Ruwanwella Polling Division

The Ruwanwella Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kegalle Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Ruwanwella
Polling Division
Coordinates: 7.067171°N 80.219072°E / 7.067171; 80.219072
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKegalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total147.23 km2 (56.85 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total63,913
 • Density434/km2 (1,120/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-22H

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ruwanwella has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Ruwanwella is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Ruwanwella Kegalle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.81% SLPP 3.59%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.97% NDF 5.15%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.25% UPFA 3.50%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.09% UPFA 0.83%
1999 PA PA 0.65% PA 0.81%
1994 PA PA 0.57% PA 6.73%
1988 UNP UNP 2.61% UNP 7.97%
1982 UNP UNP 1.09% UNP 4.18%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 0.88% 8/8 4.10%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ruwanwella[4] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 35,714 56.71% 320,484 55.66% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 24,604 39.07% 228,032 39.60% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,403 2.23% 15,043 2.61% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,260 2.00% 12,272 2.13% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 62,981 99.10% 575,831 99.11% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 570 0.90% 5,152 0.89% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 63,551 85.43% 580,983 85.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 74,386 676,440 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ruwanwella[5] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 30,922 52.79% 278,130 51.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 26,984 46.06% 252,533 47.05% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 675 1.15% 6,108 1.14% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 58,581 99.02% 536,771 98.80% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 577 0.98% 6,515 1.20% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 59,158 80.49% 543,286 79.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 73,498 680,414 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ruwanwella[6] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,145 61.65% 296,639 61.80% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 19,819 36.86% 174,877 36.44% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 800 1.49% 8,448 1.76% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 53,764 99.16% 479,964 99.25% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 458 0.84% 3,604 0.75% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 54,222 76.97% 483,568 76.11% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 70,448 635,342 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ruwanwella[7] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,522 51.09% 239,184 51.02% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 24,684 47.55% 223,483 47.67% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 703 1.35% 6,106 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 51,909 99.08% 468,773 98.99% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 481 0.92% 4,795 1.01% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 52,390 79.39% 473,568 78.68% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 65,989 601,872 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ruwanwella[8] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,868 52.42% 210,185 51.30% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 19,546 42.93% 176,376 43.05% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,337 2.94% 14,997 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 778 1.71% 8,122 1.98% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 45,529 98.43% 409,680 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 725 1.57% 8,136 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 46,254 77.31% 417,816 76.52% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 59,827 546,038 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ruwanwella[9] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,340 55.49% 211,676 56.06% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 18,038 42.88% 159,707 42.30% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 685 1.63% 6,209 1.64% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 42,063 98.59% 377,592 98.14% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 602 1.41% 7,139 1.86% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 42,665 75.58% 384,731 74.84% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 56,451 514,055 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ruwanwella[10] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,282 58.78% 168,720 57.11% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 13,249 36.59% 119,769 40.54% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 1,674 4.62% 6,923 2.34% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 36,205 98.53% 295,412 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 542 1.47% 4,277 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 36,747 73.43% 299,689 67.98% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 50,045 440,836 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ruwanwella[11] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,645 57.48% 195,444 57.02% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,749 34.90% 126,538 36.92% 2,546,348 39.05%
LSSP 1,683 4.27% 6,184 1.80% 58,531 0.90%
JVP 1,198 3.04% 13,706 4.00% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 124 0.31% 890 0.26% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 39,399 97.87% 342,762 98.69% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 856 2.13% 4,537 1.31% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 40,255 85.05% 347,299 84.30% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 47,333 411,994 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ruwanwella has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Ruwanwella is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Ruwanwella Kegalle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 2.11% UNP 3.48%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.51% UPFA 3.79%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.79% UPFA 5.29%
2001 UNP UNP 3.29% UNP 2.87%
2000 PA PA 2.38% PA 3.24%
1994 UNP UNP 1.03% PA 2.81%
1989 UNP UNP 7.37% UNP 13.43%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 2.78% 7/7 4.99%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ruwanwella[14] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,191 48.20% 227,208 45.47% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 25,993 47.84% 247,467 49.52% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 1,460 2.69% 18,394 3.68% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 692 1.27% 6,661 1.33% 101,045 0.91%
Valid Votes 54,336 96.62% 499,730 96.35% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,885 3.35% 18,770 3.62% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 56,238 76.52% 518,674 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 73,498 649,878 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ruwanwella[15] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,700 65.60% 242,463 66.89% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 12,640 31.06% 104,925 28.95% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,190 2.92% 13,518 3.73% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 170 0.42% 1,549 0.43% 33,973 0.42%
Valid Votes 40,700 93.42% 362,455 93.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,869 6.58% 25,965 6.68% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 43,569 61.85% 388,420 60.93% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 70,448 637,524 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ruwanwella[16] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,746 52.92% 214,267 50.88% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 19,950 42.66% 186,641 44.32% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,760 3.76% 18,034 4.28% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 307 0.66% 2,187 0.52% 59,247 0.64%
Valid Votes 46,763 94.20% 421,134 94.25% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,880 5.80% 25,685 5.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 49,643 77.43% 446,816 78.35% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 64,110 570,299 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ruwanwella[17] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,298 45.90% 208,104 49.36% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,574 44.34% 170,901 40.53% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,820 8.23% 36,711 8.71% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 709 1.53% 5,924 1.40% 123,245 1.38%
Valid Votes 46,401 94.71% 421,640 94.90% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,594 5.29% 22,669 5.10% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 48,995 79.13% 444,309 80.10% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 61,914 554,698 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ruwanwella[18] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,375 51.83% 201,114 48.88% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 18,298 40.58% 175,627 42.69% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,196 4.87% 22,028 5.35% 518,725 6.03%
SU 628 1.39% 4,549 1.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 599 1.33% 8,094 1.97% 291,648 3.39%
Valid Votes 45,096 N/A 411,412 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ruwanwella[19] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,082 50.29% 203,938 51.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 21,536 49.05% 190,689 47.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 289 0.66% 3,383 0.85% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 43,907 95.83% 398,010 95.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,910 4.17% 17,043 4.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 45,817 81.16% 415,053 80.78% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 56,451 513,825 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ruwanwella[20] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,644 64.93% 174,334 61.12% 2,838,005 50.71%
USA 6,865 19.69% 15,168 5.32% 141,983 2.54%
SLFP 4,828 13.84% 80,668 28.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 393 1.13% 14,056 4.93% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 142 0.41% 1,028 0.36% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 34,872 95.03% 285,254 93.95% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,822 4.97% 18,362 6.05% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 36,694 74.39% 303,616 69.46% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 49,325 437,131 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Ruwanwella Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Ruwanwella Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (85.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Ruwanwella[1]

  Sinhalese (87.1%)
  Moor (5.5%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (5.1%)
  Indian Tamil (2.3%)
  Other (0.1%)

Religion

The Ruwanwella Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (86.4%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Ruwanwella Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (84.4%) [1]

Religion in Ruwanwella[1]

  Buddhist (86.4%)
  Hindu (6.2%)
  Muslim (6.0%)
  Other (1.5%)

References
  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ruwanwella and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ruwanwella and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ruwanwella and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ruwanwella and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.


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