Opinion polling for the next Austrian legislative election
In the run-up to the next Austrian legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Austria. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous legislative election, held on 29 September 2019, to the present day. The next election is likely to be held in 2024.
VdMI quality criteria
In 2017 the Association of Market and Opinion Research Institutes of Austria (VdMI) published quality standards for polls, which are available to look at here. Although parts of these guidelines are still broken by most polling firms, there has been a significant increase of poll quality since publification, especially in sample size.
Graphical summary
Poll results
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Method | ÖVP | SPÖ | FPÖ | Grüne | NEOS | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unique Research/Profil | 11–14 Jan 2021 | 800 | Phone & Online | 37 | 22 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| Peter Hajek | 8–12 Dec 2020 | 800 | Phone & Online | 39 | 22 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 17 |
| Research Affairs | 9–12 Nov 2020 | 1000 | Online | 41 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| Unique Research | 2–6 Nov 2020 | 804 | Phone & Online | 38 | 21 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 17 |
| Unique Research | 14–18 Sep 2020 | 804 | Phone & Online | 39 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 19 |
| Research Affairs | 14–16 Sep 2020 | 1000 | Online | 42 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 23 |
| Research Affairs | 25–27 Aug 2020 | 500 | Online | 41 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 17–20 Aug 2020 | 505 | Online | 41 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 23 |
| Unique Research | 10–13 Aug 2020 | 806 | Phone & Online | 41 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 23 |
| Research Affairs | 20–22 Jul 2020 | 500 | Online | 42 | 19 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 23 |
| Unique Research | 13–16 Jul 2020 | 801 | Phone & Online | 41 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 06–09 Jul 2020 | 503 | Online | 41 | 20 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 21 |
| OGM | 23–25 Jun 2020 | 805 | Phone & Online | 42 | 19 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 23 |
| Unique Research | 9–12 Jun 2020 | 802 | Phone & Online | 44 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 27 |
| Karmasin Research & Identity | 5–9 Jun 2020 | 1,000 | Phone & Online | 42 | 19 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 23 |
| Market | 21–26 May 2020 | 809 | Phone & Online | 44 | 20 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 24 |
| Market | 18–19 May 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 43 | 21 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 22 |
| Unique Research | 11–14 May 2020 | 802 | Phone & Online | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 29 |
| Market | 11–13 May 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 44 | 21 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 23 |
| Market | 20–22 Apr 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 44 | 20 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 24 |
| Unique Research | 13–16 Apr 2020 | 806 | Phone & Online | 48 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 32 |
| Market | 3–7 Apr 2020 | 1,800 | Phone & Online | 44 | 19 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 25 |
| OGM | 31 Mar–2 Apr 2020 | 800 | Phone & Online | 45 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 27 |
| Market | 24–31 Mar 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 43 | 19 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 24 |
| Unique Research | 9–13 Mar 2020 | 811 | Phone & Online | 39 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 22 |
| Market | 11–12 Mar 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 40 | 20 | 13 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 20 |
| Unique Research | 10–14 Feb 2020 | 804 | Phone & Online | 38 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 21 |
| Research Affairs | 7–12 Feb 2020 | 661 | Online | 39 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
| Market | 4–6 Feb 2020 | 813 | Phone & Online | 39 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 20 |
| Research Affairs | 28–31 Jan 2020 | 500 | Online | 39 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 17–23 Jan 2020 | 877 | Online | 39 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 10–16 Jan 2020 | 863 | Online | 39 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 22 |
| Karmasin Research & Identity | 10–15 Jan 2020 | 1,000 | Phone & Online | 39 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 22 |
| Unique Research | 6–10 Jan 2020 | 806 | Phone & Online | 38 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 21 |
| Research Affairs | 3–9 Jan 2020 | 859 | Online | 39 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 22 |
| Market | 16–19 Dec 2019 | 806 | Phone & Online | 39 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 20 |
| Research Affairs | 12–19 Dec 2019 | 877 | Online | 39 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 22 |
| Unique Research | 9–13 Dec 2019 | 807 | Phone & Online | 39 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 21 |
| Research Affairs | 6–12 Dec 2019 | 875 | Online | 39 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | 831 | Online | 39 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
| Market | 29 Nov–4 Dec 2019 | 792 | Phone & Online | 39 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 21 |
| Research Affairs | 22–28 Nov 2019 | 867 | Online | 38 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
| Research Affairs | 15–21 Nov 2019 | 878 | Online | 38 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
| Unique Research | 11–15 Nov 2019 | 817 | Phone & Online | 38 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 19 |
| Research Affairs | 8–14 Nov 2019 | 844 | Online | 38 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 18 |
| Karmasin Research & Identity | 8–13 Nov 2019 | 3,000 | Phone & Online | 38 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
| Research Affairs | 2–7 Nov 2019 | 736 | Online | 37 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
| Research Affairs | 26–31 Oct 2019 | 788 | Online | 38 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
| Research Affairs | 22–25 Oct 2019 | 1,000 | Online | 38 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 19 |
| Market | 15–17 Oct 2019 | 802 | Phone & Online | 38 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
| Research Affairs | 10–16 Oct 2019 | 1,001 | Online | 38 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 18 |
| Unique Research | 7–11 Oct 2019 | 807 | Phone & Online | 37 | 20 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 17 |
| 2019 legislative election | 29 Sep 2019 | – | – | 37.5 | 21.2 | 16.2 | 13.9 | 8.1 | 3.1 | 16.3 |
By state
Vienna
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Method | SPÖ | ÖVP | Grüne | FPÖ | NEOS | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Affairs (subsample) | 2–7 Nov 2019 | 736 (total) | Online | 30 | 26 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 4 |
| 2019 legislative election | 29 Sep 2019 | – | – | 27.1 | 24.6 | 20.7 | 12.8 | 9.9 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
Tyrol
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Method | ÖVP | Grüne | FPÖ | SPÖ | NEOS | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMAD | 11–15 Nov 2019 | 500 | Phone | 42 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 23 |
| 2019 legislative election | 29 Sep 2019 | – | – | 45.8 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 13.0 | 8.9 | 2.9 | 31.1 |
Preferred Chancellor
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Method | Kurz ÖVP |
Rendi-Wagner SPÖ |
Hofer FPÖ |
Kogler Grüne |
Meinl-Reisinger NEOS |
Strache HC |
Other/ None |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Affairs | 5–10 Jun 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 49 | 19 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 4 | — | 30 |
| Research Affairs | 25–28 May 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 49 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 4 | — | 31 |
| Market | 18–19 May 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 33 | 10 | — | 6 | — | — | 51 | 23 |
| Unique Research | 11–14 May 2020 | 802 | Phone & Online | 45 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 4 | — | 30 | 36 |
| Research Affairs | 11–13 May 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 51 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 3 | — | 34 |
| Market | 11–13 May 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 44 | 10 | 7 | 6 | — | — | 33 | 34 |
| Research Affairs | 4–6 May 2020 | 501 | Online | 52 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 3 | — | 36 |
| Research Affairs | 20–23 Apr 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 52 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 3 | — | 37 |
| Unique Research | 13–16 Apr 2020 | 806 | Phone & Online | 55 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 3 | — | 19 | 47 |
| Peter Hajek | 7–14 Apr 2020 | 807 | Phone & Online | 62 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 2 | — | 50 |
| Research Affairs | 2–7 Apr 2020 | 500 | Online | 50 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 3 | — | 34 |
| Research Affairs | 23–25 Mar 2020 | 500 | Online | 48 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 3 | — | 32 |
| Research Affairs | 5–11 Mar 2020 | 817 | Online | 44 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 4 | — | 29 |
| Research Affairs | 24–27 Feb 2020 | 1,003 | Online | 43 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 5 | — | 28 |
| Unique Research | 10–14 Feb 2020 | 804 | Phone & Online | 37 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 6 | — | 26 | 24 |
| Research Affairs | 7–12 Feb 2020 | 661 | Online | 42 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 5 | — | 27 |
| Market | 4–6 Feb 2020 | 813 | Phone & Online | 37 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 11 | — | 18 | 23 |
| Research Affairs | 28–31 Jan 2020 | 500 | Online | 42 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 5 | — | 27 |
| Peter Hajek | 27–31 Jan 2020 | 802 | Phone & Online | 47 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 5 | — | 33 |
| Research Affairs | 17–23 Jan 2020 | 877 | Online | 43 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 12 | — | — | 27 |
| Research Affairs | 10–16 Jan 2020 | 863 | Online | 43 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | — | — | 27 |
| Research Affairs | 3–9 Jan 2020 | 859 | Online | 43 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 10 | — | — | 27 |
| Market | 16–19 Dec 2019 | 806 | Phone & Online | 43 | 8 | — | — | 9 | — | 40 | 34 |
| Research Affairs | 12–19 Dec 2019 | 877 | Online | 41 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 5 | — | 25 |
| Unique Research | 9–13 Dec 2019 | 807 | Phone & Online | 37 | 8 | 12 | 9 | — | — | 34 | 25 |
| Research Affairs | 6–12 Dec 2019 | 875 | Online | 42 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 9 | — | — | 24 |
| Research Affairs | 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | 831 | Online | 42 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 10 | — | — | 24 |
| Market | 29 Nov–4 Dec 2019 | 792 | Phone & Online | 40 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 9 | — | 20 | 26 |
| Research Affairs | 22–28 Nov 2019 | 867 | Online | 42 | 15 | 18 | 15 | 10 | — | — | 24 |
| Research Affairs | 15–21 Nov 2019 | 878 | Online | 40 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 9 | — | — | 22 |
| Unique Research | 11–15 Nov 2019 | 817 | Phone & Online | 37 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6 | — | 24 | 25 |
| Research Affairs | 26–31 Oct 2019 | 788 | Online | 41 | 16 | 19 | 14 | 10 | — | — | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 10–16 Oct 2019 | 1,001 | Online | 41 | 17 | 19 | 12 | 9 | — | 2 | 22 |
| Unique Research | 7–11 Oct 2019 | 807 | Phone & Online | 39 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 6 | — | 24 | 27 |
Preferred coalition
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Method | ÖVP–FPÖ | ÖVP–SPÖ | ÖVP–Grüne | ÖVP–Grüne–NEOS | ÖVP alone | Other | Don't know/ no answer | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Affairs | 12–19 Dec 2019 | 877 | Online | 22 | 13 | 28 | – | 9 | 27 | ||||||
| Research Affairs | 6–12 Dec 2019 | 875 | Online | 24 | 13 | 31 | – | 8 | 24 | ||||||
| Research Affairs | 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | 831 | Online | 23 | 13 | 30 | – | 8 | 26 | ||||||
| Research Affairs | 22–28 Nov 2019 | 867 | Online | 24 | 12 | 32 | – | 9 | 23 | ||||||
| Research Affairs | 15–21 Nov 2019 | 878 | Online | 23 | 13 | 32 | – | 9 | 23 | ||||||
| Research Affairs | 8–14 Nov 2019 | 844 | Online | 24 | 12 | 33 | – | 8 | 23 | ||||||
| Research Affairs | 2–7 Nov 2019 | 736 | Online | 24 | 16 | 32 | – | 9 | 19 | ||||||
| Research Affairs | 26–31 Oct 2019 | 788 | Online | 26 | 14 | 32 | – | 8 | 20 | ||||||
| Research Affairs | 22–25 Oct 2019 | 1,000 | Online | 25 | 17 | 29 | – | 8 | 21 | ||||||
| Research Affairs | 10–16 Oct 2019 | 1,001 | Online | 28 | 13 | 29 | – | 10 | 20 | ||||||
| Unique Research | 30 Sep–3 Oct 2019 | 500 | Online | 23 | 12 | 21 | 18 | 9 | 17 | ||||||
Hypothetical polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Method | ÖVP | SPÖ | FPÖ | Grüne | NEOS | JETZT | HC | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Affairs | 3–6 Aug 2020 | 500 | Online | 41 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 9 | – | 3 | 2 | 23 |
| Research Affairs | 20–22 Jul 2020 | 500 | Online | 42 | 19 | 11 | 15 | 8 | – | 4 | 1 | 23 |
| Research Affairs | 6–9 Jul 2020 | 503 | Online | 41 | 20 | 11 | 15 | 8 | – | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| Research Affairs | 22–24 Jun 2020 | 503 | Online | 42 | 19 | 11 | 15 | 8 | – | 3 | 2 | 23 |
| Research Affairs | 5–10 Jun 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 42 | 19 | 12 | 16 | 7 | – | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| Research Affairs | 25–28 May 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 43 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 7 | – | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Research Affairs | 11–13 May 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 44 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 7 | – | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Research Affairs | 4–6 May 2020 | 501 | Online | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 6 | – | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Research Affairs | 20–23 Apr 2020 | 1,000 | Online | 45 | 16 | 10 | 19 | 6 | – | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Peter Hajek | 7–14 Apr 2020 | 807 | Phone & Online | 46 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 7 | – | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Research Affairs | 2–7 Apr 2020 | 500 | Online | 41 | 18 | 10 | 19 | 7 | – | 3 | 2 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 23–25 Mar 2020 | 500 | Online | 40 | 18 | 11 | 18 | 8 | – | 3 | 2 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 5–11 Mar 2020 | 817 | Online | 39 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 9 | – | 4 | 2 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 24–27 Feb 2020 | 1,003 | Online | 39 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 10 | – | 5 | 1 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 7–12 Feb 2020 | 1,002 | Online | 39 | 18 | 12 | 17 | 9 | – | 4 | 1 | 21 |
| Research Affairs | 28–31 Jan 2020 | 1,003 | Online | 39 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 10 | – | 5 | 1 | 22 |
| Peter Hajek | 27–31 Jan 2020 | 802 | Phone & Online | 40 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 9 | – | 3 | 1 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 17–23 Jan 2020 | 1,002 | Online | 39 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 11 | – | 4 | 1 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 10–16 Jan 2020 | 863 | Online | 39 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 10 | – | 3 | 3 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 3–9 Jan 2020 | 859 | Online | 39 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 9 | – | 3 | 3 | 22 |
| Research Affairs | 12–19 Dec 2019 | 877 | Online | 38 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 9 | – | 4 | 2 | 21 |
| Research Affairs | 6–12 Dec 2019 | 875 | Online | 38 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 9 | – | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| Research Affairs | 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | 831 | Online | 38 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 10 | – | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| Research Affairs | 22–28 Nov 2019 | 867 | Online | 37 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 9 | – | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| Research Affairs | 15–21 Nov 2019 | 878 | Online | 37 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 9 | – | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| Research Affairs | 8–14 Nov 2019 | 844 | Online | 37 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 8 | – | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| Research Affairs | 22–25 Oct 2019 | 1,000 | Online | 37 | 19 | 14 | 15 | 9 | – | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 37 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
External links
- Twitter: @Wahlen_AT (in German)
- @Wahlen_AT poll history (in German)
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