Opinion polling for the 2019 Tunisian presidential election
Polling for the next Tunisian presidential election, which will take place on 15 September 2019, with a runoff on 13 October 2019.
First round
Polls
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Chahed TT |
Karoui QT |
Saïed |
Moussi PDL |
Marzouki MTV |
M. Abbou CD |
Jomaa AE |
Hammami FP |
Saïd |
Marzouk MT |
Mraïhi |
Aïdi BW |
Hamdi CA |
Makhlouf |
Jalloul NT |
Jebali |
Riahi |
Mourou ME |
Zbidi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emrhod Consulting | 15 September 2019 | 8.71% | 15.26% | 18.95% | 4.59% | 2.95% | 3.38% | 1.56% | 1.27% | 7.66% | – | 5.15% | – | 0.8% | 3.79% | – | – | 0.38% | 12.59% | 9.9% | |
| Sigma Conseil | 15 September 2019 | 38 900 | 7.5% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 7.4% | 0.3% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 11% | 9.4% |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Chahed TT |
Karoui QT |
Saïed |
Moussi PDL |
Marzouki MTV |
M. Abbou CD |
Jomaa AE |
Hammami FP |
Saïd |
Marzouk MT |
Morjane TT |
Aïdi BW |
Hamdi CA |
Zenaidi |
Jalloul NT |
Jebali |
Riahi |
Chebbi MD |
Zbidi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2019 | The Independent High Authority for Elections moves up the election and runoff dates from 17 November 2019 and 24 November 2019 to 15 September 2019 and 22 September 2019 respectively in order to find a successor in accordance with the 90-day interim presidency period called for by the Constitution | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 July 2019 | Beji Caid Essebsi passes away in office at the age of 92; Mohamed Ennaceur sworn in as Interim President of Tunisia on a 90-day interim basis | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 July 2019 | Abdelkarim Zbidi announces that he will not run for the election[1] | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 July 2019 | Electoral period begins; no further polls are allowed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Emrhod Consulting | 10–13 July 2019 | 1200 | 7.8% | 23% | 14% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2% | – | 1.6% | – | 1% | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | |
| Sigma Conseil[2] | 3–9 July 2019 | 2056 | 7% | 23% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 3% | – | 1% | – | – | 1% | – | – | 3% | |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Chahed TT |
Karoui QT |
Saïed |
Moussi PDL |
Marzouki MTV |
M. Abbou CD |
Jomaa AE |
Hammami FP |
Saïd |
Marzouk MT |
Morjane IND then TT |
S. Abbou CD |
Ghannouchi ME |
Caid Essebsi NT |
Aïdi BW |
Hamdi CA |
Brahim AT |
Zenaidi |
Jalloul NT |
Jebali |
Riahi |
Chebbi MD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 June 2019 | Yassine Brahim announces that he will not run for the election[3] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 June 2019 | Amendments to the electoral law approved by the ARP[4] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Emrhod Consulting | 14–17 June 2019 | 1200 | 5.8% | 26.5% | 15.2% | 5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | – | 1.2% | – | 1.9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Benchmark Consulting | June 2019 | 1002 | 10.1% | 7.9% | 19.2% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sigma Conseil | 1–8 June 2019 | 2706 | 7.4% | 23.8% | 23.2% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1% | 0.9% | 4% | – | 1.6% | 1.8% | – | 1% | 0.9% | – | – | 1.4% | – | – | |
| Benchmark Consulting[5] | 2–6 May 2019 | 9.5% | – | 17.5% | 14.3% | 4.4% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | – | – | – | – | 2.7% | 2.1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Sigma Conseil[6] | 2–3 May 2019 | 787 | 7.4% | 21.8% | 22.4% | 12.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | – | – | 3.8% | 4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | – | 1.4% | – | – | – | 1.8% | – | 1.3% | |
| Elka Consulting[7] | 29 April - 3 May 2019 | 1216 | 4% | 32% | 17% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | 1% | 1% | – | 1% | – | – | – | |
| Emrhod Consulting | 27–30 April 2019 | 1000 | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1% | 1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | – | – | – | – | |
| 6 April 2019 | Beji Caid Essebsi announces that he will not seek re-election[8] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Emrhod Consulting | 27–29 March 2019 | 1500 | 14.6% | 0.2% | 13.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | – | 0.2% | – | – | – | – | |
| IIEOP and FSSA[9] | March 2019 | 20% | – | 19.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | – | 5.2% | 4% | – | – | – | 12.5% | – | 5.7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Sigma Conseil[10] | March 2019 | 19.3% | 1.3% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% | – | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.7% | – | 3.3% | – | – | – | 1.6% | – | – | ||
| Emrhod Consulting | 22–24 February 2019 | 1054 | 13.7% | – | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 4.8% | – | 0.5% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.3% | – | – | |
| 16 February 2019 | Samia Abbou announces that she will not run for the election[11] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sigma Conseil | 11–14 February 2019 | 805 | 13.8% | – | 5.6% | 1.2% | 4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2% | 1.9% | – | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 4.9% | – | 1.5% | 0.3% | – | 0.5% | 0.7% | – | 0.3% | |
| 12 January 2019 | Rached Ghannouchi announces that he will not run for the election[12] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Emrhod Consulting | 24–26 December 2018 | 1027 | 8% | – | 4.8% | 0.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 6.2% | – | 0.2% | 0.3% | – | 0.3% | – | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| IIEOP and FSSA[13] | 21–25 December 2018 | 1203 | 16.6% | – | 14.4% | – | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Emrhod Consulting | 16–19 November 2018 | 965 | 11.8% | – | 0.4% | 0.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1% | 2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 8.6% | – | – | 0.2% | – | 1% | – | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| Election results | 23 November 2014 | N/A | 33.43% | N/A | 7.82% | 0.80% | N/A | 1.27% | N/A | 39.46% | N/A | 5.75% | N/A | 0.74% | N/A | 5.55% | 1.04% | ||||||||
References
- Laameri Dorsaf (23 July 2019). "Tunisie-Abdelkarim Zbidi nie sa candidature à la présidentielle". Tunisie Numerique (in French). Retrieved 24 July 2019.
- "Sigma Conseil: Nabil karoui en tête des intentions de vote pour la présidentielle". nessma.tv (in French). 10 July 2019. Retrieved 11 July 2019.
- LM (23 June 2019). "Tunisie – Yassine Brahim non concerné par les prochaines élections". Tunisie Numerique (in French). Retrieved 8 July 2019.
- Frédéric Bobin; Mohamed Haddad; Lilia Blaise (19 June 2019). "En Tunisie, une nouvelle loi électorale enfièvre la scène politique". LeMonde.fr (in French). Retrieved 20 June 2019.
- Noureddine Hlaoui (14 May 2019). "Selon un baromètre de Benchmark Consulting – Confirmation d'Abir Moussi à la hausse". Univers News (in French). Retrieved 17 June 2019.
- Zied Krichen (6 May 2019). "خاص: نوايا التصويت في الانتخابات التشريعية والرئاسية ماي 2019: الزلزال". lemaghreb.tn (in Arabic). Retrieved 15 June 2019.
- "Selon Elka, Nabil Karoui en tête des intentions de votes". tuniscope.com (in French). 18 May 2019. Retrieved 15 June 2019.
- "Tunisia's Essebsi announces decision not to seek presidential re-election". china.org.cn. 7 April 2019. Retrieved 15 June 2019.
- Maher Chaabane (27 March 2019). "Tunisie : Le duo Youssef Chahed – Kais Saied, reste le favori des sondages". webdo.tn (in French). Retrieved 15 June 2019.
- Zied Krichen (19 March 2019). "خاص: نوايا التصويت في الانتخابات التشريعية والرئاسية". lemaghreb.tn (in Arabic). Retrieved 15 June 2019.
- LM (16 February 2019). "Tunisie – AUDIO : Samia Abbou candidate aux présidentielles ?". Tunisie Numerique (in French). Retrieved 15 June 2019.
- "Leader of majority party not to run for 2019 Tunisia presidential election". china.org.cn. 13 January 2019. Retrieved 15 June 2019.
- "Tunisie: en cas de présidentielles, le chef du gouvernement Youssef Chahed le mieux placé (sondage)". french.china.org.cn (in French). 9 January 2019. Retrieved 15 June 2019.
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