New Forest East (UK Parliament constituency)

New Forest East is a constituency[n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 1997 by Julian Lewis, a member of the Conservative Party. [n 2][lower-alpha 1]

New Forest East
County constituency
for the House of Commons
Boundary of New Forest East in Hampshire
Location of Hampshire within England
CountyHampshire
Electorate73,542 (December 2010)[1]
Major settlementsAshurst, Brockenhurst, Sway, Totton, The Waterside.
Current constituency
Created1997
Member of ParliamentJulian Lewis (Conservative)
Number of membersOne
Created fromRomsey and Waterside, New Forest

Constituency profile

In demography and local geography, the district of which the constituency is de facto under present guidelines of the Boundary Commission a division for the purposes of Westminster (which neatly splits into two seats and there is a strong present emphasis on avoiding cross-district seats) contrasts with highly urban districts such as neighbouring Southampton City Council in the average age, home ownership status and affluence of its electorate. The industrial element and mid-density housing of the Southampton Water strip results in some or all Labour and Liberal Democrat councillors in this area at the local district elections from creation to date,[2] and contributes strongly towards the latter party's peak performance leaving the winner a 9% majority in 2001. This contrasts with the Conservative winner's greatest majority to date in 2017 of 42.8% of the votes over his nearest rival which ranks Lewis among the top 10% of his party's MPs by majority. The history of district itself is typical of inherent suburban and retiree districts as it was largely created for the preservation of the National Park and to provide contrast in planning and ethos to the City of Southampton and the Bournemouth conurbation.

The constituency covers the eastern half of the New Forest National Park in Hampshire and land to the east adjoining Southampton Water – almost the whole of its population live in the waterside settlements Totton, Marchwood, Hythe and Fawley or the major forest villages of Lyndhurst, Brockenhurst and Beaulieu.

For all areas the relevant local authority has a higher than average proportion of retired people, and a lower than national average extent of social housing and rented housing.[3] Housing types include far above average detached and semi-detached properties.[3]

Boundaries

1997–2010: The District of New Forest wards of Blackfield and Langley, Boldre, Brockenhurst, Colbury, Copythorne South, Dibden and Hythe North, Dibden Purlieu, Fawley Holbury, Forest North, Forest South, Hythe South, Lyndhurst, Marchwood, Netley Marsh, Totton Central, Totton North, and Totton South.

2010–present: The District of New Forest wards of Ashurst, Copythorne South and Netley Marsh, Boldre and Sway, Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead, Brockenhurst and Forest South East, Butts Ash and Dibden Purlieu, Dibden and Hythe East, Fawley, Blackfield and Langley, Furzedown and Hardley, Holbury and North Blackfield, Hythe West and Langdown, Lyndhurst, Marchwood, Totton Central, Totton East, Totton North, Totton South, and Totton West.

History

This constituency was created when the old New Forest constituency was divided for the 1997 general election. Election results since its creation suggest that it is a Conservative safe seat.

Members of Parliament
ElectionMember[4]Party
1997 Julian Lewis Conservative
2020[5] Independent

Elections

Elections in the 2010s
General election 2019: New Forest East[6]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 32,769 64.5 +1.9
Labour Julie Hope 7,518 14.8 -5.0
Liberal Democrats Bob Johnston 7,390 14.6 -0.6
Green Nicola Jolly 2,434 4.8 +2.4
Animal Welfare Andrew Knight 675 1.3 +1.3
Majority 25,251 49.7 +6.9
Turnout 50,786 69.0 -2.4
Conservative hold Swing +3.45
General election 2017: New Forest East
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 32,162 62.6 +6.4
Labour Julie Renyard 10,167 19.8 +7.6
Liberal Democrats David Harrison 7,786 15.2 +5.8
Green Henry Mellor 1,251 2.4 -2.3
Majority 21,995 42.8 +3.0
Turnout 51,366 71.4 +3.4
Conservative hold Swing -0.6
General election 2015: New Forest East[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 27,819 56.3 +3.4
UKIP Roy Swales[8] 8,657 17.5 +12.5
Labour Andrew Pope[9] 6,018 12.2 +2.3
Liberal Democrats Bruce Tennent 4,626 9.4 −20.9
Green Sally May[10] 2,327 4.7 +2.7
Majority 19,162 38.8 +16.2
Turnout 49,447 68.0 −0.7
Conservative hold Swing +11.2
General election 2010: New Forest East[11]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 26,443 52.8 +3.4
Liberal Democrats Terry Scriven 15,136 30.3 −3.0
Labour Peter W.J. Sopowski 4,915 9.8 −2.4
UKIP Peter A. Day 2,518 5.0 −0.1
Green Beverley J. Golden 1,024 2.0 N/A
Majority 11,307 22.6 +8.1
Turnout 50,036 68.7 +2.6
Conservative hold Swing +3.2

Elections in the 2000s
General election 2005: New Forest East[12]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 21,975 48.6 +6.2
Liberal Democrats Brian Dash 15,424 34.1 +0.7
Labour Stephen Roberts 5,492 12.1 −9.6
UKIP Katy Davies 2,344 5.2 +2.7
Majority 6,551 14.5
Turnout 45,235 65.9 +2.7
Conservative hold Swing +2.7
General election 2001: New Forest East[13]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 17,902 42.4 −0.5
Liberal Democrats Brian Dash 14,073 33.4 +1.1
Labour Alan Goodfellow 9,141 21.7 −3.1
UKIP William Howe 1,062 2.5 N/A
Majority 3,829 9.0
Turnout 42,178 63.2 −11.4
Conservative hold Swing −0.8

Elections in the 1990s
General election 1997: New Forest East[14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julian Lewis 21,053 42.9 N/A
Liberal Democrats George Dawson 15,838 32.3 N/A
Labour Alan Goodfellow 12,161 24.8 N/A
Majority 5,215 10.6 N/A
Turnout 49,052 74.6 N/A
Conservative win (new seat)

See also

Notes and references
Notes
  1. A county constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
References
  1. "Electorate Figures - Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
  2. "Your Councillors". democracy.newforest.gov.uk. October 11, 2019.
  3. "2011 census interactive maps". Archived from the original on January 29, 2016.
  4. Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "A" (part 1)
  5. "Dr Julian Lewis has Tory whip removed after running against PM's security committee chair pick". Sky News. Retrieved 2020-07-15.
  6. "New Forest East Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 14 December 2019.
  7. "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  8. "11559982.Former_policeman_bidding_to_become_UKIP_MP_in_Hampshire". Retrieved 31 January 2015.
  9. "UK ELECTION RESULTS: NEW FOREST EAST 2015".
  10. "Sally May PPC page". Green Party of England and Wales. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
  11. "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  12. "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  13. "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  14. "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  1. MP originally elected as Conservative.

Sources
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