Maharagama Polling Division

The Maharagama Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Maharagama
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6.854785°N 79.938434°E / 6.854785; 79.938434
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total37.89 km2 (14.63 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total196,423
 • Density5,184/km2 (13,430/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01M

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Maharagama has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Maharagama is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Maharagama Colombo Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 12.32% SLPP 13.30%
2015 UPFA NDF 7.09% NDF 2.69%
2010 UPFA UPFA 9.09% UPFA 3.87%
2005 UPFA UNP 11.20% UPFA 8.69%
1999 PA PA 7.47% PA 5.93%
1994 PA PA 4.93% PA 7.35%
1988 SLFP UNP 10.71% UNP 11.93%
1982 UNP UNP 7.59% UNP 3.78%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 8.80% 8/8 7.19%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Maharagama[4] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 71,893 65.60% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 29,688 27.09% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 5,820 5.31% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
NPP 1,165 1.06% 10,335 0.76% 49,655 0.37%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,035 0.94% 16,405 1.20% 295,797 2.23%
Valid Votes 109,601 98.98% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,129 1.02% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 110,730 82.87% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 133,614 1,670,403 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Maharagama[5] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 53,327 50.62% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 51,480 48.86% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 546 0.52% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 105,353 98.86% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,220 1.14% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 106,573 82.10% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 129,801 1,612,660 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Maharagama[6] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 59,360 62.32% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 35,162 36.91% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 733 0.77% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 95,255 99.20% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 768 0.80% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 96,023 79.20% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 121,247 1,541,242 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Maharagama[7] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 53,681 59.37% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 36,093 39.91% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 651 0.72% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 90,425 99.00% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 910 1.00% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 91,335 76.66% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 119,137 1,486,021 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Maharagama[8] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 43,584 56.54% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 27,338 35.47% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 4,168 5.41% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
SMBP 1,119 1.45% 8,209 0.85% 35,854 0.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 872 1.13% 12,821 1.33% 140,825 1.67%
Valid Votes 77,081 96.40% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 2,876 3.60% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 79,957 73.61% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 108,622 1,354,025 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Maharagama[9] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 47,818 69.79% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 19,514 28.48% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,189 1.74% 13,937 1.62% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 68,521 98.10% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,328 1.90% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 69,849 68.94% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 101,317 1,259,484 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Maharagama[10] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 31,396 57.69% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 20,770 38.16% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 2,260 4.15% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 54,426 98.59% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 779 1.41% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 55,205 66.04% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 83,598 1,105,583 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Maharagama[11] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,967 49.46% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 23,874 43.79% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,595 4.76% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 946 1.73% 9,655 1.28% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 143 0.26% 5,030 0.67% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 54,525 98.92% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 593 1.08% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 55,118 76.98% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 71,597 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Maharagama has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Maharagama is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Maharagama Colombo Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 9.36% UNP 4.18%
2010 UPFA UPFA 8.21% UPFA 3.13%
2004 UPFA UNP 10.54% UPFA 6.68%
2001 UNP UNP 6.99% UNP 2.73%
2000 PA UNP 6.37% PA 2.26%
1994 PA PA 5.58% PA 7.51%
1989 UNP UNP 11.02% UNP 9.76%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 8.30% 7/7 5.18%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Maharagama[14] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,049 47.77% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 41,374 42.01% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 9,001 9.14% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,059 1.08% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 98,483 97.47% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,492 2.47% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 101,040 77.84% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 129,801 1,586,598 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Maharagama[15] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,200 58.31% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 18,937 24.98% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 12,313 16.24% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 354 0.47% 7,292 0.78% 48,240 0.60%
Valid Votes 75,804 96.12% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,014 3.82% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 78,861 65.04% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 121,247 1,542,457 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Maharagama[16] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,919 43.93% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 25,385 29.41% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
UNP 22,337 25.88% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 680 0.79% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 86,321 97.55% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,161 2.44% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 88,488 74.79% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 118,318 1,467,751 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Maharagama[17] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 35,932 42.52% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 32,800 38.82% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 12,776 15.12% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
SU 2,106 2.49% 16,970 1.60% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 886 1.05% 24,289 2.29% 510,616 5.70%
Valid Votes 84,500 97.01% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,608 2.99% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 87,108 75.84% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 114,854 1,440,682 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Maharagama[18] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 36,995 45.38% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 28,952 35.52% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 8,174 10.03% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
SU 6,302 7.73% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,095 1.34% 51,586 5.09% 375,083 4.36%
Valid Votes 81,518 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Maharagama[19] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 41,034 54.93% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 25,269 33.83% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 6,932 9.28% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 1,142 1.53% 11,454 1.24% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 321 0.43% 13,003 1.41% 51,995 0.65%
Valid Votes 74,698 97.29% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,082 2.71% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 76,780 75.78% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 101,317 1,260,686 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Maharagama[20] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,042 40.24% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
MEP 19,152 34.96% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
SLFP 11,002 20.08% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,758 3.21% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 671 1.22% 7,112 0.98% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 158 0.29% 29,308 4.04% 202,016 3.61%
Valid Votes 54,783 96.24% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,138 3.76% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 56,921 69.61% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 81,774 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Maharagama Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.7%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Maharagama Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Maharagama[1]

  Sinhalese (95.7%)
  Other (2.6%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.7%)

Religion

The Maharagama Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (92.0%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Maharagama Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) [1]

Religion in Maharagama[1]

  Buddhist (92.0%)
  Roman Catholic (3.4%)
  Other Christian (1.7%)
  Hindu (1.5%)
  Muslim (1.4%)
  Other (0.1%)

References
  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Maharagama and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Maharagama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Maharagama and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Maharagama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.


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