243,364
Kildonan—St. PaulMBLibCon19,85644.8%7,50016.9%67.7%12,35619,8569,3871,77751010830444,298
Portage—LisgarMBConCon31,60070.8%26,82160.1%68.5%4,77931,6003,8722,3561,16986044,636
ProvencherMBConCon31,82165.9%25,47452.7%70.5%6,34731,8216,1872,8841,06648,305
Saint Boniface—Saint VitalMBLibLib20,30042.9%4,86410.3%69.9%20,30015,4368,0372,67159130347,338
Selkirk—Interlake—EastmanMBConCon31,10962.7%22,23644.8%68.7%6,00331,1098,8732,93468349,602
Winnipeg CentreMBLibNDP13,07341.2%2,3697.5%54.2%10,7045,56113,0731,66147425131,724
Winnipeg NorthMBLibLib15,58147.6%7,11221.7%52.4%15,5816,8208,46990532423140432,735
Winnipeg SouthMBLibLib20,18242.1%1,6453.4%69.9%20,18218,5376,6782,07341947,889
Winnipeg South CentreMBLibLib22,79945.0%7,74815.3%71.6%22,79915,0518,9653,17356910450,661
Acadie—BathurstNBLibLib26,54755.1%16,19533.6%73.5%26,54710,3526,9674,27748,143
BeauséjourNBLibLib24,94846.5%10,64319.8%78.0%24,9489,4383,94014,3051,05453,685
FrederictonNBLibGrn16,64033.7%1,6293.3%75.5%13,54415,0112,94616,64077649249,409
Fundy RoyalNBLibCon22,38946.0%9,95620.5%75.4%12,43322,3894,8047,2751,24929520148,646
Madawaska—RestigoucheNBLibLib17,33150.3%7,53021.8%69.4%17,3319,8012,2125,12534,469
Miramichi—Grand LakeNBLibLib12,72236.8%3701.1%72.8%12,72212,3522,8753,9141,1791,55634,598
Moncton—Riverview—DieppeNBLibLib22,26143.0%10,06119.4%70.0%22,26112,2006,1649,2871,25865851,828
New Brunswick SouthwestNBLibCon19,45149.1%9,34123.6%74.5%10,11019,4513,2515,3521,21420039,578
Saint John—RothesayNBLibLib15,44337.4%1,4373.5%65.5%15,44314,0065,0464,1651,2601,33341,253
Tobique—MactaquacNBLibCon19,22950.3%9,59825.1%70.0%9,63119,2293,0075,39893638,201
AvalonNLLibLib19,12246.3%6,26715.2%60.4%19,12212,8557,1422,21541,334
Bonavista—Burin—TrinityNLLibLib14,70745.7%2,0106.2%55.8%14,70712,6973,85592032,179
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre DameNLLibLib16,51448.3%4,43313.0%55.6%16,51412,0814,2241,36334,182
LabradorNLLibLib4,85142.5%1,30311.4%57.7%4,8513,5482,79622411,419
Long Range MountainsNLLibLib18,19947.4%7,32619.1%56.2%18,19910,8737,6091,33441138,426
St. John's EastNLLibNDP21,14846.9%6,18613.7%69.0%14,9628,14121,14882145,072
St. John's South—Mount PearlNLLibLib20,79351.1%9,90324.4%61.4%20,7937,76710,89074033514140,666
Cape Breton—CansoNSLibLib16,69438.9%1,8734.4%72.1%16,69414,8216,3543,32192568514042,940
Central NovaNSLibLib20,71846.6%7,51716.9%74.5%20,71813,2015,8063,47893814918044,470
Cumberland—ColchesterNSLibLib16,67236.7%4531.0%68.9%16,67216,2195,4516,01560823225345,450
Dartmouth—Cole HarbourNSLibLib24,25945.3%9,82418.4%70.0%24,2598,63814,4355,28088753,499
HalifaxNSLibLib23,68142.5%6,93412.4%75.0%23,6816,45616,7478,01363322255,752
Halifax WestNSLibLib26,88549.5%16,39730.2%71.1%26,88510,48810,4296,55554,357
Kings—HantsNSLibLib20,80643.3%8,90118.5%69.5%20,80611,9058,2546,02978625648,036
Sackville—Preston—ChezzetcookNSLibLib19,92540.2%8,06516.3%69.8%19,92511,21111,8605,72581649,537
South Shore—St. MargaretsNSLibLib21,88641.7%7,14213.6%67.7%21,88614,7448,3616,07066754124952,518
Sydney—VictoriaNSLibLib12,53630.9%1,3093.2%68.4%12,53611,2278,1462,2496,15924840,565
West NovaNSLibCon18,39039.3%1,3652.9%67.7%17,02518,3905,0105,93943446,798
AjaxONLibLib35,19857.7%19,33431.7%66.3%35,19815,8647,0332,04058829761,020
Algoma—Manitoulin—KapuskasingONNDPNDP16,88341.6%6,25815.4%62.6%9,87910,62516,8832,19288712540,591
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond HillONLibCon23,56844.4%1,0602.0%64.4%22,50823,5683,8202,15453052953,109
Barrie—InnisfilONConCon23,76543.8%7,88614.5%63.0%15,87923,7658,8804,7161,01354,253
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-MedonteONConCon20,98139.0%4,1767.8%66.9%16,80520,9817,9727,06696953,793
Bay of QuinteONLibLib24,09939.2%1,4492.4%66.1%24,09922,6509,8513,7401,20761,547
Beaches—East YorkONLibLib32,64757.2%20,45135.8%70.9%32,6478,02612,1963,37883157,078
Brampton CentreONLibLib18,77147.2%8,07520.3%59.8%18,77110,6967,8191,68568110639,758
Brampton EastONLibLib24,05047.4%10,68221.0%66.4%24,05012,12513,3686662442118950,753
Brampton NorthONLibLib25,97051.4%11,99723.8%65.9%25,97013,9738,5331,51651050,502
Brampton SouthONLibLib24,08549.5%10,25721.1%62.8%24,08513,8287,9851,92635450548,683
Brampton WestONLibLib28,74353.5%15,91929.7%62.6%28,74312,8249,8551,27150548553,683
Brantford—BrantONConCon26,84940.3%6,3959.6%62.2%20,45426,84913,1314,2571,32026139466,666
Bruce—Grey—Owen SoundONConCon26,83046.1%9,34516.1%65.6%17,48526,8306,7975,1141,61432158,161
BurlingtonONLibLib34,98948.4%11,05915.4%72.6%34,98923,9307,3724,75094471,985
CambridgeONLibLib22,90339.5%5,4949.5%64.9%22,90317,40911,1774,3431,87223857,942
CarletonONConCon32,14746.3%5,6298.1%79.5%26,51832,1476,4793,42379269,359
Chatham-Kent—LeamingtonONConCon25,35946.9%8,46015.6%63.3%16,89925,3598,2292,2331,06130754,088
DavenportONLibLib23,25143.7%1,4392.7%67.1%23,2514,92121,8122,39749616513853,180
Don Valley EastONLibLib25,29559.8%15,18035.9%49.8%25,29510,1154,6471,67556242,294
Don Valley NorthONLibLib23,49550.4%6,98915.0%62.0%23,49516,5064,2851,80348246,571
Don Valley WestONLibLib29,14855.8%12,84424.6%71.5%29,14816,3043,8042,25744427752,234
Dufferin—CaledonONConCon28,85242.0%6,2079.0%65.1%22,64528,8527,9817,3031,51631968,616
DurhamONConCon30,75242.1%7,2059.9%68.5%23,54730,75213,3233,9501,44273,014
Eglinton—LawrenceONLibLib29,85053.3%11,30120.2%68.1%29,85018,5494,7412,27858656,004
Elgin—Middlesex—LondonONConCon31,02650.2%16,70227.0%66.7%14,32431,02611,0193,56295686761,754
EssexONNDPCon28,27441.4%4,6716.8%67.3%12,98728,27423,6032,1731,25168,288
Etobicoke CentreONLibLib32,80051.9%10,99617.4%69.5%32,80021,8044,8812,77566429563,219
Etobicoke NorthONLibLib26,38861.4%16,86439.3%58.8%26,3889,5244,6541,0801,19610442,946
Etobicoke—LakeshoreONLibLib36,06151.9%16,10923.2%68.0%36,06119,9528,2774,14192116369,515
Flamborough—GlanbrookONConCon24,52739.2%1,6522.6%70.5%22,87524,52710,3223,83398262,539
Glengarry—Prescott—RussellONLibLib31,29347.4%7,63311.6%72.2%31,29323,6606,8512,1131,17423946165,791
GuelphONLibLib30,49740.4%11,26114.9%72.3%30,49714,5689,29719,2361,08721966475,568
Haldimand—NorfolkONConCon28,01846.8%13,31422.2%66.3%14,70428,0189,1924,8781,2341,90059,926
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—BrockONConCon32,25749.1%15,19023.1%66.9%17,06732,2579,6765,5151,24565,760
Hamilton CentreONNDPNDP20,36846.2%7,71717.5%60.3%12,6516,34120,3683,37083337718244,122
Hamilton East—Stoney CreekONLibLib20,11238.6%5,1829.9%62.2%20,11213,13014,9302,9021,07252,146
Hamilton MountainONNDPNDP19,13536.1%3,0785.8%66.0%16,05713,44319,1353,11576043952,949
Hamilton West—Ancaster—DundasONLibLib30,21446.6%12,87419.8%74.6%30,21417,34011,5274,77089415664,901
Hastings—Lennox and AddingtonONLibCon21,96841.4%2,2474.2%66.7%19,72121,9686,9843,1141,30753,094
Humber River—Black CreekONLibLib23,18761.1%15,98942.1%56.8%23,1876,1647,19880440220337,958
Huron—BruceONConCon29,51248.5%9,34515.4%71.1%20,16729,5127,4212,6651,10260,867
Kanata—CarletonONLibLib28,74643.1%4,3856.6%77.4%28,74624,3618,3174,38796166,772
KenoraONLibCon9,44534.0%1,1104.0%61.4%8,3359,4457,9231,52638817027,787
Kingston and the IslandsONLibLib31,20545.8%15,34922.5%70.5%31,20513,30415,8566,0591,76968,193
King—VaughanONLibLib28,72545.0%1,1411.8%64.9%28,72527,5844,2972,51173163,848
Kitchener CentreONLibLib20,31636.7%5,92210.7%67.1%20,31613,1916,23814,3941,03320255,374
Kitchener South—HespelerONLibLib20,98640.2%3,5066.7%66.0%20,98617,4806,9455,6711,00514652,233
Kitchener—ConestogaONConLib20,48039.7%3650.7%69.6%20,48020,1155,2044,94679051,535
Lambton—Kent—MiddlesexONConCon28,65149.0%13,83723.7%66.6%14,81428,6519,3553,4631,80432558,412
Lanark—Frontenac—KingstonONConCon30,07748.1%14,63623.4%72.5%15,44130,0778,8357,0111,11762,481
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau LakesONConCon28,63049.0%13,14822.5%69.8%15,48228,6308,2015,15298858,453
London North CentreONLibLib27,24742.7%12,18119.1%67.3%27,24715,06614,8874,8721,53213763,741
London WestONLibLib30,62243.0%10,71215.0%72.0%30,62219,91015,2203,8271,17152371,273
London—FanshaweONNDPNDP22,67140.8%7,74713.9%60.4%14,92413,77022,6712,7811,13229755,575
Markham—StouffvilleONLibLib25,05538.9%5,3528.3%68.4%25,05519,7034,1321,62153713,34064,388
Markham—ThornhillONLibLib24,12453.9%8,65019.3%62.8%24,12415,4743,2641,25335827744,750
Markham—UnionvilleONConCon26,13348.9%5,64910.6%60.9%20,48426,1333,5242,39486153,396
MiltonONConLib30,88251.7%9,31815.6%70.8%30,88221,5643,8512,76961359,679
Mississauga CentreONLibLib29,97455.8%14,10026.2%62.3%29,97415,8745,1731,64683725253,756
Mississauga East—CooksvilleONLibLib27,92353.1%10,25919.5%62.1%27,92317,6644,6431,57863717852,623
Mississauga—Erin MillsONLibLib31,18153.5%12,13120.8%66.6%31,18119,0505,2362,14764858,262
Mississauga—LakeshoreONLibLib29,52648.4%6,78611.1%68.2%29,52622,7405,1032,8147179960,999
Mississauga—MaltonONLibLib27,89057.5%15,36231.7%62.0%27,89012,5286,1031,25136939648,537
Mississauga—StreetsvilleONLibLib29,61850.4%10,14417.3%67.6%29,61819,4746,0362,68870624358,765
NepeanONLibLib31,93345.9%8,61312.4%75.2%31,93323,3209,1044,37968716069,583
Newmarket—AuroraONLibLib26,48843.1%3,2365.3%67.3%26,48823,2526,5763,5515881,00561,460
Niagara CentreONLibLib20,29235.0%2,3054.0%64.9%20,29217,98715,4693,05477638557,963
Niagara FallsONConCon24,75135.5%2,0613.0%62.3%22,69024,75112,5663,4049684,99735869,734
Niagara WestONConCon24,44745.3%7,01813.0%72.5%17,42924,4476,5403,6208691,01953,924
Nickel BeltONLibLib19,04639.0%3,3906.9%64.7%19,04610,34315,6562,6441,15948,848
Nipissing—TimiskamingONLibLib19,35240.5%6,36813.3%64.6%19,35212,9849,7843,1112,49647,727
Northumberland—Peterborough SouthONLibCon27,38539.7%2,4083.5%71.7%24,97727,3859,6155,5241,46068,961
OakvilleONLibLib30,26546.3%4,7047.2%73.1%30,26525,5614,9283,70479814565,401
Oakville North—BurlingtonONLibLib33,59748.3%7,11310.2%71.9%33,59726,4845,8662,92575169,623
OrléansONLibLib44,18354.3%21,19926.0%77.3%44,18322,9849,4283,82998681,410
OshawaONConCon24,08738.9%6,41910.4%61.5%15,75024,08717,6683,1511,21511261,983
Ottawa CentreONLibLib38,39148.7%15,57519.7%80.1%38,3919,92022,9165,83773024287678,902
Ottawa SouthONLibLib34,20552.3%18,18027.8%72.0%34,20516,02510,4573,6457172289965,376
Ottawa West—NepeanONLibLib28,37845.6%11,50218.5%72.6%28,37816,87611,6463,8948397150262,206
Ottawa—VanierONLibLib32,67951.2%19,16330.0%71.0%32,67911,11813,5164,7961,06430540363,881
OxfordONConCon29,31048.1%17,00427.9%66.2%11,74529,31012,3064,7701,77498660,891
Parkdale—High ParkONLibLib28,85247.4%9,67215.9%74.0%28,8528,01519,1803,91664328160,887
Parry Sound—MuskokaONConCon22,84541.8%6,23011.4%66.4%16,61522,8456,4178,40937754,663
Perth—WellingtonONConCon25,62246.3%10,62019.2%67.3%15,00225,6228,0944,94989473355,294
Peterborough—KawarthaONLibLib27,40039.3%3,0434.4%70.5%27,40024,35711,8724,93089018017269,801
Pickering—UxbridgeONLibLib32,38751.0%13,92521.9%68.9%32,38718,4627,5823,7991,26563,495
Renfrew—Nipissing—PembrokeONConCon31,08052.7%19,54833.2%69.1%11,53231,0808,7863,2301,4632,24262458,957
Richmond HillONLibLib21,80443.5%2120.4%59.9%21,80421,5924,4251,69550712650,149
Sarnia—LambtonONConCon28,62349.4%15,97927.6%68.7%12,04128,62312,6442,4901,58753157,916
Sault Ste. MarieONLibLib16,28439.1%2,8776.9%63.5%16,28413,4079,4591,80974141,700
Scarborough CentreONLibLib25,69555.2%15,30832.9%62.4%25,69510,3875,4521,3361,1622,52446,556
Scarborough NorthONLibLib20,91153.4%9,07323.2%59.7%20,91111,8385,0397963708339,037
Scarborough SouthwestONLibLib28,96557.2%18,46336.5%65.3%28,96510,5027,8652,47759023650,635
Scarborough—AgincourtONLibLib21,11550.5%5,62313.4%59.3%21,11515,4923,6361,05052141,814
Scarborough—GuildwoodONLibLib26,12361.1%16,57038.8%63.9%26,1239,5534,8061,22064825214042,742
Scarborough—Rouge ParkONLibLib31,36062.2%21,24542.1%66.4%31,36010,1155,8012,33046735350,426
Simcoe NorthONConCon27,24143.4%7,93112.6%65.0%19,31027,2418,8505,8821,15434162,778
Simcoe—GreyONConCon32,81243.5%8,88711.8%66.0%23,92532,8128,4628,5891,41630575,509
Spadina—Fort YorkONLibLib33,82255.8%21,63435.7%67.7%33,82210,68012,1883,17467211460,650
St. CatharinesONLibLib24,18340.2%5,2058.7%67.0%24,18318,97812,4313,69582660,113
Stormont—Dundas—South GlengarryONConCon28,97653.9%15,20928.3%64.0%13,76728,9767,6742,1261,16853,711
SudburyONLibLib19,64340.9%5,75812.0%65.2%19,6439,86413,8853,22587320528247,977
ThornhillONConCon29,18754.6%10,24119.1%63.8%18,94629,1873,4691,60029453,496
Thunder Bay—Rainy RiverONLibLib14,49835.3%2,4596.0%63.0%14,49812,03911,9441,82974141,051
Thunder Bay—Superior NorthONLibLib18,50242.9%7,46617.3%66.1%18,50211,0369,1263,63973414043,177
Timmins—James BayONNDPNDP14,88540.5%4,97813.5%58.6%9,4439,90714,8851,2571,24836,740
Toronto CentreONLibLib31,27157.4%19,12935.1%68.5%31,2716,61312,1423,85212650854,512
Toronto—DanforthONLibLib27,68147.7%8,39814.5%71.9%27,6816,09119,2833,76162121041258,059
Toronto—St. Paul'sONLibLib32,49454.3%19,56132.7%71.6%32,49412,9339,4424,04292359,834
University—RosedaleONLibLib29,65251.7%17,07929.8%71.6%29,6529,34212,5734,86151045357,391
Vaughan—WoodbridgeONLibLib25,81051.3%7,52114.9%63.7%25,81018,2893,9101,30285216550,328
WaterlooONLibLib31,08548.8%15,47024.3%74.8%31,08515,6159,7106,1841,11263,706
Wellington—Halton HillsONConCon33,04447.4%13,26719.0%70.8%19,77733,0446,4998,8511,50969,680
WhitbyONLibLib30,18243.7%5,6188.1%70.8%30,18224,5649,7603,73586069,101
WillowdaleONLibLib22,28249.0%5,83012.8%58.2%22,28216,4524,2311,67156327145,470
Windsor WestONNDPNDP20,80040.0%1,9223.7%56.0%18,8789,92520,8001,3259587651,962
Windsor—TecumsehONNDPLib19,04633.4%6291.1%60.5%19,04615,85118,4172,1771,27918756,957
York CentreONLibLib21,68050.2%5,82813.5%62.5%21,68015,8524,2511,40343,186
York South—WestonONLibLib25,97658.4%17,56139.5%57.8%25,9768,4157,7541,63368544,463
York—SimcoeONConCon24,91846.3%10,51119.5%60.7%14,40724,9187,6204,6508751,31153,781
CardiganPELibLib10,93949.3%4,50020.3%75.5%10,9396,4391,4813,06824022,167
CharlottetownPELibLib8,81244.3%4,16420.9%73.4%8,8124,0402,2384,64817219,910
EgmontPELibLib8,01639.7%1,0825.4%72.0%8,0166,9341,2303,99820,178
MalpequePELibLib9,53341.4%3,43014.9%77.1%9,5335,9081,4956,10323,039
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—EeyouQCNDPBQ11,43236.1%2,4697.8%50.2%8,9635,2404,10411,4321,15137938731,656
Abitibi—TémiscamingueQCNDPBQ22,80345.5%10,38620.7%62.2%12,4177,5375,09322,8031,81848750,155
Ahuntsic-CartiervilleQCLibLib28,90452.4%16,93030.7%67.5%28,9044,0136,28411,9743,35258455,111
Alfred-PellanQCLibLib26,01547.9%10,46619.3%69.9%26,0155,9174,10915,5491,95847111317754,309
Argenteuil—La Petite-NationQCLibLib18,89637.8%7291.5%63.4%18,8966,0443,75818,1672,41172149,997
Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—MatapédiaQCLibBQ18,50051.4%6,31217.5%61.4%12,1882,7561,43518,50069921018035,968
BeauceQCConCon22,86038.5%6,06410.2%70.2%6,97122,8601,8478,4101,46116,7961,08459,429
Beauport—Côte-de-Beaupré—Île d’Orléans—CharlevoixQCConBQ18,40736.4%3,3636.6%67.5%10,60815,0442,84118,4071,3551,0451,33550,635
Beauport—LimoilouQCConBQ15,14930.2%1,9643.9%66.1%13,02013,1855,59915,1492,1271,0337850,191
Bécancour—Nicolet—SaurelQCBQBQ29,65356.7%20,32138.8%67.4%9,3328,4342,73229,6531,69748952,337
Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—LévisQCConCon32,28350.1%17,52927.2%69.6%10,73432,2833,25614,7541,9251,30718864,447
Beloeil—ChamblyQCNDPBQ35,06850.5%19,00927.4%73.7%16,0594,30510,08635,0683,25551220569,490
Berthier—MaskinongéQCNDPBQ21,20037.6%1,5022.7%68.0%7,7965,81219,69821,2001,00842815426156,354
BourassaQCLibLib23,23157.6%14,18835.2%59.1%23,2312,8993,2049,0431,3433472127240,351
Brome—MissisquoiQCLibLib23,45038.2%2,2983.7%70.1%23,4507,6974,88721,1523,30245649761,441
Brossard—Saint-LambertQCLibLib30,53753.9%19,40634.3%68.7%30,5376,1125,41011,1312,93552756,652
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-CharlesQCConCon22,48438.0%6,43110.8%70.3%12,58422,4844,55416,0532,0421,37959,096
Châteauguay—LacolleQCLibLib20,11838.4%6391.2%68.4%20,1185,8514,00519,4791,92956345752,402
Chicoutimi—Le FjordQCLibCon16,15536.8%8341.9%68.3%7,50416,1552,85515,3211,38835929943,881
Compton—StansteadQCLibLib21,73137.3%3,1605.4%70.2%21,7318,4465,60718,5713,04458625258,237
Dorval—Lachine—LaSalleQCLibLib27,82152.9%18,84735.8%62.5%27,8215,5436,2078,9742,89852860352,574
DrummondQCNDPBQ24,57444.8%15,02227.4%66.7%9,5529,0838,71624,5741,85652551854,824
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-MadeleineQCLibLib16,29642.5%6371.7%60.5%16,2963,0221,72215,6591,13019835338,380
GatineauQCLibLib29,08452.1%17,15830.8%67.0%29,0845,7456,12811,9262,2645607655,783
HochelagaQCNDPLib18,00834.0%3280.6%65.4%18,0082,38111,45117,6802,61837752253,037
Honoré-MercierQCLibLib29,54358.7%19,56438.8%65.4%29,5434,8084,1309,9791,3734597150,363
Hull—AylmerQCLibLib29,73254.1%21,72139.5%70.4%29,7324,9797,4678,0113,86963829754,993
JolietteQCBQBQ33,59058.2%20,59535.7%66.3%12,9955,1762,62333,5902,34349847457,699
JonquièreQCNDPBQ17,57735.6%5,43611.0%69.3%7,84910,33812,14117,5771,00945349,367
La Pointe-de-l'ÎleQCBQBQ26,01046.8%9,11216.4%66.2%16,8983,9846,05726,0101,91038828755,534
La PrairieQCLibBQ25,70741.8%3,2035.2%72.0%22,5045,5404,74425,7072,56539310061,553
Lac-Saint-JeanQCConBQ23,83944.0%10,20618.8%65.6%13,63312,5442,75323,8391,01044854,227
Lac-Saint-LouisQCLibLib34,62258.2%25,53942.9%71.6%34,6229,0837,2633,1694,17680540759,525
LaSalle—Émard—VerdunQCLibLib22,80343.5%10,18419.4%64.7%22,8033,6908,62812,6193,58349027430452,391
Laurentides—LabelleQCLibBQ30,62546.8%8,97013.7%66.2%21,6554,9834,12230,6253,15741817427265,406
Laurier—Sainte-MarieQCNDPLib22,30641.8%8,85316.6%65.4%22,3061,50213,45312,1883,2253204237353,409
Laval—Les ÎlesQCLibLib26,03148.2%14,91127.6%65.8%26,0318,8164,80311,1202,30688553,961
Lévis—LotbinièreQCConCon28,29744.6%12,37619.5%72.4%10,76128,2974,35515,9211,9082,24763,489
Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyneQCLibLib20,11439.0%1,3202.6%62.8%20,1143,8115,28918,7942,97855851,544
Longueuil—Saint-HubertQCNDPBQ23,06138.5%2,5904.3%69.9%20,4713,7795,10423,0616,74546721759,844
Louis-HébertQCLibLib25,14040.5%7,76512.5%76.6%25,14010,9124,88417,3752,4661,01626762,060
Louis-Saint-LaurentQCConCon29,27944.7%14,60522.3%70.7%13,57129,2794,33914,6742,1551,54365,561
ManicouaganQCBQBQ21,76853.9%13,97534.6%53.8%7,7937,7711,48221,7681,29328340,390
Marc-Aurèle-FortinQCLibLib24,86544.5%6,79612.2%72.4%24,8655,4234,74118,0692,11146514355,817
Mégantic—L'ÉrableQCConCon23,39249.2%11,14323.5%68.5%7,38823,3921,93612,2491,25881221725647,508
MirabelQCBQBQ33,21951.1%17,05726.2%68.7%16,1625,9405,21933,2193,51764133265,030
MontarvilleQCLibBQ25,36642.8%4,3057.3%77.8%21,0614,1384,98425,3662,96750121159,228
MontcalmQCBQBQ31,79158.0%20,59137.6%63.4%11,2004,9423,51431,7912,41652441954,806
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-LoupQCConCon20,98941.7%4,7289.4%65.7%8,21020,9893,48116,2611,03041750,388
Mount RoyalQCLibLib24,59056.3%13,70331.4%60.5%24,59010,8873,6091,7572,3893628543,679
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—WestmountQCLibLib28,32356.3%20,57040.9%66.4%28,3235,7597,7532,3595,397565986750,321
OutremontQCNDPLib19,14846.2%10,82926.1%62.2%19,1482,7078,3195,7415,01836915541,457
PapineauQCLibLib25,95751.1%16,20931.9%65.5%25,9572,1559,7488,1243,74132218554950,781
Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—VerchèresQCBQBQ31,00951.0%13,67622.5%76.3%17,3334,9104,19231,0092,95538460,783
Pierrefonds—DollardQCLibLib31,30556.4%21,50838.8%67.4%31,3059,7975,6874,4692,86671163655,471
PontiacQCLibLib30,21748.9%19,80132.0%68.2%30,21710,4166,5039,9293,76277524561,847
Portneuf—Jacques-CartierQCConCon28,11043.5%12,40319.2%70.9%12,87628,1103,75815,7072,3081,91564,674
QuébecQCLibLib18,04733.3%3250.6%70.0%18,0478,1186,22017,7222,94967446854,198
RepentignyQCBQBQ34,83753.2%16,72625.6%72.2%18,1114,8784,47034,8372,28952434765,456
Richmond—ArthabaskaQCConCon26,55345.3%10,01417.1%68.8%8,86826,5532,86416,5393,13368158,638
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les BasquesQCNDPBQ17,31437.8%4,2649.3%66.5%10,0954,07313,05017,31482423217945,767
Rivière-des-Mille-ÎlesQCLibBQ23,62940.6%2,6204.5%72.1%21,0094,6845,00223,6293,01584558,184
Rivière-du-NordQCBQBQ31,28152.0%17,87929.7%64.0%13,4027,1204,19431,2813,34540712722560,101
Rosemont—La Petite-PatrieQCNDPNDP25,57542.5%10,99918.3%71.4%14,5761,40525,57514,3063,53929351260,206
Saint-Hyacinthe—BagotQCNDPBQ23,14341.4%11,24020.1%70.1%11,9038,06210,29723,1432,03147855,914
Saint-JeanQCLibBQ27,75044.8%8,84414.3%69.3%18,9066,6124,79427,7503,12739728961,875
Saint-LaurentQCLibLib23,52758.6%16,52241.2%60.0%23,5277,0054,0652,8452,1504847140,147
Saint-Léonard—Saint-MichelQCLibLib27,86661.3%22,44349.4%60.4%27,8665,4232,9644,3511,1835013,0618545,434
Saint-Maurice—ChamplainQCLibLib23,10439.6%3,1545.4%65.2%23,1049,5423,07119,9501,80993858,414
Salaberry—SuroîtQCNDPBQ29,97547.7%11,29318.0%67.0%18,6826,1165,02429,9751,99776734262,903
SheffordQCLibBQ23,50338.6%8981.5%68.4%22,6057,4953,70523,5032,81449729460,913
SherbrookeQCNDPLib17,49029.3%6091.0%68.3%17,4906,36216,88115,4702,71658821959,726
TerrebonneQCBQBQ31,02950.6%13,03521.3%70.5%17,9444,6404,62731,0292,27739915926061,335
Thérèse-De BlainvilleQCLibBQ24,48641.8%3,4986.0%72.1%20,9885,2644,43124,4862,7103668921558,549
Trois-RivièresQCNDPBQ17,24028.5%1,4662.4%66.7%15,77415,24010,09017,2401,49256513760,538
Vaudreuil—SoulangesQCLibLib32,25447.3%15,65423.0%72.4%32,2547,8047,36816,6003,40571168,142
Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-SœursQCLibLib28,08753.5%19,81337.7%60.3%28,0874,6098,2746,8993,71852023018552,522
VimyQCLibLib26,49047.7%11,03519.9%64.3%26,4905,9514,77915,4552,12573355,533
Battlefords—LloydminsterSKConCon28,03078.3%23,93266.8%70.7%2,42628,0304,09860566235,821
Carlton Trail—Eagle CreekSKConCon35,31378.6%29,77866.2%78.5%2,08535,3135,53587379934444,949
Cypress Hills—GrasslandsSKConCon31,14081.1%27,47471.5%77.2%1,59531,1403,6667191,07522038,415
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill RiverSKNDPCon11,53142.3%3,79013.9%59.8%7,22511,5317,74154321727,257
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—LaniganSKConCon31,99371.1%24,33354.1%76.9%2,51731,9937,6601,2011,61344,984
Prince AlbertSKConCon26,89167.7%19,99650.3%69.8%4,10726,8916,92583977817039,710
Regina—LewvanSKNDPCon27,08852.5%12,32123.9%75.9%6,82627,08814,7672,0995732016051,614
Regina—Qu'AppelleSKConCon24,46363.1%16,77843.3%70.7%4,54324,4637,6851,2825137819138,755
Regina—WascanaSKLibCon22,41849.4%7,17615.8%76.3%15,24222,4185,8011,31645012845,355
Saskatoon WestSKConCon18,59747.7%2,8897.4%64.7%2,86318,59715,7081,04277538,985
Saskatoon—GrasswoodSKConCon26,33653.3%13,66427.6%77.6%8,41926,33612,6721,32069249,439
Saskatoon—UniversitySKNDPCon24,51452.1%10,52022.4%77.3%6,14624,51413,9941,40166730547,027
Souris—Moose MountainSKConCon35,06784.4%31,85376.7%80.2%1,71835,0673,21468170216841,550
Yorkton—MelvilleSKConCon29,52376.2%24,77663.9%74.0%2,48829,5234,7471,07094138,769
Northwest TerritoriesTerrLibLib6,46739.7%2,31014.2%54.3%6,4674,1573,6401,73129616,291
NunavutTerrLibNDP3,86140.8%94310.0%51.1%2,9182,4693,8612069,454
YukonTerrLibLib7,03433.5%1530.7%73.2%7,0346,8814,6172,20128421,017
  1. "October 21, 2019 Federal Election: Election Results by Electoral District". elections.ca. Retrieved November 4, 2019.
  2. including spoilt ballots
  3. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

Results overview

Summary analysis

157 121 32 24 3 1
Liberal Conservative BQ NDP G I
Party Votes Seats
Liberal 6,018,728
33.1%
6.4pp
157 / 338(46%)
27
Conservative 6,239,227
34.3%
3pp
121 / 338(36%)
22
Bloc Québécois 1,384,030
7.6%
3pp
32 / 338(9%)
22
New Democratic 2,903,722
16.0%
3.8pp
24 / 338(7%)
20
Green 1,189,607
6.5%
3.0pp
3 / 338(0.9%)
1
Independent 75,836
0.4%
0.1pp
1 / 338(0.3%)
1

Seats, of total, by party

  Liberal (46.4%)
  Conservative (35.8%)
  NDP (7.1%)
  Bloc Québécois (9.5%)
  Green (0.9%)

Votes, of total, by party

  Liberal (33.1%)
  Conservative (34.4%)
  NDP (15.9%)
  Bloc Québécois (7.7%)
  Green (6.5%)
  People's (1.7%)
Popular vote
Conservative
34.34%
Liberal
33.12%
NDP
15.98%
Bloc Québécois
7.63%
Green
6.55%
Others
2.38%
Seat totals
Liberal
46.45%
Conservative
35.80%
Bloc Québécois
9.47%
NDP
7.10%
Green
0.89%
Independents
0.30%
Change in popular vote by party (2019 vs 2015)
Party20192015Change (pp)
 Liberal
33.12%
39.47%
-6.35
 
 Conservative
34.34%
31.91%
2.43 2.43
 
 Bloc Québécois
7.63%
4.67%
2.96 2.96
 
 New Democratic
15.98%
19.73%
-3.75
 
 Green
6.55%
3.43%
3.12 3.12
 
 People's
1.64%
New1.64 1.64
 
 Other
0.67%
0.79%
-0.12
 

Results by province

Distribution of seats and popular vote %, by party by province/territory (2019)
Party name BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PE NL YT NT NU Total
  Liberal Seats: 11479356104611157
Vote: 26.213.811.726.541.634.337.541.443.744.933.539.730.933.1
  Conservative Seats: 1733147361031121
Vote: 34.069.064.045.233.116.032.825.727.327.932.725.526.134.3
  NDP Seats: 1113611124
Vote: 24.411.619.620.816.810.89.418.97.623.722.022.340.816.0
  Bloc Québécois Seats: 3232
Vote: 32.47.6
  Green Seats: 213
Vote: 12.52.82.65.16.24.517.211.020.93.110.510.62.26.5
  People's Seats:
Vote: 1.72.21.81.71.61.52.01.20.11.41.81.6
  Independents and others Seats: 11
Vote: 0.90.80.20.60.20.10.10.30.2
Seats: 4234141412178101147111338
Proportion of seats won in each province/territory, by party (2019)
Province Liberal Conservative NDP Bloc Green
Ontario
79 / 121
36 / 121
6 / 121
N/A
0 / 121
Quebec
35 / 78
10 / 78
1 / 78
32 / 78
0 / 78
Nova Scotia
10 / 11
1 / 11
0 / 11
N/A
0 / 11
New Brunswick
6 / 10
3 / 10
0 / 10
N/A
1 / 10
Manitoba
4 / 14
7 / 14
3 / 14
N/A
0 / 14
British Columbia
11 / 42
17 / 42
11 / 42
N/A
2 / 42
Prince Edward Island
4 / 4
0 / 4
0 / 4
N/A
0 / 4
Saskatchewan
0 / 14
14 / 14
0 / 14
N/A
0 / 14
Alberta
0 / 34
33 / 34
1 / 34
N/A
0 / 34
Newfoundland and Labrador
6 / 7
0 / 7
1 / 7
N/A
0 / 7
Northern Canada
2 / 3
0 / 3
1 / 3
N/A
0 / 3
Total
157 / 338
121 / 338
24 / 338
32 / 338
3 / 338

Seats won and lost by party

Elections to the 43rd Parliament of Canada – seats won/lost by party, 2015–2019
Party 2015 Gain from (loss to) 2019
Lib Con NDP BQ Grn Ind
Liberal 1842(21)5(3)(8)(1)(1)157
Conservative 9921(2)6(3)121
New Democratic 443(5)(6)(11)(1)24
Bloc Québécois 10831132
Green 1113
Independent 11
Total33834(7)5(27)23(3)(22)(2)(1)338

The following 62 seats (representing 18.34 percent of seats in the House of Commons) changed allegiance from the 2015 election:

The remaining 276 seats were held by whichever party won them in 2015.

Swing analysis within the largest provinces

Results in BC (2019 vs 2015)
Party Seats Votes
2015GainedLost2019Total%Change (%)
Conservative 10 7 17 799,239 34.1 +4.1
Liberal 17 -6 11 612,098 26.1 -9.1
New Democratic 14 -3 11 572,063 24.4 -1.5
Green 1 1 2 290,629 12.4 +4.2
People's 39,549 1.7 New
Independent and other 1 1 30,182 1.3 +0.6
Total 42 2,343,760 Turnout 65.0%
Liberal to Conservative swing 6.6%
Liberal to Green swing 6.6%
Results in Alberta (2019 vs 2015)
Party Seats Votes
2015GainedLost2019Total%Change (%)
Conservative 29 4 33 1,413,360 69.2 +9.7
Liberal 4 -4 280,309 13.7 -10.9
New Democratic 1 1 235,013 11.5 -0.1
Green 57,468 2.8 +0.3
Independent and other 9,476 0.6 -1.2
Total 34 2,041,445 Turnout 68.5%
Liberal to Conservative swing 10.3%
Results in Saskatchewan (2019 vs 2015)
Party Seats Votes
2015GainedLost2019Total%Change (%)
Conservative 10 4 14 366,611 64.3 +15.8
New Democratic 3 -3 111,379 19.5 -5.6
Liberal 1 -1 66,031 11.6 -12.3
Green 14,417 2.5 +0.4
People's 10,211 1.8 New
Independent and other 1,856 0.3 -0.1
Total 14 570,505 Turnout 71.7%
Liberal to Conservative swing 14.0%
Results in Manitoba (2019 vs 2015)
Party Seats Votes
2015GainedLost2019Total%Change (%)
Conservative 5 2 7 264,071 45.4 +8.1
Liberal 7 -3 4 152,803 26.3 -18.3
New Democratic 2 1 3 120,533 20.7 +6.9
Green 29,768 5.1 +1.9
People's 10,021 1.7 New
Independent and other 3,840 0.8 -0.3
Total 14 581,036 Turnout 63.8%
Liberal to Conservative swing 13.2%
Results in Ontario (2019 vs 2015)
Party Seats Votes
2015GainedLost2019Total%Change (%)
Liberal 80 2 -3 79 2,814,010 41.5 -3.3
Conservative 33 3 36 2,252,238 33.2 -1.8
New Democratic 8 -2 6 1,138,735 16.8 +0.2
Green 420,397 6.2 +3.3
People's 107,673 1.6 New
Independent and other 53,989 0.7
Total 121 6,787,042 Turnout 65.3%
Liberal to Green swing 3.3%
Results in Quebec (2019 vs 2015)
Party Seats Votes
2015GainedLost2019Total%Change (%)
Liberal 40 1 -6 35 1,447,712 34.2 -1.5
Bloc Québécois 10 22 32 1,376,135 32.5 +13.2
Conservative 12 1 -3 10 677,283 16.0 -0.7
New Democratic 16 -15 1 454,550 10.7 -14.7
Green 188,347 4.4 +2.1
People's 63,203 1.5 New
Independent and other 23,408 0.1 +0.1
Total 78 4,230,638 Turnout 65.5%
NDP to Bloc Québécois swing 13.9%

Voter demographics

Per Ipsos

Ipsos 2019 election day poll[10]
Social group Liberal Conservative NDP Bloc Green PPC Other
Actual results
Total vote3334168621
Gender
Male3236147641
Female3131227721
Age
18343131264751
35543133197721
55+3239129521

Per Leger

Leger post-election poll (2019)[11]
Social group Liberal Conservative NDP Bloc Green PPC Other
Actual results
Total vote3334168621
Gender
Male3137158621
Female3531177811
Age
18343029246911
35543237155622
55+35351210620

Per Abacus

Abacus post-election poll (2019)[12]
Social group Liberal Conservative NDP Bloc Green PPC Other
Actual results
Total vote3334168621
Age
1829342326N/A9N/AN/A
304434351875N/AN/A
455933361288N/AN/A
60+313812107N/AN/A

Strategic voting and vote splitting

Strategic voting may have played a significant part in determining the results. A survey by Angus Reid, issued several days after the election,[13] revealed that 23% of undecided voters did not make up their mind until election day. Of that number, 52% voted for the candidate and party they liked, while 48% voted based on who they disliked the least.[14] Of all undecided voters, 45% cast their vote for the Liberals, while 25% supported the Conservatives.[14] NDP voters were the least likely group to have made up their mind early on in the campaign.[14] An Ipsos-Reid exit poll conducted on election day[10] found that 26% of all voters made their choice as to ensure which party did not win, and the Liberals were the main beneficiary of such activity.[14]

Vote splitting skewed the results in many ridings. Such activity mainly benefited the Conservatives in Ontario and Metro Vancouver, the Liberals in Quebec and the Maritimes, and the NDP in BC and Ontario outside the GTA, while the Bloc benefited from multiple splits in the federalist parties.[15] The seats affected (where 2nd and 3rd place votes combined were greater than what the 1st place candidate received) are summarized thus:

Effect of vote splitting, by province (2019)[15]
PartiesProvince/territoryTotals
1st2nd3rdBCABSKMBONQCNBNSPENLNU
 Liberal  Bloc Québécois  Conservative 8821
 Liberal  Bloc Québécois  New Democratic 44
 Liberal  Conservative  Green 121116
 Liberal  Conservative  Independent 11
 Liberal  Green  Conservative 11
 Liberal  New Democratic  Green 11
 Conservative  Bloc Québécois  Liberal 4432
 Conservative  Liberal  New Democratic 61121525
 Conservative  Liberal  Green 112
 Conservative  People's  Bloc Québécois 11
 Bloc Québécois  Conservative  Liberal 2213
 Bloc Québécois  Liberal  Conservative 55
 Bloc Québécois  Liberal  Green 11
 Bloc Québécois  Liberal  New Democratic 33
 Bloc Québécois  New Democratic  Liberal 22
 New Democratic  Conservative  Green 4419
 New Democratic  Conservative  Liberal 31127
 New Democratic  Liberal  Bloc Québécois 11
 New Democratic  Liberal  Conservative 13116
 New Democratic  Liberal  Green 11
 Green  Liberal  Conservative 111
 Independent  Conservative  Liberal 111
Total 1621423313321187

Closest victories and greatest landslides

10 closest races by vote count (2019)[16]
Electoral district 1st-place candidate 2nd-place candidate Margin Confirmed on recount
Port Moody—Coquitlam BC Nelly Shin Bonita Zarrillo 153
Yukon YK Larry Bagnell Jonas Smith 153
Richmond Hill ON Majid Jowhari Costas Menegakis 212
Québec QC Jean-Yves Duclos Christiane Gagnon 325
Hochelaga QC Soraya Martinez Ferrada Simon Marchand 328
Kitchener—Conestoga ON Tim Louis Harold Albrecht 365
Miramichi—Grand Lake NB Pat Finnigan Peggy McLean 370
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam BC Ron McKinnon Nicholas Insley 390
Cumberland—Colchester NS Lenore Zann Scott Armstrong 453
Sherbrooke QC Élisabeth Brière Pierre-Luc Dusseault 609
20 narrowest margins of victory (2019)[17]
RankRiding1st place2nd placeMargin (pp)
1Port Moody—CoquitlamBC Conservative New Democratic0.3
2Richmond HillON Liberal Conservative0.4
3QuébecQC Liberal Bloc Québécois0.6
4HochelagaQC Liberal Bloc Québécois0.6
5Kitchener—ConestogaON Liberal Conservative0.7
6Coquitlam—Port CoquitlamBC Liberal Conservative0.7
7YukonYK Liberal Conservative0.8
8Cumberland—ColchesterNS Liberal Conservative1.0
9SherbrookeQC Liberal New Democratic1.1
10Windsor—TecumsehON Liberal New Democratic1.1
11Chicoutimi—Le FjordQC Conservative Bloc Québécois1.1
12Miramichi—Grand LakeNB Liberal Conservative1.1
13South Okanagan—West KootenayBC New Democratic Conservative1.2
14Châteauguay—LacolleQC Liberal Bloc Québécois1.2
15Argenteuil—La Petite-NationQC Liberal Bloc Québécois1.3
16SheffordQC Bloc Québécois Liberal1.6
17Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-MadeleineQC Liberal Bloc Québécois1.7
18King—VaughanON Liberal Conservative1.8
19Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond HillON Conservative Liberal2.0
20Bay of QuinteON Liberal Conservative2.4
20 widest margins of victory (2019)[17]
RankRiding1st place2nd placeMargin (pp)
1Battle River—CrowfootAB Conservative New Democratic80.5
2Bow RiverAB Conservative New Democratic78.4
3LakelandAB Conservative New Democratic77.6
4Grande Prairie—MackenzieAB Conservative New Democratic77.2
5Souris—Moose MountainSK Conservative New Democratic76.7
6FoothillsAB Conservative Liberal76.4
7YellowheadAB Conservative New Democratic75.4
8Peace River—WestlockAB Conservative New Democratic73.3
9Red Deer—Mountain ViewAB Conservative New Democratic73.2
10Cypress Hills—GrasslandsSK Conservative New Democratic71.8
11Red Deer—LacombeAB Conservative New Democratic70.9
12Medicine Hat—Cardston—WarnerAB Conservative New Democratic70.6
13Fort McMurray—Cold LakeAB Conservative Liberal70.6
14Battlefords—LloydminsterSK Conservative New Democratic67.7
15Sturgeon River—ParklandAB Conservative New Democratic67.5
16Carlton Trail—Eagle CreekSK Conservative New Democratic66.6
17Yorkton—MelvilleSK Conservative New Democratic64.4
18Calgary ShepardAB Conservative Liberal64.2
19Calgary MidnaporeAB Conservative Liberal63.5
20Sherwood Park—Fort SaskatchewanAB Conservative New Democratic61.6

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

Significant vote tallies for independent and minor party candidates
RidingCandidateVotesPlaced
BeauceQC RhinocerosMaxime Bernier1,0847th
Beauport—Côte-de-Beaupré—Île d’Orléans—CharlevoixQC IndependentRaymond Bernier1,3356th
Haldimand—NorfolkON Veterans CoalitionHarold Stewart1,0836th
Markham—StouffvilleON IndependentJane Philpott13,2163rd
Miramichi—Grand LakeNB IndependentAllison MacKenzie1,1606th
Niagara FallsON IndependentMike Strange4,9974th
Niagara WestON Christian HeritageHarold Jonker1,0195th
Renfrew—Nipissing—PembrokeON IndependentDan Criger1,1256th
Saint John—RothesayNB IndependentStuart Jamieson1,1836th
Saint-Léonard—Saint-MichelQC IndependentHassan Guillet3,0614th
Scarborough CentreON IndependentJohn Cannis2,5244th
Skeena—Bulkley ValleyBC Christian HeritageRod Taylor1,3435th
Sydney—VictoriaNS IndependentArchie MacKinnon5,6794th
Vancouver GranvilleBC IndependentJody Wilson-Raybould16,3571st
York—SimcoeON LibertarianKeith Komar1,3115th

Ridings won in major cities

Notes and references

Notes

  1. 139 in Ontario and Quebec, and 5 in the Lower Mainland of BC.

References

  1. Coyne, Andrew (October 22, 2019). "The Liberals didn't win the 2019 federal election, they just lost less than the Conservatives". National Post. Toronto.
  2. Fournier, Philippe J. (October 27, 2019). "A 338Canada analysis: Where the Conservatives lost". Maclean's. Toronto.
  3. Hébert, Chantal (October 25, 2019). "Election has left Conservatives in a bad place". Toronto Star.
  4. Colpron, Suzanne (October 26, 2019). "Scheer a manqué de "couilles", estime Sylvie Fréchette" [Scheer lacked 'balls', figures Sylvie Fréchette]. La Presse (in French). Montreal.
  5. "It's deeper than Andrew Scheer: The root of the Conservative Party's failure to launch". The Globe and Mail. Toronto. October 25, 2019.
  6. Cornellier, Manon (October 26, 2019). "Reform Party 2.0?". Le Devoir (in French). Montreal.
  7. Coyne, Andrew (October 31, 2019). "No point in Tories changing their leader if they don't change their message". National Post. Toronto.
  8. "It's deeper than Andrew Scheer: The root of the Conservative Party's failure to launch, Part 2". The Globe and Mail. Toronto. October 29, 2019.
  9. Grenier, Éric (October 24, 2019). "Canada's pollsters nailed the outcome of the federal election - mostly". CBC News. Toronto.
  10. Simpson, Sean (October 22, 2019). "Election Day Poll". ipsos.com.
  11. "Leger Post-Election Poll" (PDF). Leger. October 24, 2019. Retrieved October 31, 2019.
  12. Coletto, David (October 24, 2019). "Federal vote by age. Liberal share was consistent across age groups, Conservative third among youth, first among seniors. From a post-election survey we conducted, Oct 22 to 24, n=1,500 #elxn43 #cdnpolipic.twitter.com/48FinTCZ4v". Twitter. Retrieved November 29, 2019.
  13. "Why and when did uncommitted voters lock in? Study shows Liberals benefitted most from strategic voting". angusreid.org. October 25, 2019.
  14. Abedi, Maham (October 25, 2019). "'Hold your nose and vote': How undecided Canadian voters made up their minds". Global News.
  15. Carman, Tara (October 23, 2019). "How vote-splitting helped — and hurt — the federal parties". CBC News. Toronto.
  16. Berthiaume, Lee (October 22, 2019). "Down to the wire: The 10 closest races in Monday's federal election". Canadian Press.
  17. "Federal election 2019: Trudeau's Liberals have a minority government. What now? A guide to Oct. 21's results". The Globe and Mail. Toronto. October 23, 2019.
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