2019 Salvadoran presidential election

Presidential elections were held in El Salvador on 3 February 2019, with voters electing a President and Vice President for a five-year term.[2][3]

2019 Salvadoran presidential election

3 February 2019
Opinion polls
Registered5,268,411
Turnout51.88% ( 3.4 pp)
 
Candidate Nayib Bukele Carlos Calleja Hugo Martínez
Party GANA ARENA FMLN
Alliance Nuevas Ideas APNP
Home state San Salvador San Salvador La Unión
Running mate Félix Ulloa Carmen Aída Lazo Karina Sosa
States carried 14 0 0
Popular vote 1,434,856 857,084 389,289
Percentage 53.10%[1] 31.72% 14.41%


President before election

Salvador Sánchez Cerén
FMLN

Elected President

Nayib Bukele
GANA

With 90% of the votes counted, the Supreme Electoral Tribunal declared former San Salvador mayor Nayib Bukele of the Grand Alliance for National Unity the winner with over 53% of the total vote, avoiding the need for the second round, which had provisionally been scheduled for March.[4][5] Upon his ascension to the presidency, Bukele will be the first President to not be from one of the two major parties (ARENA or the FMLN) since José Napoleón Duarte left office in 1989.

Presidential Primaries

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

Results

CandidateVotes%
Hugo Martínez20,25972.09
Gerson Martínez7,84527.91
Total28,104100.00

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

  • Javier Simán, businessman
  • Gustavo López Davidson, businessman

Results

CandidateVotes%
Carlos Calleja34,67060.21
Javier Simán21,77937.82
Gustavo López Davidson5741.00
Write-ins5590.97
Total57,582100.00

Nominee

Withdrawn

Results

CandidateVotes%
Nayib Bukele1,86393.71
Will Salgado (Withdrawn)1256.29
Total1,988100.00

Presidential candidates

Party Presidential nominee Running mate
ARENA, PCN, PDC, DS Carlos Calleja Carmen Aída Lazo
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front Hugo Martínez Karina Sosa
Grand Alliance for National Unity Nayib Bukele Félix Ulloa
Vamos Josué Alvarado Roberto Rivera

Opinion polls

Date Polling firm Sample size Undecided None/abstaining Lead
Calleja
(Alianza Por un Nuevo País)
Martínez
(FMLN)
Alvarado
(VAMOS)
Bukele
(GANA)
30 July 2018 CID-Gallup[6] 806 24 5 0 38 33 14
31 July 2018 TResearchMx[7] 3,600 31.7 9.7 2.8 55.8 24.1
19 August 2018 TResearchMx[8] 3,600 30.2 9.7 1.1 55.9 3.1 25.7
28 August 2018 UFG[9] 1,295 23.0 10.0 2.3 37.7 26.0 1.0 14.7
31 August 2018 LPG Datos[10] 1,520 17.6 8.6 0.3 21.9 37.5 14.1 4.3
26 September 2018 CID-Gallup[11] 1,205 20 7 1 45 27 25
1 October 2018 TResearchMx[12] 1,000 32.4 10.9 1.1 54.6 1.0 22.2
8 October 2018 CONARES[13] 1,400 21.0 11.0 1.0 45.0 11.0 11.0 24.0
9 October 2018 CIOPS/UTEC[14] 2,133 21.0 10.5 1.0 48.0 19.5 27.0
15 October 2018 TResearchMx[15] 1,000 31.8 9.4 1.0 56.1 1.7 24.3
23 October 2018 ICP[16] 1,400 31.7 13.6 0.6 33.3 20.8 1.6
24 October 2018 TResearchMx[17] 1,000 32.1 9.3 1.1 56.5 1.0 24.4
29 October 2018 TResearchMx[18] 1,000 32.2 9.0 0.9 56.6 1.3 24.4
1 November 2018 CID-Gallup[19] 1,000 28 16 1 44 1.0 16
19 November 2018 UFG[20] 1,538 21.4 6.4 1.5 40.7 21.2 8.7 19.3
20 November 2018 Fundaungo[21] 1,068 14.2 10.2 1.9 35.1 10.0 28.6 20.9
25 November 2018 TResearchMx[22] 1,000 31.9 10.8 1.4 55.9 24
29 November 2018 LPG Datos[23] 2,000 16.8 6.9 0.5 28.9 5.7 41.2 12.1
5 December 2018 CIOPS/UTEC[24] 2,133 24.5 10.4 0.9 40.5 12.8 10.9 16.0
5 December 2018 TResearchMx[25] 1,000 31.3 10.4 1.3 57.0 25.7
7 December 2018 Fundaungo[26] 1,985 21.4 11.3 0.6 42.0 15.0 9.7 20.6
10 December 2018 UES[27] 1,557 17.34 8.73 0.26 48.43 25.24 31.09
11 December 2018 TResearchMx[28] 1,000 31.0 10.3 1.3 57.4 26.4
13 December 2018 IUDOP/UCA[29] 1,806 19.7 10.6 0.8 44.1 22.3 2.5 24.4
8 January 2019 Mitofsky 1 000 31.0 11.0 1.0 57.0 26.0
11 January 2019 CID-Gallup 1 000 23.0 8.0 1.0 42.0 26.0 19.0
15 January 2019 UFG 1 536 21.8 8.1 1.0 42.6 18.4 8.1 20.8
16 January 2019 CIOPS/UTEC 2 113 24.0 8.1 0.6 40.4 26.1 16.4
17 January 2019 CONARES 2 012 19.0 13.0 1.0 61.0 3.0 3.0 42.0
17 January 2019 CDOP 1 300 27.3 10.5 1.0 36.1 9.6 15.5 8.8

Results

CandidateRunning matePartyVotes%
Nayib BukeleFélix UlloaGrand Alliance for National Unity1,434,85653.10
Carlos CallejaCarmen Aída LazoNationalist Republican Alliance857,08431.72
Hugo MartínezKarina SosaFarabundo Martí National Liberation Front389,28914.41
Josué AlvaradoRoberto RiveraVamos20,7630.77
Total2,701,992100.00
Valid votes2,701,99298.86
Invalid/blank votes31,1861.14
Total votes2,733,178100.00
Registered voters/turnout5,268,41151.88
Source: TSE

By department

Department GANA ARENA FMLN Vamos
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ahuachapán 59,689 43.05 50,051 36.10 28,257 20.38 660 0.47
Cabañas 31,346 47.17 26,325 39.61 8,586 12.92 199 0.30
Chalatenango 42,092 44.92 30,364 32.40 20,934 22.34 316 0.34
Cuscatlán 57,795 50.09 39,098 33.89 17,882 15.50 609 0.52
La Libertad 177,832 51.80 117,092 37.25 33,823 9.85 3,756 1.10
La Paz 79,803 57.59 40,762 29.41 17,357 12.53 656 0.47
La Unión 49,871 54.47 29,138 31.82 12,256 13.39 295 0.32
Morazán 31,649 39.10 26,007 32.13 23,102 28.54 193 0.23
San Miguel 98,064 54.34 43,960 24.36 37,529 20.80 906 0.50
San Salvador 479,991 58.32 246,792 29.99 86,656 10.53 9,582 1.16
Santa Ana 123,413 54.25 77,550 34.09 24,695 10.86 1,821 0.80
San Vicente 33,765 46.42 22,786 31.33 15,921 21.89 266 0.36
Sonsonate 101,794 52.94 60,796 31.62 28,599 14.87 1,095 0.57
Usulután 64,619 48.30 35,422 26.47 33,350 24.93 406 0.30
Total 1,434,856 53.10 857,084 31.72 389,289 14.41 20,763 0.77
Source: TSE

See also

References

  1. "Nayib Bukele declares victory in El Salvador's elections". Al Jazeera News. Feb 4, 2019.
  2. TSE define fecha para elección presidencial 2019 Archived 2019-01-09 at the Wayback Machine El Mundo, 16 October 2017
  3. Sweigart, Emilie (2019-01-30). "El Salvador: Meet the Candidates in Latin America's First Election of 2019". Americas Quarterly. Archived from the original on 2019-02-03. Retrieved 2019-02-03.
  4. "Así avanza el conteo de votos en las elecciones presidenciales de El Salvador". elsalvador.com. 3 February 2019. Retrieved 4 February 2019.
  5. "El Salvador: anti-corruption candidate Nayib Bukele wins presidential election". The Guardian. 4 February 2019. Retrieved 4 February 2019.
  6. "NAYIB BUKELE INCIA EN PRIMER LUGAR EN LA CARRERA POR LA PRESIDENCIA". CID Gallup. July 2018. Archived from the original on 31 July 2018. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  7. "TResearch: Nayib Bukele mantiene la intención de votos para las presidenciales". TResearchMx. July 2018. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  8. "TResearch: #ElSalvador #ENCUESTA electoral #Voto2019 (Ago/19)". TResearchMx. July 2018. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  9. "Encuesta UFG: Bukele 37.6 %; Calleja 22.9% y Hugo Martínez 9.9%". El Blog. August 2018. Retrieved 28 August 2018.
  10. "Electorado se inclina a favor de GANA". La Prensa Gráfica. August 2018. Retrieved 31 August 2018.
  11. "Encuesta Cid Gallup: Nayib Bukele 45%, Carlos Calleja 20%, Hugo Martínez 7% y Josué Alvarado 1%". La Huella. August 2018. Retrieved 26 September 2018.
  12. "#ElSalvador #ENCUESTA electoral #Voto2019 (Sep/19)". TResearch. October 2018. Retrieved 1 October 2018.
  13. "Consejo de Rectores: Nayib ganaría en primera vuelta". Conares. October 2018. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  14. "#EncuestaUTEC". UTEC. October 2018. Retrieved 9 October 2018.
  15. "#ElSalvador #Voto2019 (15/Oct/18) @nayibbukele 56.1% @jccalleja 31.8%". TResearchMx. October 2018. Retrieved 15 October 2018.
  16. "Nueva encuesta revela cercana lucha electoral entre Calleja y Bukele". Diario el Mundo. 23 October 2018. Retrieved 4 February 2019.
  17. "#ElSalvador #Voto2019 (21/Oct/18) @nayibbukele 56.5% @jccalleja 32.1%". TResearchMx. October 2018.
  18. "Entrada individual | TResearch | Marketing | Encuesta | Investigación | México". TResearchMx. October 2018. Retrieved 29 October 2018.
  19. "CID-Gallup". CID-Gallup. November 2018. Archived from the original on 18 December 2018. Retrieved 1 November 2018.
  20. "Bukele y las Personas Decididas a Ir a Votar Suben en la Nueva Encuesta Ufg". UFG. November 2018. Retrieved 19 November 2018.
  21. "Encuesta completa FUNDAUNGO". UFG. November 2018. Retrieved 20 November 2018.
  22. "TResearch: Nayib Bukele mantiene la intención de votos para las presidenciales". TResearchMx. November 2018. Retrieved 25 November 2018.
  23. "GANA sigue adelante en carrera presidencial". LPG. November 2018. Retrieved 29 November 2018.
  24. "UTEC: Nayib ganaría en primera vuelta con los votos válidos". LPG. December 2018. Retrieved 5 December 2018.
  25. "#ElSalvador #Voto2019 (03-07/Dic/18)". TResearchMx. December 2018. Retrieved 7 December 2018.
  26. "Nueve de cada 10 salvadoreños opinan que vale la pena ir a votar". Fundaungo. 7 December 2018. Retrieved 7 December 2018.
  27. "Encuesta UES: GANA/NI 61.68%, ARENA 25.65%, FMLN 11.94%". El Blog. 10 December 2018. Retrieved 12 December 2018.
  28. "#ElSalvador #EncuestaDiaria #137 Act. 7:00Hrs | 7-11/Dic/2018 @NayibBukele 57.4% @JCCalleja 31.0%". TResearchMx. 10 December 2018. Retrieved 12 December 2018.
  29. "Encuesta UCA para las presidenciales: GANA 44.1%, ARENA 19.7%, FMLN 10.6% y VAMOS 0.8%". El Salvador Times. 13 December 2018. Retrieved 13 December 2018.
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